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Paul

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The nightly 6-10 day forecast has updated.

 

I'm not sure what to think of it. Definitely one of those occasions when you have to read between the lines.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/30842988

 

Definite disconnect between what was said and the maps almost as if the Met Office think the block will hold longer than the models.

 

Don't know what impact this will have but the GFS 18Hz has the front stalling quite a bit more on Tuesday. could be good news in short term (don't like what follows)

Edited by J10
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Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.

The models tend to want to bring back westerlies though don't they?

Time will tell!

A chilling night out there. My station showing -2.1°c now. Dew point -3.6°c.

Widely -3c across a good bit of Carmarthenshire tonight.

Edited by marclt
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Posted
  • Location: Llanelli
  • Location: Llanelli

Nice and cold tonight, perfect timing for the central heating to break ARGH!

-1.9c currently, I can see some showers on the radar making their way towards Pembrokeshire

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Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL

So anyone in west wales? What's falling from the sky ?

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Posted
  • Location: Anglesey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, snow and more snow!
  • Location: Anglesey

So anyone in west wales? What's falling from the sky ?

Will nw do?  If so, nothing.  Wind has picked  up again though.

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

Clear -4c here hopefully cold enough for any showers to be snow.

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Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.

-2°c earlier. Now -0.1°C. Dew point still below at -1.6°C.

A few rumbles of thunder. Skies cloudy to west, stars still visible to east. No precipitation as yet.

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Posted
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly County, 175m ASL
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly County, 175m ASL

Bitterly cold here. I'm around 75% certain that snow is guaranteed in the form of showers in most areas away from the coast tonight.

Edited by Jackfrost
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Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.

Rain radar showing quite a big shower incoming. Will have to see what it delivers!

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Posted
  • Location: S East Wales
  • Location: S East Wales

-2°c earlier. Now -0.1°C. Dew point still below at -1.6°C.

A few rumbles of thunder. Skies cloudy to west, stars still visible to east. No precipitation as yet.

Sounds good  :cold:

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

That's interesting your thunder report marc that cell over Pembrokeshire does look potent, thundersnow again anyone :)

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Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.

The first shower delivered a light rain / snow granule mix. Eased off now.

Temp 0.3. Dew point still -1.6.

This could make for some very slippery conditions.

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Posted
  • Location: S East Wales
  • Location: S East Wales

That's interesting your thunder report marc that cell over Pembrokeshire does look potent, thundersnow again anyone :)

Yes that do look interesting 

That's interesting your thunder report marc that cell over Pembrokeshire does look potent, thundersnow again anyone :)

Yes that do look interesting 

post-13443-0-42797400-1421455538_thumb.g

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Posted
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd

Bitterly cold here. I'm around 75% certain that snow is guaranteed in the form of showers in most areas away from the coast tonight.

 

hope so jack. given my elevation though touch and go! good luck to everyone for some of the white stuff, the legal kind LOL

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Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.

Reports of hail along the coast and Thunder reported in Haverfordwest and Fishguard.

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Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

18z euro 4 showing good signal for snow in parts of the south east at 6am, could be a surprise for some.

post-16336-0-24175100-1421455691_thumb.j

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Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.

That shower was better. â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

Snowing lightly

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

Heavy snow looks about 1cm already!

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Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.

Thunder and lightning again!

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

Easing now 1 to 2cm in 20 minutes!

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Posted
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly County, 175m ASL
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly County, 175m ASL

This bodes very well indeed for those of us further East!

 

So much for settling snow only above 200m, eh Tony?

 

Also, some of those showers are turning very pokey indeed as they hit Pembrokeshire.

Edited by Jackfrost
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