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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 4th April 2013 onwards

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By snow raven
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Dan the Man Contributor

Dan the Man

Posted
  • Location: Central Beds
  • Location: Central Beds
Posted

Apologies - haven't looked through the whole thread so I gather this has been answered already - with that unstable air coming up from the south, there is significant thunderstorm potential?

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

Can I ask a silly question ,what is the chance of it staying dry between 8am and 12 pm tomorrow? I'm having my car Valeted but only if its dry .Please give me good news smile.png JP can you help ?

hi marie

PPVE89.gif?31415

UW18-594.GIF?10-19

UW24-594.GIF?10-19

going by the fax chart and ukmo charts

looks like rain or heavy showers tomorrow

probably clearing overnight sad.png

jason i have pmd you smile.png

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

Apologies - haven't looked through the whole thread so I gather this has been answered already - with that unstable air coming up from the south, there is significant thunderstorm potential?

hi dan

a slim chance friday but feel that would be more midlands west

monday looks the better bet at the moment

all we can do now is follow the models as see how these go

probably be more sure tomorrow night for friday

saturday night for monday

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

PPVI89.gif?31415

UW48-594.GIF?10-19

friday

heavy rain throughout the day

west to south westerly flow

temps around 8- 10 degrees

PPVJ89.gif?31415

friday night

westerly flow

showers around some heavy

temps around 6 degrees

saturday

PPVK89.gif?31415

UW72-594.GIF?10-19

saturday

although it will be warmer around 13 degrees

it will be windy with a stiff south westerly wind

updated fax has a trough over the south east so expect some heavy showers during the day

PPVM89.gif?31415

sunday

still looking good

a warm south to south westerly

dry and temps around 16-18 degrees

waiting monday for update

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

PPVO89.gif?31415

monday

a west to south west flow

should be quite warm again around 16 degrees

a trough looks like moving over the south east mid afternoon

with higher 546 dam air over us and 528 dam air moving in

this should create instability and set off some thunderstorms in the afternoon

nicesmile.png

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snowrye Seasoned

snowrye

Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
Posted

Bring it on,kick winter out the way with a humdinger of a storm

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HammerJack Community Regular

HammerJack

Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
Posted

Cheers John. If only this rain which is pelting down now was snow........but that's for another time. Really looking forward to some real warmth. It's way past my bedtime now. Goodnight all.

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Jimmy0127 Apprentice

Jimmy0127

Posted
  • Location: SW London
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme
  • Location: SW London
Posted

Hi Folks,

Getting married on Saturday in Sussex, and the models keep moving that warm front in a worrying fashion. I can handle increasing high level cloud, but proper warm front rain would be very disappointing. Either way, we need to plan - can anyone offer guidance???

Sorry for the unabashed desperation!

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lottiekent Experienced

lottiekent

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
Posted

Hi Folks,

Getting married on Saturday in Sussex, and the models keep moving that warm front in a worrying fashion. I can handle increasing high level cloud, but proper warm front rain would be very disappointing. Either way, we need to plan - can anyone offer guidance???

Sorry for the unabashed desperation!

Can't answer your question but congratulations for Saturday!

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

Hi Folks,

Getting married on Saturday in Sussex, and the models keep moving that warm front in a worrying fashion. I can handle increasing high level cloud, but proper warm front rain would be very disappointing. Either way, we need to plan - can anyone offer guidance???

Sorry for the unabashed desperation!

hi jimmy

goodluck for saturday

the problem with saturday is the low track as you have pointed out

now this is the current view

saturday

PPVK89.gif?31415

UW72-594.GIF?10-19

saturday

although it will be warmer around 13 degrees

it will be windy with a stiff south westerly wind

updated fax has a trough over the south east so expect some heavy showers during the day

however these can change at short notice and may be clearer tomorrow

i would plan for rain just incase the charts are correct tonight

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Heisenberg Aficionado

Heisenberg

Posted
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme aside from heat. Pref cold and snow
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
Posted

Hi Guys

would you mind giving me an update on how things look for next week for my trip to Centre Parcs in Sherwood forest? GFS is showing fine and 13 ish....would you say this is accurate? Thanks in advance Lloyd

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Hi Guys

would you mind giving me an update on how things look for next week for my trip to Centre Parcs in Sherwood forest? GFS is showing fine and 13 ish....would you say this is accurate? Thanks in advance Lloyd

Looking at GFS and ECM, I still think it'll be alright. I'm not saying totally dry, but the temperatures should be reasonable and you should get enough 'usable' weather for outdoor trips to be worthwhile. It'll also be much more outdoor friendly than recently (unless you've been walking briskly or running etc.) 

 

When is your trip - Monday to Friday?

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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

Mornin each. Well, in Ippy its dull, it's drizzling and its dull and drizzly. I can't wait for warmer weather. :D

Have a good day, all.

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Heisenberg Aficionado

Heisenberg

Posted
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme aside from heat. Pref cold and snow
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
Posted (edited)

Looking at GFS and ECM, I still think it'll be alright. I'm not saying totally dry, but the temperatures should be reasonable and you should get enough 'usable' weather for outdoor trips to be worthwhile. It'll also be much more outdoor friendly than recently (unless you've been walking briskly or running etc.) 

 

When is your trip - Monday to Friday?

Edited by lloydyd
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Heisenberg Aficionado

Heisenberg

Posted
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme aside from heat. Pref cold and snow
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
Posted

Wont let me edit my post grrr...

Yes Steve, Monday to Friday...thanks

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Wont let me edit my post grrr...

Yes Steve, Monday to Friday...thanks

 

Yes it sounds like there might be a few issues, after the upgrade this morning.

 

Quite a dross day here so far (cloudy and slightly drizzly) Hopefully it'll have brightened by tea time. :)

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Jan_Bromley Enthusiast

Jan_Bromley

Posted
  • Location: Bromley, Kent
  • Location: Bromley, Kent
Posted

Hi Folks,

Getting married on Saturday in Sussex, and the models keep moving that warm front in a worrying fashion. I can handle increasing high level cloud, but proper warm front rain would be very disappointing. Either way, we need to plan - can anyone offer guidance???

Sorry for the unabashed desperation!

 

Hello Jimmy,

 

Best wishes for Saturday. I hope the weather is kind to you

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MarcB Newbie

MarcB

Posted
  • Location: Saltash, South East Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers, Cold Winters.
  • Location: Saltash, South East Cornwall
Posted

Temp currently 6.7°c here and climbing steadily, it was sunny ish about  an hour ago but it has now clouded over completely.

 

Yesterday was the warmest day of the year here so far, with a top temp of 12.8°c but feeling absolutely beautiful in the sun.

 

Fingers crossed for Sunday, we have our first family bbq of the year planned drinks.gif

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Just reclining in the Virgin Upper class lounge enjoying Campagne cocktails - It's a hard life but someones got to do it!!! Cheers guys drinks.gif

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