Storm Aileen - First Autumn Storm Tuesday night into Wednesday morning

[The PIT]

Looks like we are going to have the first storm of Autumn as secondary low sweeps across North Wales , North Midlands. As it clears eastward it brings a brief spells of winds gusting up to 60 mph across North Wales North midlands and east England and along the English channel.

Details will firm up tomorrow but one to watch out for you.

[Nick L]

Yet it's not being named... 

[wimblettben]

Thought we were going to be in the firing line for this but most forecasts now take the worst of the winds across the north.

Only just managed to reach 25mph today and that was with a wind warning across the southwest so not expecting much from this now.

[The PIT]

25 minutes ago, Nick L said:

Yet it's not being named... 

Not even formed yet I believe. Also the met office naming is inconstant they have strong winds in nw Scotland in the past which didn't get named. One of the reasons given was there wasn't enough people living there so the impact was minimal.  

Edited September 11, 2017 by The PIT

[FetchCB]

2017/8 storm names and criteria for issuing a name 

Essentially its all about potential impact and raising awareness of risk with the general public 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/mobile/news/releases/2017/storm-names-for-2017-18-announced

[on the coast]

1 hour ago, Nick L said:

Yet it's not being named... 

Agree? 70 mph gusts in some parts and heavy rain with trees in full foliage?

[Another Kent clipper]

Storm Alex.  I've named it now officially

[Mapantz]

If  I recall correctly, a storm would be named if it merits an amber warning?!

[Frost HoIIow]

2 hours ago, The PIT said:

Looks like we are going to have the first storm of Autumn as secondary low sweeps across North Wales , North Midlands. As it clears eastward it brings a brief spells of winds gusting up to 60 mph across North Wales North midlands and east England and along the English channel.

Details will firm up tomorrow but one to watch out for you.

Not just those areas. Parts of North-West England looks in the firing line too with the bigger populations of Merseyside & Greater Manchester likely to have some decent strong gusts of 70mph+ in more exposed spots especially as winds move more to the W-NW funnelling wind off the Irish sea, these areas are under the Met Office advisory, as is pretty much all of Northern England.

[RichmondWeather]

As usual the Metoffice forecasts have an extra sprinkling of conservatism..

[The PIT]

Winds moved south and lessened until it leaves the uk so Norfolk could get a battering early tomorrow.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

13 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Winds moved south and lessened until it leaves the uk so Norfolk could get a battering early tomorrow.

Yes noticed the slight shift south and delay in deepening the low. GFS shows this well, slight changes now big difference 

Edited September 12, 2017 by Surrey

[Love Snow]

Least it might get on the news now? Been further south....

[iand61]

BBC forecast still showing the north of England getting some strong gusts up to 75mph early hours Wednesday as the low crosses into the North Sea.

[Chris.R]

Looks like tonight's low has been designated Aileen, The first name storm of the autumn.  Might be worth renaming the thread. Didn't even know they've come up with a new list yet. I'm sure the first of this years tropical cyclones had a name like that as well.

[suffolkboy_]

2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Looks like tonight's low has been designated Aileen, The first name storm of the autumn.  Might be worth renaming the thread. Didn't even know they've come up with a new list yet. I'm sure the first of this years tropical cyclones had a name like that as well.

 The first tropical storm in the series this year was Arlene.

MetOffice storm names for this year are: 

Aileen	Brian	Caroline	Dylan	Eleanor	Fionn	Georgina	Hector	Iona	James	Karen
Larry	Maeve	Niall	Octavia	Paul	Rebecca	Simon	Tali	Victor	Winifred

 

Interesting to see the MO has issued an Amber Warning this morning. Seeing as trees are in full leaf I can understand why with the winds that are forecast.

[weirpig]

26 minutes ago, suffolkboy_ said:

 The first tropical storm in the series this year was Arlene.

MetOffice storm names for this year are: 

Aileen	Brian	Caroline	Dylan	Eleanor	Fionn	Georgina	Hector	Iona	James	Karen
Larry	Maeve	Niall	Octavia	Paul	Rebecca	Simon	Tali	Victor	Winifred

 

Interesting to see the MO has issued an Amber Warning this morning. Seeing as trees are in full leaf I can understand why with the winds that are forecast.

Cowin hell  day  see that coming   Not amazingly high winds  but over a very populated area could cause alot of disruption.  my interest has now been pricked.

Edited September 12, 2017 by weirpig

[Paul]

Wrong spelling but still..

 

[Tim M]

Strange how Met Office has upgraded slightly wind speeds from yesterday but XC Weather have downgraded.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Is it me or does this model love to over hype wind speeds.. AROME

KPH works to MPH like this:

10kph = 6mph

115kph = 71mph

ARPEGE

 

 

GFS 

 

NETweather

 

 

 

 

Edited September 12, 2017 by Surrey

[weirpig]

12 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Is it me or does this model love to over hype wind speeds.. AROME

KPH works to MPH like this:

10kph = 6mph

115kph = 71mph

ARPEGE

 

 

GFS 

 

NETweather

 

 

 

 

For me  during windstorms the Arpege  is the model to follow  got it spot on around here earlier this year    i shall await the updated run  

[GreyCrag]

I'm slap-bang in the middle of the Amber warning tonight, just wondering if it's worth heading up to the local reservoir at night that's westward facing and funnels the local winds into the valley. It's a relatively open area and I might get some of those stronger gusts that are expected for here.

[weirpig]

The arpege going for areas similar to the met office for the highest winds  if not as intense  on the latest run. With trees in leaf could be interesting 

[ChezWeather]

Could be an interesting commute tomorrow, over the high ground to Matlock

[weirpig]

Arome identical to the met office update. Possible 120kh gusts around northern England down to parts of midlands