Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[Sky Full]

Personally I can’t wait for this promised high pressure to build in and sweep away all the low clouds and drizzle we have been plagued with recently.  I would love snow at Christmas but my second choice is sunny and frosty.   Could go either way….

[snefnug]

Very foggy and damp this morning, sort of enveloping semi solid rain cloud.

[keithlucky]

29 minutes ago, Sky Full said:

Personally I can’t wait for this promised high pressure to build in and sweep away all the low clouds and drizzle we have been plagued with recently.  I would love snow at Christmas but my second choice is sunny and frosty.   Could go either way….

Unless we can get a cold N easterly feed we cannot get rid of this cloud.We must be getting close to the World record for days with blo ody,drizzle.Sighns are that N Easterly showing up early next week.

[keithlucky]

22 hours ago, keithlucky said:

Unless we can get a cold N easterly feed we cannot get rid of this cloud.We must be getting close to the World record for days with blo ody,drizzle.Sighns are that N Easterly showing up early next week.

Knife edge weather ATM,5c for Xmas eve.Cool stagnant air Monday Tuesday Wednesday, we then start picking up colder continental air from Europe. White word can be used with possible S word for Xmas.

[dbaloo]

2 hours ago, keithlucky said:

Knife edge weather ATM,5c for Xmas eve.Cool stagnant air Monday Tuesday Wednesday, we then start picking up colder continental air from Europe. White word can be used with possible S word for Xmas.

Still holding at that 50p bet atm but things slowly edging into the more reliable time frame...big weekend coming up!

[keithlucky]

5 hours ago, dbaloo said:

Still holding at that 50p bet atm but things slowly edging into the more reliable time frame...big weekend coming up!

Will the possible snow on Xmas day be to late?

[dbaloo]

9 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Will the possible snow on Xmas day be to late?

I don't know but Deborah is having a sad day  

[keithlucky]

12 minutes ago, dbaloo said:

I don't know but Deborah is having a sad day  

Shock of a white Christmas lol.Best chance of a white chance of a white Christmas since 2010.

Edited December 15, 2021 by keithlucky

[keithlucky]

Everything looking rosie in the garden,stalling front showing up on snow charts Sweden ,Holland becoming colder 0c maximum day temperatures next week spreading westwards  clashing with front pushing in.

 

Edited December 16, 2021 by keithlucky

[Notty]

4 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Everything looking rosie in the garden,stalling front showing up on snow charts Sweden ,Holland becoming colder 0c maximum day temperatures next week spreading westwards  clashing with front pushing in.

I’m off out for bread, milk and toilet rolls now

[DeepSnow]

Just hope if it does happen it's not rain here on the coast so we can join in the fun!

[dbaloo]

Bit the bullet today..a whole £1 on at 9-1 for it to snow at Cardiff Airport Christmas day 

[Notty]

57 minutes ago, dbaloo said:

Bit the bullet today..a whole £1 on at 9-1 for it to snow at Cardiff Airport Christmas day 

That is a good price. I think you have a good chance. Only needs one flake to fall

[keithlucky]

1 hour ago, DeepSnow said:

Just hope if it does happen it's not rain here on the coast so we can join in the fun!

 

1 hour ago, dbaloo said:

Bit the bullet today..a whole £1 on at 9-1 for it to snow at Cardiff Airport Christmas day 

We in with a better chance than a long time one flake no mother in law  down for dinner lol.Lets pray!

[Gee]

It is looking good, though still have 8 doors to open on my calendar so quite a way yet.

However, even Mr Mild himself is starting to mention the possibility, bring it on.

Edited December 16, 2021 by Gee

[mattrout92]

1 hour ago, dbaloo said:

Bit the bullet today..a whole £1 on at 9-1 for it to snow at Cardiff Airport Christmas day 

Did the exact same thing yesterday. Probably cursed it now haha

Anyway definitely looking like our best chance of a white Christmas for over a decade. Exciting week of model watching ahead

[Sky Full]

ECM is showing this chart for snow depth at midnight Christmas Day….

  

That would be something to remember!   I very much doubt that it will end up as widespread as that but somewhere in Wales could get a white Christmas this year  

 

Edited December 17, 2021 by Sky Full

[snefnug]

I thought the MAD output peeps were going to commit mass lemmingness when I popped in on page 37.  A super speedy fast forward to page 42 lo they  have retreated back from the cliff edge and are once  more happy snowlemmings.  Toys back in prams….

[DeepSnow]

11 hours ago, Sky Full said:

ECM is showing this chart for snow depth at midnight Christmas Day….

  

That would be something to remember!   I very much doubt that it will end up as widespread as that but somewhere in Wales could get a white Christmas this year  

 

Why do they always hate us costal areas things are looking a bit more promising with England getting an Alert for cold weather in the week, hopefully we will all join in on it here in Wales too!

[snefnug]

On 17/12/2021 at 17:47, snefnug said:

I thought the MAD output peeps were going to commit mass lemmingness when I popped in on page 37.  A super speedy fast forward to page 42 lo they  have retreated back from the cliff edge and are once  more happy snowlemmings.  Toys back in prams….

Mass lemming over cliff rush resumed.  Perhaps we can build a lemming protection barrier from overturned prams, thrown toys and chucked in towels?

Edited December 17, 2021 by snefnug

[mattrout92]

The Met Office Long Range updates looking pretty decent for our region, it must be said. A couple of encouraging quotes from them:

22nd - 31st December

Quote

Towards the middle of this period the threat of rain or wintery conditions increases, particularly towards the south and south west.

1st - 15th January

Quote

Any unsettled conditions during the start of this period are most likely to be confined to west and south-western regions, where longer spells of rain, and perhaps areas of snow, are possible with occasional strong winds. Through January, cold air is signalled to develop and remain in place across parts of Europe. From here, there is a chance that an easterly wind could bring periods of cold weather, and associated wintry hazards, to the UK.

This is possibly suggestive of sliding lows trying to make in roads, bringing the threat of snow as it bumps against colder air nearby.

[snefnug]

On 17/12/2021 at 19:50, mattrout92 said:

The Met Office Long Range updates looking pretty decent for our region, it must be said. A couple of encouraging quotes from them:

22nd - 31st December

1st - 15th January

This is possibly suggestive of sliding lows trying to make in roads, bringing the threat of snow as it bumps against colder air nearby.

Well nimby nimby wars could start here….  South west Wales in snow line, north east Wales in rain… but you are welcome, as we had nice bit last year and, no doubt, will get more, hopefully in the  first two weeks of Jan 2022, when no doubt, we will have Ohmigod firebreak.

[keithlucky]

1 hour ago, mattrout92 said:

The Met Office Long Range updates looking pretty decent for our region, it must be said. A couple of encouraging quotes from them:

22nd - 31st December

1st - 15th January

This is possibly suggestive of sliding lows trying to make in roads, bringing the threat of snow as it bumps against colder air nearby.

That's  the best thing about mad thread,doesn't matter if the Met says blizzards in 5 days time they won't believe them.But no snow in East UK snow in the west will turn to rain.No easterly wind they cannot get snow in there heads. Still think this type scenario we will see a few times over the next few weeks. Sweden Norway etc temperatures are dropping like a stone.Simple thing to remember charts cannot cope with easterly wind that's why each day forecasts are different. 

Edited December 17, 2021 by keithlucky

[snefnug]

Ahh, but just remembered.  Snowsville doesn’t start unless @andymusic appears.

[keithlucky]

1 minute ago, snefnug said:

Ahh, but just remembered.  Snowsville doesn’t start unless @andymusic appears.

I don't know what happened to him,he's never missed winter start,something wrong.