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Child Of Nadine (Karin) - Severe Weather Discussion

Paul

By Paul
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Suburban Streamer Explorer

Suburban Streamer

Posted
  • Location: Barnet/south Herts border 130m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms & all extreme weather
  • Location: Barnet/south Herts border 130m asl
Posted

Just broke the 20mm mark!

The roads around the Purbeck area have minor flooding, driving conditions are terrible. 11°C too!

I've only just broken the 1mm mark! Currently 1.1mm. chilly 11.4c

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johnholmes Maestro

johnholmes

Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
Posted (edited)

the low looks about on track looking at the surface data available, not much to look at in detail, but tracking the low it seems about on track as per UK Met Fax, for those using the link I provided for the surface chart-see post somewhere above, not sure the No, then its got a closed 558 500mb over/close by but seems for the moment to be following the 564dm line. Unless it starts to deepen rapidly this should give as good a guide as any on its expected track. Pressure falls look to be below 4mb per 3 hours so not too large to further upset the upper air above it.

don't worry about the 'bump' ahead of it in the 564 line, its the upper ridge which will move more or less with the surface low

Edited by johnholmes
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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

Sferics over the IOW in recent times, can anyone confirm?

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Updated 36 hour rain totals from the NMM pain a pretty grim picture...

post-2-0-80182100-1348396194_thumb.png

55 - 60 here! Naaa. I cant see that. It must be over doing it...

Glos will be flooded again!

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johnholmes Maestro

johnholmes

Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
Posted

below is the pdf in draft form trying to show some of the things you can do/access to follow any depression

hope it helps any newcomers, members or visitors?

Depressions-how to follow and check their predicted track-24 sept 12.pdf

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

I was hoping one of the residents could confirm but it is showing up on NW ATD, I wonder if it could become a rare beast and make landfall.

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teeno Rookie

teeno

Posted
  • Location: Cowes Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: snow and storms
  • Location: Cowes Isle of Wight
Posted

hi I am in cowes top of the isle of wight and yes we are geting sferics here now

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

hi I am in cowes top of the isle of wight and yes we are geting sferics here now

Thanks for the confirmation.

Welcome aboard, can you update your profile to show your location, please. good.gif

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted

Latest forecast animation of the system..

Not a lot of respite in there!

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Hughsey Newbie

Hughsey

Posted
  • Location: South Peterborough
  • Location: South Peterborough
Posted

Started to rain here about 15 minutes ago, still very light. As much as I'd like to see some heavy rain, it looks like it could cause some real problems in the far south. About 20mm forecast here according to the chart a few posts back, should be enough to sort out the recent dry spell.

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ukpaul Aficionado

ukpaul

Posted
  • Location: Sowerby Bridge, West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Click on my name - sorry, it was too long to fit here......
  • Location: Sowerby Bridge, West Yorkshire
Posted

Area of heavy rain now moving towards Guildford, getting darker by the minute.

There seems to be a corridor in Sussex/Surrey/Essex which is expected to be at the heart of this particular flank with South Wales on the other side.

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Suburban Streamer Explorer

Suburban Streamer

Posted
  • Location: Barnet/south Herts border 130m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms & all extreme weather
  • Location: Barnet/south Herts border 130m asl
Posted (edited)

Orange warning extended upto Hampshire, iow, Portsmouth & southampton

post-15445-0-53469800-1348402263_thumb.p

Edited by Suburban Streamer
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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

What is sferics? Lightning?

Yep, ( atmospherics )

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

I take it any thundery activity isn't forecast to get any further north than the south coast?

Been concentrating so much on the wind/rain, didn't notice thunder potential.

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Feathers Mcgraw Newbie

Feathers Mcgraw

Posted
  • Location: Petworth, West Sussex
  • Location: Petworth, West Sussex
Posted

Petworth/Haslemere area:

I can hear thunder. Rain is chucking it down here, I heard the thunder above the boom boom boom from a local outdoor music festival half a mile away - Sheesh... those festival goers must be made of darn tough stuff...

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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted (edited)

Orange warning extended upto Hampshire, iow, Portsmouth & southampton

No flashes no nowt, in fact it has brightened up over the last few mins

..Only light rain here now.

Jeez look at that cluster of lightning strikes south of the IOW.

Just typical passes us by, just typical

We have 18.7mm so far and the rain has eased and it's brightened up considerably now

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Interestingly its mostly drizzle here.

Even looks like its gonna dry up here in a few hours ( based on radars )

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Wilxy Seasoned

Wilxy

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
Posted

Interestingly its mostly drizzle here.

Even looks like its gonna dry up here in a few hours ( based on radars )

Dont forget about later this evening and overnight think the worse may have not even arrived yet.

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