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Convective / Storm Discussion - 14th May 2014 onwards

Jane Louise
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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)

do you mind , iam from gypsy stock ! LOL !!!!!.....

LOL it's true though, I live opposite a family of them, known their family for years (get on well too) seagulls appear in their front garden every evening. :DThat aside, the sunshine has vanished, clouds have bubbled up, some dark-ish. That was definitely not supposed to happen!post-15177-0-04170200-1400327630_thumb.j Edited by Mapantz
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Mokidugway Maestro

Mokidugway

Posted
Posted

LOL it's true though, I live opposite a family of them, known their family for years (get on well too) seagulls appear in their front garden every evening. :D

That aside, the sunshine has vanished, clouds have bubbled up, some warm-up. That was definitely not supposed to happen!

Posted ImageIMG_20140517_124023_1.jpg

I do agree , some aren't the tidiest of people , some of my cousins are still on the road and are quite messy !!!....
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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

Still nothing but thick cloud here and temps nowhere near the 24C forecast.

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Greeny Aficionado

Greeny

Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny, stormy and I don't dislike rain only cold
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
Posted

I do agree , some aren't the tidiest of people , some of my cousins are still on the road and are quite messy !!!....

Its a shame, if they moved on without much of a trace of them being there then it wouldn't annoy me in the slightest. I don't think others should be responsible for their own mess.
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vladthemert Enthusiast

vladthemert

Posted
  • Location: cleethorpes
  • Location: cleethorpes
Posted

we got very small isolated clouds but they explode very fast but some disapate there is vortex in them too.   Very weird too see them expand at that pace.  

 

Seagulls funny to say that last storm here they scarpered 1 hour before it.   They are scavengers can be vicious, dont go near I have been knocked out by one many moons ago.  Food from fishing industry lesser so likely expanding to find food they seem to like tall buildings as I assume its like a rocky cliffs they love, the drafts they create in the air probably helps them glide.  

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Ǝssex Ǝasterly Seasoned

Ǝssex Ǝasterly

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow events / Wind storms
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
Posted (edited)

22.6c here 

 

Posted Image

 

Taken with -2 exposure

Edited by Essex Easterly.
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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted

Does hearing seagulls when you don't live by the coast mean anything?I very rarely hear seagulls around here, but they are clearly here this afternoon.

It means a Severe MCS is coming next year, or that seagulls can fly inland.
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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted (edited)

I'll update my "thunderstorm trigger" guide to include seagulls this afternoon  :wink:

Edited by Nick L
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Bobby Seasoned

Bobby

Posted
Posted (edited)

Looks like things will start kicking off Sunday evening/night, then continuing in pulses through much of next week, will be an interesting week I think. Not entirely convinced on thunderiness but I'm sure there will be some thunderstorms knocking about

 

NMM is keen on developing showers/storms on Sunday afternoon evening (especially around N England) but ECM waits until Monday morning

 

Sunday 6pm NMM Posted ImagePosted Image

 

Monday afternoon, yum!

 

Posted Image  Posted Image

 

ECM sends a whole barrage of possibly, hopefully thundery rain at us through the week

 

Posted Image  Posted Image  Posted ImagePosted Image

Edited by Bobby
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cheese Veteran

cheese

Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
Posted

This is what BBC weathe was showing for Leeds..

 

Posted Image

 

It still shows thunderstorms on Tuesday though.

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

Little disappointed, under reasonable cape but the thick cloud. Is preventing surface heating.

To make matters worse, the temperature has dipped - and it's now really humid and groggy :(

Monday is looking exceptional :good::):clap: widespread risk of Thunderstorm. Only upgrades please :p

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Little disappointed, under reasonable cape but the thick cloud. Is preventing surface heating.To make matters worse, the temperature has dipped - and it's now really humid and groggy :(Monday is looking exceptional :good::):clap: widespread risk of Thunderstorm. Only upgrades please :p

 

Even with surface heating you'd be very fortunate to get anything today. Only a very slight chance. The main course begins on Monday...

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted (edited)

Even with surface heating you'd be very fortunate to get anything today. Only a very slight chance. The main course begins on Monday...

totally agree Nick, a few peeps are getting to involved with CAPE & LI charts....today there isn't much of a trigger, the air has little moisture at the moment so little in the way of fuel, we're sat under high pressure, keeping a pretty strong lid on the atmosphere, and there's very little in the way of forcing, just some localized low level convergence.......For today, given these parameters, for a good chunk of England, I'd go for an outside chance of a rogue downpour over say Dartmoor, Exmoor, the Mendips and the Chilterns. These lay near modelled areas of local convergence and the high ground might aid in a little forcing

Edited by ajpoolshark
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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted (edited)

totally agree Nick, a few peeps are getting to involved with CAPE & LI charts....today there isn't much of a trigger, the air has little moisture at the moment so little in the way of fuel, we're sat under high pressure, keeping a pretty strong lid on the atmosphere, and there's very little in the way of forcing, just some localized low level convergence.......For today, given these parameters, for a good chunk of England, I'd go for an outside chance of a rogue downpour over say Dartmoor, Exmoor, the Mendips and the Chilterns. These lay near modelled areas of local convergence and the high ground might aid in a little forcing

 

I'd add East Anglia to the "outside chance" regions for today, quite a marked convergence zone there too:

 

Posted Image4

 

Certainly more favourable CAPE/LI around those parts too:

Posted Image

But, as you say, moisture content is quite modest today:

 

post-7600-0-98828500-1400334329_thumb.pn

 

Basically, today is a "bonus" day if you manage to get anything. In the meantime, you should all enjoy the sunshine! Unless, like me, you're revising. If so, you have my sympathy :(

Edited by Nick L
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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Certainly no clouds here, wonderful day! Temperature still rising too. Cannot wait until the convection this week kicks off!

post-17277-0-58536100-1400334803_thumb.j

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
  • Popular Post
Posted (edited)

Certainly no clouds here, wonderful day! Temperature still rising too. Cannot wait until the convection this week kicks off!

Burn that vuvuzela at once! :laugh: Edited by Mapantz
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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Could someone please explain why if there is little moisture in the air today why it is completely cloudy here?

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Could someone please explain why if there is little moisture in the air today why it is completely cloudy here?

 

There is moisture, just probably not sufficient for showers/storms. Plus we are under high pressure, which will inhibit vertical growth of any clouds.

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

There is moisture, just probably not sufficient for showers/storms. Plus we are under high pressure, which will inhibit vertical growth of any clouds.

 

Is there some sort of interaction with the North Sea or something because it just seems to the be the southeast under this cloud (though I suppose that makes a nice change for everyone else).

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Convective Community Regular

Convective

Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
Posted

What are the chances of elevated storms next week?

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