Ireland regional discussion 21/12/12 and beyond

[Rocheydub]

No. ECM sticks as does UKMO. ECM lowers expectations regarding cold uppers, but the pattern remains.

GFS bullish as per its last 4 runs. I honestly expected a sysmic shift from one of them this morning, but alas!

Tonight we'll have clarity???

[ronan]

Hopefully we do Rochey. I doubt it will be as cold as models were suggesting but who knows it could all swing around again. Something would need to happen soon as we are fast running out of time!

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Some chance of snow on Sunday????

[ronan]

The way the models are going then we won't know till an hour before!! Lol

[gingercat]

Sorry guys but until I see the snow on the ground, I won't believe it's actually gonna happen. We've been promised snow too many times since the start of winter and seen nothing materialise! Pessimistic as I am, I think it's going to be a snowless winter.

[Rocheydub]

Based on? I'm guessing it's instinct?

[ronan]

Meto update going for rain and hill snow for Sunday into Monday. Knowing our luck it will be rain!! We certainly aren't included in the early warning!!

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

These things have a habit of changing quickly Ronan - we didn't expect the amount of frost we have had so far this week did we?

Guys don't let South East England downgrades spoil your mood as this usually means upgrades for us!!

[The watcher]

My head is fried with all this uncertainty, I even dropped and smashed my coffee jar this morning. Have I woke up and smelt the coffee? Not yet.

[markok]

better GFS run there. hopefully ECM will slightly upgrade it's cold for us this evening then be looking good again

[ronan]

That GFS has been a complete A..Hole this week! It's about time that it starting owning into line with the rest of the models! Things still looking messy but heading in the right direction! Will we see more upgrades? We shall see!!

[skywatcher]

Unbelievebly, it's still not clear what going to happen! Eyes down for the next model run,

[snowstorm445]

GFS/UKMO somewhat better for Great Britain but poor for here dragging in south-westerlies as per Feb 2012. I really hope the ECM will deliver the goods later because I think we're seeing another one of the infamous winter disappointments. If it doesn't we may have to look to February for something substantial.

[The watcher]

GFS/UKMO somewhat better for Great Britain but poor for here dragging in south-westerlies as per Feb 2012. I really hope the ECM will deliver the goods later because I think we're seeing another one of the infamous winter disappointments. If it doesn't we may have to look to February for something substantial.

I have to agree, GFS isn't pretty for here. -5c line barely scratches the East coast of Ireland then off it goes back East. All the talk in the MOD thread of snow here and there is all mainland UK, and mainly the Eastern side. That's why most are still fine with the output and saying upgrade. We are in the same boat unless the High doesn't topple and joins with GL.

[skywatcher]

.... but look in the Models thread at GP's latest post re the end of the month.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

convinced that we will see a big upgrade for our neck of the woods

[mountain shadow]

Well the GFS and UKMET are poor this side of the Irish Sea for snow. The ECM on the other hand is a peach.

The Irish Met have a tough call on which to follow.

[markok]

wow what an ECM. If this came off the East Coast would have lots of snow to look forward too, in a reasonable time frame too. I think the GFS will trend towards the ECM on the pub run later and game on . I'm sticking with the ECM. I'd say Met Eireann will keep their mouths shut until tomorrow evening when we'll have a great idea what's gonna unfold. Exciting model viewing.

[The watcher]

ECM much better for Ireland, we may all see something from that. Also liking the goings on to our NNW on Eastern and Central Greenland. Arctic high helping raise heights here and this could be something to look into longer term.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

I tell ye guys upgrades on the way (fingers crossed)

[ronan]

I think your right Pomeroy and also we should know in the next 24hrs if we will see snow Sunday morning! Exciting times ahead!

[The watcher]

I think your right Pomeroy and also we should know in the next 24hrs if we will see snow Sunday morning! Exciting times ahead!

It is indeed, pondering whether to stay up for the 00Z ECM now....did last night...sort of. I'll make my mind up after GFS 18Z.

[ronan]

Go on Watcher you know you want to! Lol

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

It is indeed, pondering whether to stay up for the 00Z ECM now....did last night...sort of. I'll make my mind up after GFS 18Z.

You just want an excuse to drink whiskey - like you need an excuse to drink whiskey

[The watcher]

I don't because I didn't wake til 2pm this afternoon and haven't done any house work. Plus, the whiskey puts me to sleep.