Ireland Regional Discussion

[ronan]

Depressing!! That Is all!!

[sundog]

Depressing!! That Is all!!

The model output is depressing atm. At the start of this month it looked like this month would have great potential, now im like were the hell did it all go wrong .

Still plenty of winter left though so time is on our side.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

eyes to the north guys - eyes to the north!!

[The watcher]

Interesting output for around Christmas day. We may see some snowfall this side of Winter afterall, and the ensembles show that it is not an outlier at all, it is supported for a cool down around Christmas day. How cool/cold, still debatable. Greenland may actually go green for a change (in 850temps), while we go white at ground level.

Edited December 16, 2012 by The watcher

[ronan]

Not gonna get to excited about it at the minute. Lets see what the models show in the next few days.

[Rocheydub]

Quite frankly, I won't get excited by anything until its within 72/48... The models really are not coping well with the NH pattern change.

[The watcher]

The models do cope better with Greenland height rises, definitely more so than they do with HP on the continent. Seeing a hint of this is most of the time a good sign which is why the ensembles show much less scatter than they did when the Easterly was showing. You are right to keep a level head though, with such pace in the Atlantic and so much energy being thrown around, it needs to be a strong build to remain in situ. Could very well only be a 48 hour spell of Northerlies.

[ronan]

Watcher i would take anything at this stage! Still plenty of time left this winter to see some substantial cold spells! When i was young around the late 80's early 90's cold spells came in bursts. You would have a week of cold, a thaw to something less cold then back to cold again. It was just a constant cycle. Things have changed in weather patterns and the change that's happening now is a complete headache for forecasters!!

[stormforce 10]

a cool bright and showery day. off to pursue my other interests again.

[ronan]

Thick fog and icey conditions this morning. Lovely!

[ronan]

After an early frost this evening the clouds are rolling in and temps have lifted by 5 degrees! Is it nearly summer yet? Lol

Edited December 18, 2012 by ronan

[gingercat]

This weather is vile.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Horrible, Horrible day - is there any hope for us.....

[ronan]

There certainly is Pomeroy!! The models are now showing a chance of a NW/N flow after Christmas!! Just the setup that I'm craving for! If

You want some eye candy then go to

metcheck and put in Derry or Omagh and have a look at the extended outlook! Temps down to -9 at night with plenty of snow from NYE!! But after all the let downs I won't count my chickens before they hatch! Interesting times ahead if this verifys!!

PS. Watcher please can we have a nice shiny new thread. This is the first time this winter that we have seen models more favoured to our little country so let's get rid of all the Easterly crap that we have talked about over the past few months?

Edited December 19, 2012 by ronan

[Baltic Regions]

Agreed! Naff so far and now at page 29. Lets get it on with a new page and maybe, just maybe our luck will change!

[Sawel]

Possible N/NW'ly from Boxing day with the potential for snow. Ignore the IMBYism in the MO thread. Hopefully the models will continue with the trend.

[ronan]

I think Mr Murr and most of the Easterners have thrown the dummy's out of the pram and to be honest I don't blame them with the amount of let downs that there has been! Now its our time, our place, our fleg and our SNOW!! LOL!!

[Sawel]

Good GFS 18z tonight for Ireland as a whole. Looking forward to the output tomorrow.

[ronan]

Really looking forward to tomorrow! Would be a great Xmas pressie!!

[Sawel]

If the model output is correct, then it would be Boxing Day when we see some sort of N/NW'ly. I'd gladly accept that as a late Christmas present.

[ronan]

Yes please!!

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

That didn't work how I wanted! Around 192 showing a decent spell of snow under the precip type charts!

Edited December 20, 2012 by ronan

[ronan]

Looking good so far on the 12z's!! Lets hope that it continues!

[mountain shadow]

Possible White Christmas on the 12z _GFS!!!

[ronan]

Let's see if the 18z is on the Vodka or taking it easy with the Shandy! Epic run on the way?? Very quiet in here considering! Has Watcher taken up golf or something?

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Can't be arsed reading the Model thread - are we on or not ..... answers on a post card please!!