South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 13th August 2013>

[john pike]

Coast and John Pike -thank you both :air_kiss: -  I really appreciate your updates.It may be too early to confirm yet..... but will this prolonged heavy rain currently predicted for Eastbourne also extend 34miles north-west up the A22 towards East Grinstead? Given current dry ground conditions , my house is at serious risk of flash flooding from surface water runoff from the Ashdown Forest. The only time it has flooded before was when 55mm of rain fell in 45 mins on 20/07/07 with similar dry ground conditions. A predicted 4-6hours at 25mm/hr means it could overtop recently installed flood defences of 60cm so I would need to take additional preventative action tonight  I'll be coming back to this thread throughout the evening/tomorrow....meanwhile the guinea pigs are searching out their water-wings and I'm off to the shop to stock up on booze and fags   going to be installing additional flood defences up to 1.0m and putting all the valuable upstairs :whistling:xxx

Hi palaceThought piggie a bit rude :-)I sort of hope the expected rainfall is wrongHowever prevention is better than cure as they sayHope all is ok for you laterBest regardsJohn

[Jax]

Radar shows rain here, but nothing falling (yet), so it may all pass over us yet.

 

very warm and humid though, 23.4o in the shed right now

[john pike]

update rain fall from ukmo

 

good news is it has pushed the main heavy stuff in the early hours to the north east

 

now

thats the bad news

 

the ukmo rainfall charts can be a bit hit and miss

 

however the updated fax for 12 tomorrow

 

has the low pressure centre slightly closer to us

 

the trough however is still over the south east but a tad more east

 

so still the potential is there for heavy rain for a fair time for the south east

 

from around 04.00 hours saturday to around 08.00-10.00 sunday morning

 

storm risk in my eyes would be more likely to the north-north east of london

 

hope that helps

 

regards

 

john

[anything-but]

What`s the rough "go" time for tonight's/tomorrows shenanigans? May pull a all-nighter if there`s a decent lightshow in the offing.

 

 

......Missed JP`s post above.

Edited August 23, 2013 by anything-but

[Keraunic]

Hi all. Been very warm and close today in Ippy. My niece and I always seem to choose days like this to do major tasks in the house. Today we built a flat pack desk. Earlier in the week we put together a side board. That was a real hoot.  The instructions were appalling. The air was blue apart from being very warm.

 

Hope you all have a fantastic week end whatever the weather brings. I hope you all get some T&L if that's what floats yer boat. It certainly does mine.

 

WELCOME BACK MK. Hope you had a fab time.,

[john pike]

saturday night fax

 

still show the heavy rain risk (but not as bad as saturday daytime)

 

a real messy picture so watch the radars to see what happens

[Jax]

saturday night fax

 

still show the heavy rain risk (but not as bad as saturday daytime)

 

a real messy picture so watch the radars to see what happens

Hope it is not too bad over the weekend as we are attending a steam rally for 3 days and want it nice and calm and good.

[Eskimo]

saturday night fax

 

still show the heavy rain risk (but not as bad as saturday daytime)

 

a real messy picture so watch the radars to see what happens

Still worried about that though, your dragging in cooler air off the North Sea onto the 'warm' surface with fronts dotted around everywhere, plenty of moisture to tap into!

[john pike]

 

Hope it is not too bad over the weekend as we are attending a steam rally for 3 days and want it nice and calm and good.

 

hi jax

 

i will updated sunday soon

 

fingers crossed that and monday should be ok

Still worried about that though, your dragging in cooler air off the North Sea onto the 'warm' surface with fronts dotted around everywhere, plenty of moisture to tap into!

 

hi perfect

 

i agree and now we can only watch and see what happens

Edited August 23, 2013 by john pike

[Tom Jarvis]

First ant swarms of the year here so hopefully there will be a good storm

[john pike]

as for storms i would say anything from now onwards could pop up

 

but rainfall is the main concern at present

 

sunday

 

22-23 degrees

 

a weak north east to east  flow

 

looks dry with a slim chance of a shower on the south coast (slim though)

 

thats better

[Snowangel-MK]

Sunshine and showers are forecast for the Bank Holiday weekend. In this video, Deputy Chief Forecaster Chris Tubbs explains the forecast for the weekend ahead.....

 

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqyTJGDcUfU

 

[Steve C]

Evening all!

 

I'm cautiously optimistic of fairly pleasant weather later in the weekend now. More so than yesterday. I just hope the low doesn't drag its heels and spoil Sunday lunchtime / early afternoon. Hopefully it'll depart earlier than that.

 

Have a good weekend, rain or shine.

[john pike]

monday

 

temps 22-24 degrees

 

maybe a tad chilly due to the stiff easterly breeze

 

looks dry and mainly sunny

 

lets hope that trough to our south stays there

 

so at present looks ok

[legrandefromage]

do I feel a storm in the air?

[Mr_Pessimistic]

do I feel a storm in the air?

i feel a 'let down' in the air..

[nanu]

i feel a 'let down' in the air..

yep bugger all at mo.. so i say we all go to sleep,, storms always pop up then and wake us

[john pike]

do not expect anything until after 11 onwards

 

see the low to our south

 

that is the little bugger thats likely to cause the problems

 

its expected to move north east

 

as shown above

 

keep watching the radars

[Biggin]

I take it the stuff over Jersey etc is ours )) http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

[john pike]

I take it the stuff over Jersey etc is ours )) http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

hi biggin

 

looks like it as tallies with the analysis chart

[Snowangel-MK]

Evening all!  Have a good weekend, rain or shine.

You too Steve and everyone ! Is it me or did it get dark very early tonight ? I went out at half eight and it was like the middle of the night - loads of bats flying round as well !

[Summer of 76]

Sure does get dark early l think it's three minutes a night now

Edited August 23, 2013 by chris mantle

[Jason T]

Hello Folks. Hope everyone OK. Final Bank holiday of the year, This year is flying by. Speaking of flying, I was looking around for live weather radar, Came across this.....http://planefinder.net/         Bugger being an air traffic controller with that lot. Looking a tad wet over night and tomorrow with a nice Halogen strobe light show in the mix. (BBQ Sunday....?.) . Nice to see very pleasant weather for next week, Cant really grumble at all for this Summer, Compared to the 6 previous. Enjoy your weekend and take care.

 

Jason. 

Edited August 23, 2013 by Jason T

[Freezeflake]

Is Sunday suppose to be dry I hope so.

[Captain Shortwave]

Is Sunday suppose to be dry I hope so.

Just a few scattered showers, the north easterly on Sunday and Monday looks surprisingly sunny from the forecasts