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South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - 18th February onwards

Captain Shortwave

By Captain Shortwave
in Regional

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted (edited)

very dark. I fact was surprised it wasn't raining. It's still chilly too.

Cold morning = hungry so I'm cooking sausage and bacon in a bap with french fries. Just sent hubs out to get the Bread:D

Edited by Dami
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Ben Lewis Rising Star

Ben Lewis

Posted
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heat, Cold, Sun
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
Posted
3 hours ago, lassie23 said:

Gloomy!

It may be gloomy but its a damn sight better than what the Easter weekend is about to produce.

Id take gloomy over Atlantic mild wet dross any day, at least in gloomy weather you can still do things outside and it remains dry.

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lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted
10 minutes ago, Ben Lewis said:

It may be gloomy but its a damn sight better than what the Easter weekend is about to produce.

Id take gloomy over Atlantic mild wet dross any day, at least in gloomy weather you can still do things outside and it remains dry.

True!

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Ben Lewis Rising Star

Ben Lewis

Posted
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heat, Cold, Sun
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
Posted
1 hour ago, lassie23 said:

True!

Hopefully the second half of April may start to deliver those fine Spring conditions. Fingers crossed.

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lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted
9 minutes ago, Ben Lewis said:

Hopefully the second half of April may start to deliver those fine Spring conditions. Fingers crossed.

Yes hopefully, as the first part of April is looking decidedly odd.

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

Not only does it turn unsettled but there is a high probability of gales/severe gales affecting our region a bank holiday special on GFS 06z ;-) 

image.thumb.gif.099400d1d4a93adbecee571eimage.thumb.gif.fa125d3089fddf1e1e216871

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Very little to say about today, thick high cloud throughout.

As for the Easter weekend, well Friday looks nice with temperatures forecast to reach 12-14C, Saturday looks wet, Sunday looks showery rather than full on wet and Monday offers the risk of wind and rain but at this point the models do disagree, some wind that secondary low whilst others runs the low through quickly as a shallow feature.

Edited by Captain Shortwave
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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted

Lovely morning yesterday, no wind clear sky, frosty start. By the time I'd walked down to the beach needed to take my coat and jumper off. Got a bit chilier an hour or two later though when the cloud and a chilly feeling wind appeared. Today has been dull and cloudy all day.

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lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted

Looks like snow for the first week of April,:oops: big Greenland High, get the sledges dusted down:ninja:

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted

How considerate, albeit 2 months late - it irks me. :angry:

Yesterday was a lovely day complete inverse to today cool, cloudy ect.

image.thumb.png.cd50ed76fa62735b5e9f0d17

 

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lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted
3 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

How considerate, albeit 2 months late - it irks me. :angry:

Yesterday was a lovely day complete inverse to today cool, cloudy ect.

image.thumb.png.cd50ed76fa62735b5e9f0d17

 

Yup, always too late, totally pointless in spring:cray:

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March Enthusiast

March

Posted
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.
Posted

Quite a disappointing day. Only reached 8.8C when 11/12 was forecast.  

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Blessed Weather Maestro

Blessed Weather

Posted
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: An Alpine climate - snowy winters and sunny summers
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
Posted
1 hour ago, Surrey said:

Morning all sorry been so busy as birthday, new job, easter coming up!

Thank you all so much for the birthday messages! Had a wicked time!

Weather wise it has been okay. Some sun. 

Looks a lot more turbulent as we move into the weekend

Welcome back Surrey. Glad you had a good one!

Now that's a good word - turbulent! Yes, love it or loath it, at least we'll have some "weather" happening this weekend. Spells of rain and windy from Saturday, but early Monday looking to be the worst day, with a deep low, heavy rain and strong gusts of wind impacting the South of the UK. Here's what this morning's model runs are suggesting:

GFS Mon 06.00 56f39df1aad5e_GFS850MON28MAR06.00.thumb.56f39e3ebec34_GFSPrecipMON28MAR06.00.thu

Arpege High Res showing max gusts between 100 and 110 km/h (approaching 70 mph) early Monday for the SE corner.

This chart for Mon 01.00 56f39e81a3b5f_ARPEGEMAXGUSTSMON28MAR02.0

 

Arpege cumulative rainfall between now and Mon morning shows that southern counties of our Region see the most rain.

This chart for Mon 08.00 56f39e8dc7693_ARPEGECUMRAINMON28MAR08.00

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted

Not as bad today as I though it would be, started cloudy, but the cloud has thinned out enough to let the sun shine through. No rain as yet, wasn't supposed to get here till later though.

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted

Grotty day with spots of rain currently, feels chilly too. Weekend looks mixed at best, though latest GFS takes Monday's storm further south with the gales hitting N France, us just getting wet!

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Dami Maestro

Dami

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
Posted (edited)

was lucky today. put kitchen like things in the garden like the bin and clothes dryer  so could mop the floor, mop floor replace items and the heavens opened. School shut early today as we are now on Hols! but as usual they waited for the rain to start again before opening the gate.

Edited by Dami
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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted

Getting a few odd spots in the air from time to time now. Rain may be here soon may be.

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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Author
Posted

Cloudy all day again with some light rain during the afternoon.

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TROY Enthusiast

TROY

Posted
  • Location: Eastdene nr seaford
  • Weather Preferences: warm spring days and summer thunderstorms
  • Location: Eastdene nr seaford
Posted

:hi:Got the lawn cut as it was a fair day, we even had a little sun for a while, now the first rain has arrived for at least two weeks or more. Smells like Spring rain. Good health and Happy Easter All. :hi:

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

it  cant  get  any better!!!  rain over  the weekend   and   a  storm hitting  us  on  monday     could  not make  it  up  for  bank holiday weather   good  job we  were staying at  home for Easter!!!

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lassie23 Maestro

lassie23

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted
53 minutes ago, tinybill said:

it  cant  get  any better!!!  rain over  the weekend   and   a  storm hitting  us  on  monday     could  not make  it  up  for  bank holiday weather   good  job we  were staying at  home for Easter!!!

:hi:My Easter is in May, might be summer by then.:unknw:

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Blessed Weather Maestro

Blessed Weather

Posted
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: An Alpine climate - snowy winters and sunny summers
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
Posted
7 hours ago, stainesbloke said:

Grotty day with spots of rain currently, feels chilly too. Weekend looks mixed at best, though latest GFS takes Monday's storm further south with the gales hitting N France, us just getting wet!

Yes, the GFS 06z indeed had the low a tad further south. However the 12z has reverted back to a track that brings the worst of the winds to our Region, swinging the Low Pressure up from a centre over South Wales to exit the UK around the Yorkshire moors. The Arpege 12z High Res model is in agreement and has upgraded (hardly the right description) the max gusts to cover a wider swathe of the Region and has increased the max to 120 km/h (75 mph).

GFS 12z (showing direction shown in next few charts)  03.00 Mon GFS 12z 850 Mon28Mar.png

Arpege 12z showing max gusts Mon 05.00 ARPEGE 12z MAX GUSTS MON 28MAR 05.00.png

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
24 minutes ago, Blessed Weather said:

Yes, the GFS 06z indeed had the low a tad further south. However the 12z has reverted back to a track that brings the worst of the winds to our Region, swinging the Low Pressure up from a centre over South Wales to exit the UK around the Yorkshire moors. The Arpege 12z High Res model is in agreement and has upgraded (hardly the right description) the max gusts to cover a wider swathe of the Region and has increased the max to 120 km/h (75 mph).

GFS 12z (showing direction shown in next few charts)  03.00 Mon GFS 12z 850 Mon28Mar.png

Arpege 12z showing max gusts Mon 05.00 ARPEGE 12z MAX GUSTS MON 28MAR 05.00.png

I seriously hope it doesn't happen this way, wow, I've heard of beware of march winds but I'm not sure this is all that common at this time of year.

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