June 2014 CET Forecasts

[Roger J Smith]

CET Averages and Extremes

 

 

23.0 ... 3rd, 1947, warmest daily mean

22.4 ... average for last five days in June 1976

21.2 ... average for last nine days in June 1976

 

18.2 ... 1846 (warmest June)

18.0 ... 1676 (2nd)

17.3 ... 1826 (3rd)

17.1 ... 1822 (4th)

17.0 ... 1976 (5th)

 

14.7 ... average for 2001-2013

14.5 ... average for 1981-2010, also for 1901-2000

14.3 ... average for all years 1659-2013, also 1801-1900

14.2 ... average for 1961-1990, also 1701-1800 and 1659-1700

14.1 ... average for 1971-2000'

 

13.6 ... 2013 mean CET

13.5 ... 2012 mean CET

 

11.8 ... 1972, 1916, 1909 (tied 2nd)

11.5 ... 1675 (coldest June)

 

7.3 ... 9th (1816) and 19th (1795) coldest daily means

___________________________________________________________________________

 

Enter your forecast by end of day 31st of May to avoid time penalty, enter by end of 3rd of June to avoid cut-off for entries.

One decimal place, entries with no decimal (e.g. 15) are assigned .0 (e.g. 15.0) Entries with 2 or more decimals get rounded to one.

 

Data courtesy of UK Met Office Hadley Centre

 

 

Edited May 20, 2014 by Roger J Smith

[simshady]

Continuing to be fairly warm.......15.7 please.

[DAVID SNOW]

Global warming leaves June out for some reason?  +1 again Roger for your time.

[Lettucing Gutted]

The Year Without A Winter and The Hyper Nino is only gonna get worse... 19C

Edited May 20, 2014 by Craig Evans

[GRHinPorts]

Only once since 1846 has June managed to reach the 17 mark on the CET. That was the record breaking 1976. Could 2014 go beyond this level? Is it even possible for such figures to be recorded in June with modern (aka accurate) measuring equipment? Will the 13th of June ever see 30C reached as a maximum?

 

All this to be answered (or not) in the coming month.

[Captain Shortwave]

With that ridge to the east of us looking to persist well into the summer season (going by the long rangers), this throws up a lot of possibilities as the pattern could become stuck in a rut (question is what rut will it be?). Given my feelings are that high pressure will build across the north of the UK during the last stages of May with low heights over southern Europe. I will punt for a well above average 16.1C. Just thinking that winds could be rather persistent between the south and the east this month. Simply put all my guesses whilst stating above average temperatures have simply not been ballsy enough (here comes a 18C+ CET month now)

Edited May 20, 2014 by Captain shortwave

[Summer Sun]

Going to go for another well above average month

16.8c is my guess

[Radiating Dendrite]

15.9c for me.

[summer blizzard]

Hard to tell right now. The output could easily veer between warm or socking and cool.

 

15.5C for me right now please.

[CongletonHeat]

14.8

[NeilN]

15.9c - This will be one warm month....

[Stationary Front]

16.0 another above average month. Do we always get a warm June in a World Cup?

[Don]

16.0 another above average month. Do we always get a warm June in a World Cup?

 

Well the last two Junes for the World Cup certainly have been - June 2006 15.9C and June 2010 15.2C.  June 2002 was nothing special though at 14.4C.  My current thinking is this June will be a warm one.

[hillbilly]

13.9 deg!!!

[Midlands Ice Age]

14.7C for me please

 

MIA

[geoffw]

17.1 please

[Bobd29]

15.8 for me please

[Methuselah]

Oh well. 15.7C please.

[Robbie Garrett]

14.5*C

[virtualsphere]

14.5C for me please

[matty007]

16.1 please 

[Polar Gael]

15.0C for me please.

[The PIT]

I'm going for 14.8C just on the mild side.

[jonboy]

14.3 please

[Dancerwithwings]

Hard to tell right now. The output could easily veer between warm or socking and cool.

 

15.5C for me right now please.

How right you are! Atm it's damp & cool for the first half of June, there will be bright warmish times from the azores HP trying it's best, but never stays!

No spanish plumes either, if anything a cool northerly in hand... the second half? it's depends on that stubborn HP in the East... will it stay or will it go.

 

Only time will tell... for me, 15c Please

Edited May 27, 2014 by Dancerwithwings