Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward

[#windysnow#]

16 minutes ago, Nick Ward said:

That looks like it’ll sweep round and end up over us

I hope it does swing round......it’s strange how in the last 30 mins an area of ppn has developed just to the south of me!!!

[mother nature rocks]

Is it all of this PPN meant to be heading our way or just the initial band??

[Gord]

You can see from the shape of the weather warning where the heaviest stuff is most likely to go.

But there seems to be a lot of activity around. So I think we'll all see at least something. We've already just had a moderate snow shower move through here leaving a fresh dusting.

[snowangel32]

Yep started again pure light snow. Really watching that PPN start to pivot now. Will if go south or south west. Current track is through Wales and West mids. We shall see.

[#windysnow#]

I might be missing something, but cannot see the pivot....help would be appreciated...lol

[MKN]

Lovely shower of graupel type snow here atm

[Snowy L]

I'm not seeing any pivot, and it continues to move SW into West Mids and Wales, which is strange because the showers that appeared just 100 miles or so ahead over Wolves seem to be moving SSE.

Edited January 2, 2021 by Snowy L

[shunthebartlett92]

Raining here now     not even remotely wintry this, undoing the good work from earlier!

[Gord]

8 minutes ago, Snowy L said:

I'm not seeing any pivot, and it continues to move SW into West Mids and Wales, which is strange because the showers that appeared just 100 miles or so ahead over Woles seem to be moving SSE.

I think that's what is giving the illusion of it pivoting.

We should all see a period of moderate to heavy snow...but that big area coming down from north of York is obviously the one giving the Met Office concern because that'll give a quite prolonged period of heavy snow. And if you look, that's heading right into the warning area.

It's going to go right down the Transpennine route. Leeds, Manchester, Chester and the very northwest tip of our region are in for a very interesting evening.

The rest of us will still see something, but it won't be as for long as it will be for those areas.

That's my take on it.

I may be wrong...but I can't see a pivot....yet anyway.

 

Edit: And for those feeling that they've been very unlucky this week, watch the radar sequence and focus on the city of York...how close? Poor souls.

 

Edited January 2, 2021 by Gord

[MattStoke]

Can’t see a pivot either. Looks to be heading just to my west and off into Wales, maybe clipping Shropshire.

[Klippieboo10]

No pivot as far as i can see either.

still heading S/W. Think meto have it spot on with warning by the looks 

[#windysnow#]

4 minutes ago, Snowy L said:

I'm not seeing any pivot, and it continues to move SW into West Mids and Wales, which is strange because the showers that appeared just 100 miles or so ahead over Woles seem to be moving SSE.

I agree.....if you use York as a marker it never drops below that and continues on a South West track....I am pinning my hopes on the area of ppn just off Hull/Grimsby based on current track.

One positive is that the later it arrives the colder it will hopefully be  

[Adzyy]

Gotta say it’s not been great for us at in Rugby at all. No lying snow so far and everything seems to just miss us. Had about two showers all winter so far

[Ryukai]

Just started seeing the odd flake drifting down  

[moorlander]

@MattStokeit's heading straight for you

[Midlander]

ICON12 still shows some snow in the evening for W.Mids, but the initialization looks wrong so wouldn't put much trust in it

 

Edited January 2, 2021 by AppleUK 123

[markw2680]

I think it will pivot tbh, if you consider the showers we have had are coming from a nw direction that tells me the stuff coming from the ne will move sw and then start to move south and then se. May be completely wrong but that’s my take on it. Time will tell of course 

[weirpig]

I'm sure its pivoting  lol  as soon as the first band hits stoke  I think it will come on a more southerly  tragictory 

[cyclonic happiness]

Heavy hail/graupel falling here now, it just developed overhead

 

[snowangel32]

Moderate snow here now cant quite see where its coming from on the radar and app watch has put us bk on 7 hours of light snow. Got a feeling on few cms tonite for the mids. The confusion seems to be the band that's heading towards Ireland and the one just behing it thats more fragmented but could still produce heavy sbow if it keeps its intensity.

[cold stoke]

23 hours ago, MattStoke said:

Just started to snow here in kidsgrove stoke 200m

23 hours ago, MattStoke said:

 

[cyclonic happiness]

[andy_leics22]

There is a definite pivot. Run the radar animation for the last hour and you can see the pivot point seems to be just above Birmingham and Leicester. The PPN that is around us in Northampton, is heading NW to SE in direction.

[Ryukai]

Fluffy looking white stuff now rapidly increasing in amount and size.  

[MattStoke]

6 minutes ago, moorlander said:

@MattStokeit's heading straight for you

Very close. Think the main action will be just to my west though.