eastern pacific Major Hurricane Patricia

[Summer Sun]

Smoothest stream at the moment seems to be the on Boro Snow posted above how much longer it stays online though is anyones guess

Edited October 23, 2015 by Summer Sun

[bobbydog]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RP5Y4lISF0s

 

Wind defo picking up now on this cam

 

omg and somebody has just walked across the cam

yep theres a bloke standing under the tree on the right! he's about to get a direct hit from a 200mph hurricane! looking at the satellite loop, its turned back inland pretty much where he is standing!

[weatherobsuk]

Next HIGH TIDE in Manzanillo is at 8:03 PM, which is in 4 hr 37 min 12 s from now.

Right around landfall time

[Boro Snow]

yep theres a bloke standing under the tree on the right! he's about to get a direct hit from a 200mph hurricane! looking at the satellite loop, its turned back inland pretty much where he is standing!

he should be ok he has taken shelter at least 

 

on a serious note why would you do that, there is a few of them they keep walking past the cam 

Edited October 23, 2015 by Boro Snow

[bobbydog]

he should be ok he has taken shelter at least 

 

on a serious note why would you do that, there is a few of them they keep walking past the cam

i havent seen anyone for a few minutes now, maybe they have buggered off as its getting rapidly worse. lets hope they can run at 200mph!

[Nick F]

Looking at the GOES floater visible loop, looks like the clear eye has disappeared as it heads north towards the coast, but perhaps entering an Eyewall Replacement Cycle though a little too late before it hits land when the eyewall will quickly disappear as Patricia weakens.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/20E/imagery/vis-animated.gif

Edited October 23, 2015 by Nick F

[Summer Sun]

Live stream from the beach has just gone on the link Boro Snow gave

 

EDIT

 

Its back the wind is whipping up now

Edited October 23, 2015 by Summer Sun

[Somerset Squall]

Winds down to 165kts, pressure up to 900mb. Doesn't make a difference for Mexico though

Feels weird saying "winds down to 165kts".

Edited October 23, 2015 by Somerset Squall

[gottolovethisweather]

Next HIGH TIDE in Manzanillo is at 8:03 PM, which is in 4 hr 37 min 12 s from now.

Right around landfall time

 

Ouch.

[weatherobsuk]

In structural terms would there really be much of a difference between 189mph and 200mph sustained winds?

[gottolovethisweather]

i havent seen anyone for a few minutes now, maybe they have buggered off as its getting rapidly worse. lets hope they can run at 200mph!

 

Not even Usain Bolt can do that, but then again if the Daily Excess says it is possible you just never know. 

[Somerset Squall]

In structural terms would there really be much of a difference between 189mph and 200mph sustained winds?

Not really no. Though Patricia has weakened slightly as it approaches land, when we are talking about winds that strong it won't make any difference.

[Boro Snow]

Winds down to 165kts, pressure up to 900mb. Doesn't make a difference for Mexico though

Feels weird saying "winds down to 165kts".

still 190mph sustained 

[Somerset Squall]

still 190mph sustained

Sorry yeah, should have included the mph. For some reason I prefer working in knots with tropical cyclones.

[Liam J]

Latest position and forecast track, still a formidable force even inland for a time.

 

[gottolovethisweather]

Not sure if anyone picked up on the following quoted section but its is certainly mind-boggling. Explosive cyclogenesis in our part of the world is defined as maybe a couple dozen millibar pressure drop during six hours or similar but in this beast, there are some crazy figures mentioned, see below.

 

http://www.weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-patricia-mexico-coast

 

"During that same time, the minimum central pressure of Patricia also decreased 100 millibars, from 980 millibars to 880 millibars."

 

*the above occured within a 24-hour window, as well.

 

Glad I'm watching this from afar, if truth be told. 

Edited October 23, 2015 by gottolovethisweather

[carl1980]

https://youtu.be/RP5Y4lISF0s

[cowdog]

These idiots are aiming to be right where the eye hits -

https://www.facebook.com/iCyclone

Even with all their experience that has to be a stupid thing to do.

[Somerset Squall]

Not sure if anyone picked up on the following quoted section but its is certainly mind-boggling. Explosive cyclogenesis in our part of the world is defined as maybe a couple dozen millibar pressure drop during six hours or similar but in this beast, there are some crazy figures mentioned, see below.

 

http://www.weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-patricia-mexico-coast

 

"During that same time, the minimum central pressure of Patricia also decreased 100 millibars, from 980 millibars to 880 millibars."

 

*the above occured within a 24-hour window, as well.

 

Glad I'm watching this from afar, if truth be told. 

Yeah, I mentioned that this morning, but it's definitely worth mentioning again. It's truly amazing!

[Hurricane Debby]

These idiots are aiming to be right where the eye hits -

https://www.facebook.com/iCyclone

Even with all their experience that has to be a stupid thing to do.

 

Great link, thank you, total nutters though !

[lfcdude]

Their chase lots of storms.. Travel the world in Asia alot.. Their well trained their were even in haiyan... So hardly idiots 

[Nick F]

Well, not downplaying by any means the devastating impact Patricia will make on landfall later, but the filling of the eyewall before landfall suggests forces such as stronger shear now interacting and weakening Patricia. And that's before drier inflow off the Mexican Plateau and the mountains just inland rapidly weaken Patricia even further. So potential that it may make landfall as a cat 4 now, which I guess is slightly better than cat 5 slamming the SW coast. But little comfort for those in the path.

Still a truly awe-inspiring once-in-a-lifetime thing to watch from our seats let alone experience it!

Edited October 23, 2015 by Nick F

[chionomaniac]

I've seen some terrific graphics of Patricia today. But not on the BBC weather just now!

[Hurricane Debby]

_{Wow,  anyone see all the birds flying in suddenly ?}

[Havaturkali]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RP5Y4lISF0s live