November CET Value

[Barry12]

We are now only 11 days from November, post your CET Predictions!

[Isolated Frost]

Considering this is what everyone asks for straight away!

Phillip Eden says the CET averages for this month are 6.9c (1971-2000) and 7.2c (1981-2010).

I say 7.3c. Bang on average, but plenty of extremes even out the temperature.

[Lettucing Gutted]

10.5C

[A Winter's Tale]

I'll go for 7.0C.

[Summer Sun]

A tricky month potentially I have a feeling that November will see temperatures Below average this year

I'll take a punt at 6.3c

[Ice Day]

I've lurked around this thread for long enough; time to jump in! I'm going for a nice round 7.0c. I assume there's an extremely expensive prize on offer????

[Bumpkin]

First timer also. I'm going for 6.7c

[BlueHedgehog074]

Estimate: 6.5*C

Generally a cool month overall I feel with perhaps a couple of odd warmer spells as Northern blocking briefly colaspses at times. Some menacing low pressure systems and shortwaves may try disarm the Greenland high pressure and knock it South, but with the high pressure soon getting its revenge retreating back to Greenland again. ;-D

[summer blizzard]

I'll be waiting to see what the stratosphere does towards the end of the month but at the moment i would suggest little change to October so on the whole a colder than average month.

[Snowstorm1]

5.8c

[Roger J Smith]

November CET means and trivia

15.4 ... warmest day (5th, 1938)

14.4 ... warmest day in second half (22nd, 1947)

10.1 ... warmest Nov 1994

9.6 ... second warmest Nov 2011

9.5 ... third warmest Nov 1818

9.4 ... fourth warmest Nov 1938

9.3 ... fifth warmest Nov 1743

7.6 .... ---- mean of 2001-2011 ----

7.1 .... ---- mean of 1981-2010 ----

6.9 .... ---- mean of 1971-2000 ----

6.6 .... ---- mean of 1961-1990 ----

6.5 .... ---- mean of 1901-2000 ----

6.1 .... ---- mean of all years 1659-2011 ----

5.9 .... ---- mean of 1801-1900 ----

5.8 .... ---- mean of 1701-1800 ----

5.5 .... ---- mean of 1659-1700 ----

4.1 .... coldest in recent years (tied 28th overall) 1985

2.9 .... third coldest Nov 1807

2.8 .... second coldest Nov 1915

2.3 .... coldest Nov 1782

-0.6 ... earliest sub-zero mean (7th, 1791)

-2.1 ... coldest in first half (15th, 1965)

-4.6 ... coldest day (23rd, 1890)

__________________________________________________

daily records are for the period 1772 to 2011

monthly extreme values are for the period 1659 to 2011

November displays as much of a historical warming as any month, the mean from 1992 to 2011 was 7.6 C while from 1750 to 1765 the mean was only 5.1 C, similar to the "Dalton minimum" when the average from 1795 to 1820 was only 5.4 C and was 5.1 for the period 1795-1816. These would now be considered cold Novembers (as with 2010). Almost as mild as the recent period, 1938 to 1960 had a mean of 6.9 C.

November has produced the coldest day of the year and also of the winter season about 6% of the past 240 years (14 cases).

[I remember Atlantic 252]

8.8C, coldish start, cold nights 1-10th due to high pressure, Zonal and mild 11th-30th

[4wd]

November displays as much of a historical warming as any month, the mean from 1992 to 2011 was 7.6 C while from 1750 to 1765 the mean was only 5.1 C, similar to the "Dalton minimum"

In that case 5.1C is likely - my guess.

[jonboy]

5.9 for me its going to be cold

[Roger J Smith]

Mild signal for second half of month, 8.3 C for me.

[Backtrack]

9.5C, record breaking mild second half.

[Ruzzi]

I'll take 6.7C please

[Gavin Hannah]

I'll take a punt at 5.3C

[Ladyofthestorm]

6.8C for me,

[NorthYorksWeather]

Il take a punt at 8.0

[Styx]

Quite interesting to see many cool months this year (cet), so i am suggesting 8.4 to balance things up somewhat.

[Mark Neal.]

9.2c

[syed2878]

gut fielings so for me 6.4c. Thx.

[SteveB]

I'll go for 6.8c please

[Aaron]

7.0