Ireland regional discussion 21/12/12 and beyond

[Sparky72]

Didn't see any forecast this morning only online.

I'm in Derry. I'll watch later and keep fingers crossed. Just hope it moves a wee tiny bit further West.

[mountain shadow]

I cant fully understand how as much snow as is being mentioned will settle on the eastern half of NI on Friday with tempertures of 4 to 6 degrees.

Would any of the more experienced members give a view on this?

Thats the maximum temp in the 24 hour period, they will tumbling throughout the day.

[mountain shadow]

Still no snow weather warning on The Met Office despite the text forecast saying snow.

[BornFromTheVoid]

It really is knife edge stuff. The next week could end up as one of the most memorable and snowy times in recent years (except for Cork!) or it could end up bitterly disappointing with just rain and sleet for many.

Northern Ireland looking best at the moment, with a probably and 75-80% chance of getting some significant snow over the next week, while that chance probably drops by 10% for ever 50km south you go from the border. But really, anywhere could get a proper dumping, apart from Cork that is!

The Met Eireann warning sounds delightful though, clearly following the ECM output.

WARNING for next week: There is a high probability of a severely cold week. Maxima are predicted to be in low single figures with severe air and ground frosts at night. Strong easterly winds up to mid-week will produce significant wind chill and make it feel bitterly cold everywhere. Some snow showers are possible especially in the east and south where there may be some accumulations but for most areas it will be mainly dry. Freezing fog may develop over the second half of the week as the winds drop and sub-zero temperatures then may persist during daytime.

http://www.met.ie/forecasts/

[Neiller22]

Good news this morning then. Friend of mine works at Belfast international and they have just received a preliminary snow warning. 2-5 cms possible but further updates expected as the accumulations could be significantly higher! I expect met will issue warning in due course. Obviously further east could see more.

[markok]

weather warning from met eireann

Weather Warning

Issued at 17 January 2013 - 11:06

Weather Advisory

Very heavy rain will spread into parts of Munster and Connacht on Thursday and will spread eastwards during the afternoon and evening. There will be some heavy falls with a risk of localised flooding in parts of Munster and Leinster.

The rain will be accompanied by strong to near gale force and gusty southeasterly winds.

There is a risk that the rain will turn to sleet and snow later on Thursday night and towards dawn. Parts of north Leinster and Ulster will be most at risk, with further snowfall during Friday with accumulations mostly on higher ground.

Staying very cold on Saturday for much of the country with a further threat of wintry showers. Very cold, frosty and icy at times

Valid from: 11:00 17th Jan 2013

Valid to: 20:00 19th Jan 2013

Gale Warning

Southeasterly gales will develop this afternoon on all Irish coastal waters and on the Irish Sea.

Issued at 05:00 on 17-Jan-2013

Small Craft Warning

Southeasterly winds will increase to force 6 or higher on all coastal waters this morning.

Issued at 05:00 on 17-Jan-2013

[ronan]

Shouldn't be to long before the Meto update the warning. At work at the minute so can't see the 06z. How's it looking?

[mountain shadow]

6z was much the same Ronan, maybe slightly further West again

[BornFromTheVoid]

A lot of variability in how far the cold uppers extend west on the ensembles, even as close as this Friday and Saturday.

Plenty of scope for upgrades later today methinks.

Edited January 17, 2013 by BornFromTheVoid

[ronan]

What's the western extent of the snow! It's it northern Ireland as a whole or mostly eastern parts?

[mountain shadow]

Met Office Yellow Warning for Snow is up!

[Aamar Farouq]

Good stuff for ireland

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=7&lon=-6.49&lat=54.86&fcTime=1358337660&regionName=ni

[Neiller22]

That's good to see. Just a pity it is starting as rain as that will reduce the accumulations quite significantly. However much better than it was this time yesterday. Hoping for upgrades as all the talk was for us to get hit bad this morn

[gingercat]

Cee Daley just tweeted there will be an amber warning for snow for N.i and that there will be much more snow than they originally thought.

[Downburst]

_{For the 06z} GFS_{, it is not until Saturday evening that the dew points or fronts are cold enough for snow, just on the} GFS _{as I see it.}

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Here is my take on it - we are going to get plastered - white out!!!

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Red alert for parts of wales

[markok]

my take is colder uppers to continue pushing west earlier than expected. can see us getting plastered tomorrow

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Hello to all the new folks we are a nice friendly bunch on here so no personal spats thank you very much

Edited January 17, 2013 by Pomeroysnow

[ronan]

Do we think that our warning will get upgraded later today folks?

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Do we think that our warning will get upgraded later today folks?

Definitely

[ronan]

Pom I have really loved your confidence this week! Lol! Gonna be a tricky drive for me tomorrow from Derry to Omagh but probably more so on the way home!

[SnowJon]

Warning now upgraded to amber folks:

Rain will turn increasingly to sleet and then snow at all levels across Northern Ireland during the course of Friday afternoon and evening, with some places receiving accumulations of 5-10 cm of snow overnight into Saturday and as much as 15-20 cm above 200 metres, with drifting in the strengthening east to northeasterly winds.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/ni/ni_forecast_warnings.html

[stormforce 10]

well, well more upgrades today and oh the irony,irelands gonna get most of the snow now. good to see met eirann putting warnings out. remember folks look out for the elderly and infirm, looks a bitter cold spell coming.

while some parts of the country will get plastered with snow. just say a little prayer for us south and westies that we dont have to build an ark tonight. this potential snow storm on sunday night looks like causing disruption if comes off, then temps could plummet thereafter for a the rest of the week, a bit like december 2012 episode. and again folks, snow is fun if you like it, but if you have neighbours who are old or who suffer health problems, be a good citizen and watch out for them

Edited January 17, 2013 by stormforce 10

[ronan]

Brilliant!! Can't wait for this now!!