South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 4th April 2013 onwards

[diddy1234]

Some very heavy rain now showing up on the met radar at Luton.
Various aircraft in hold as the rain is too heavy to land

[john pike]

 

 

heat

[chilly milly]

 

 

heat

That's pretty.

[Guest archiesmummy]

Just opened back door and was shocked to see its really foggy out!

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

[Eskimo]

Instability levels tomorrow peaking at 400-500J/kg during the afternoon, this means risk of thunderstorms but low risk at that.

Edited April 11, 2013 by PerfectStorm

[abruzzi spur]

Evening all

Playing around with music tonight as I often do, ended up with ELO Mr Blue Sky, a song that always makes me smile but which I also find stupidly moving, probably because of its unbelievable optimism. After a cold and bleak winter it seems wildly appropriate and has cheered me up no end so I have indulgently decided to paste a link to the lyrics and a link to the song itself and I can recommend it as balm for the soul, and it is just about weather related.

BTW I remember putting the album on my parents' 'gramophone' with a few friends round in 1977/8 and whilst we all pretended that we wanted to listen to pink vinyl Generation X singles (which I still own), we all ended up back listening to this!

http://www.lyricsdepot.com/electric-light-orchestra/mr-blue-sky.html

AS

[john pike]

 

tomorrow

 

heavy rain am with a potential for some rumbles or 2

 

best area norfolk  ipswich  essex around lunchtime

 

temps around 10-11 degrees

 

variable west to south west flow

 

should start drying out mid afternoon

 

 

friday night

 

westerly flow

 

looks mainly dry  temps around 8 degrees

 

again watch for mist and fog especially around coastal areas

 

 

 

saturday

 

fairly breezy south west wind

 

light rain early am in the south reaching all areas by luchtime

 

pm heavy rain reached the south covering all areas by mid afternoon

 

temps around 12-13 degrees

 

clearing late afternoon

 

saturday night

 

gusty south west wind

 

temps around 8-10 degrees

 

should stay dry

 

sunday

 

still looks warm

 

around 16-18 degrees

 

dry for all the south east

 

the only concern is watch for fog early and late on coastal areas

 

monday

 

a weak south westerly flow

 

still warm around 15 degrees

 

watch for fog again on coasts

 

late pm watch for some thunderstorms brewing and poss overnight

 

tuesday

 

fairly strong south west wind

 

temps around 14 degrees

 

showers am followed by more thundery potential late pm

 

the solar heating will set these pm ones off

[Croydondazz]

 

tomorrow

 

heavy rain am with a potential for some rumbles or 2

 

best area norfolk  ipswich  essex around lunchtime

 

temps around 10-11 degrees

 

variable west to south west flow

 

should start drying out mid afternoon

 

 

friday night

 

westerly flow

 

looks mainly dry  temps around 8 degrees

 

again watch for mist and fog especially around coastal areas

 

 

 

saturday

 

fairly breezy south west wind

 

light rain early am in the south reaching all areas by luchtime

 

pm heavy rain reached the south covering all areas by mid afternoon

 

temps around 12-13 degrees

 

clearing late afternoon

 

saturday night

 

gusty south west wind

 

temps around 8-10 degrees

 

should stay dry

 

sunday

 

still looks warm

 

around 16-18 degrees

 

dry for all the south east

 

the only concern is watch for fog early and late on coastal areas

 

monday

 

a weak south westerly flow

 

still warm around 15 degrees

 

watch for fog again on coasts

 

late pm watch for some thunderstorms brewing and poss overnight

 

tuesday

 

fairly strong south west wind

 

temps around 14 degrees

 

showers am followed by more thundery potential late pm

 

the solar heating will set these pm ones off

Thanks John

[john pike]

Thanks John

[john pike]

gfs for monday pm

 

 

 

 

 

[john pike]

also for 192

 

 

 

 

[john pike]

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/

 

some impressive showers incoming

 

plus that squall line over the south west looks lively

[john pike]

CET: (Apr 1-10): 3.8°C (-3.9 degC) E&W Rain: (Apr 1-10): 4.1mm ( 19 per cent) E&W Sun: (Apr 1-10): 60.1hr (126 per cent)

 

http://www.climate-uk.com/

[john pike]

http://www.estofex.org/

[Steve C]

Morning all

 

Who's going to be the first to report thunder today then?

 

CAPE & LI chart for 3 o'clock this afternoon, from the 0Z NMM model...

 

 

 

 

[chilly milly]

Morning Steve and everyone.

 

Would be worth enduring this miserable crapola for a crack of thunder. So fingers crossed someone gets lucky.

[Steve C]

We're having sunny intervals here, so hopefully they'll provide the trigger for some big showers

[snow raven]

Morning all,

 

Just grey and dreary here at work on the Southbank.  Fingers crossed we get to see some lightning and hear some thunder this afternoon - I've missed radar watching for storms  

 

And you wouldn't believe how long it's taken me to post the above!!  Thank goodness pressing F5 about 20 times finally did the trick! 

[Jan_Bromley]

Good morning everyone.

 

The rain woke me several times last night it was so heavy.

 

The sun is actually trying very hard to break through but have very thick cloud cover. Will be running for cover this afternoon if those thunderstorms kick off.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Not sure about thunder today.. Some of the ingredients are there.. But some are not.. heavy and very gusty showers I think will be on the cards today, I hope I am wrong

[Snowangel-MK]

We're having sunny intervals here, so hopefully they'll provide the trigger for some big showers

Morning all,

 

Same here, proper April sunshine and showers 

 

Happy Friday folks and Happy 50th birthday to Robin (aka Coast) I'm not sure the cake will keep until he's back from NY so we might have to eat it between us...

 

 

 

[Kentspur]

No thunderstorms please! Only like Either snowy and cold or dry and hot; -) the former we've lacked all winter so hoping the later will come to fruition at some point this summer lol

[abruzzi spur]

Morning all

Mostly grey and quite breezy in Reigate. The sun was briefly out but now back in hiding. Off to Brighton later for a couple of nights - should be able to see the shower clouds building up in the Channel today but I fear tomorrow will be mostly wet and pretty windy on the coast. Never mind, sea air is sea air, even if it is full of rain, salt, seaweed and the odd mangled styrofoam cup thrown overboard from a cross channel ferry!

AS

[Guest bjaykent]

Morning all, just looking at the fax chart this morning, I'm wondering just how much sun we might see on Sunday, the front looks very close on the midday chart.

 

 

will certainly be quite warm as well as windy but not sure about sunny and the UKMO ppn chart even shows rain for that time.

 

 

ECM ppn charts looks clear for Sunday

 

 

and GFS0.5 6Z looks clear and warm.

 

 

Take your pick?

 

Happy birthday Coast!

Edited April 12, 2013 by bjaykent