North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

[Chris.R]

43 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

I'll just add, I've not seen 5cm or more accumulated since 2013...yes 2013

Me neither.

[Methuselah]

5 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Of course you can forecast probabilities months in advance. It's actually not as hard as you think to forecast the macro scale. Of course, when you boil this down to a smaller area (micro level) you cannot forecast months in advance. 

The micro scale is not what seasonal forecasting is all about though.

Look at now- the macro scale is really quite good...and yes this was pinpointed months ago with the general precursor SSW set up. It was glaringly obvious in the output in October! However, even with this great set up, it may not truly deliver for us here on a micro scale.

That sounds rather like predicting that the Northern Hemisphere will get warmer in Summer and colder in Winter...?

[Cheshire Freeze]

Just now, General Cluster said:

That sounds rather like predicting that the Northern Hemisphere will get warmer in Summer and colder in Winter...?

It's all about likelihood and probabilities Peter

[iand61]

By the time that system from the north gets here it’ll certainly be rain as we don’t tend to get snow in July.

[Iceaxecrampon]

Anyone still remotely interested?

[cheshire snow]

1 minute ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Anyone still remotely interested?

Only in @CreweColdgets 5.1cm from it.

 

C.S

[Spah1]

1 minute ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Anyone still remotely interested?

Looks like pushing West into the sea and missing us but I’m watching. 

[Geordiesnow]

Well although it was slightly on the wett side, we did get moderate snow which left a dusting on the ground. Better than nothing I guess. 

[pip22]

8 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Looks like pushing West into the sea and missing us but I’m watching. 

That system is heading into Preston now and its coming to live as well. Fingers crossed we get the best bits before this year is out!

Edited December 31, 2020 by pip22

[Iceaxecrampon]

Just now, pip22 said:

That system is heading into Preston now and its coming to live as well.

Well - seeing that our local is well and truly boarded up and I've nothing really better to do apart from watching the f - c%%r for the past 2 hours from Sedbergh it better had.....

[Wardlegacy]

I think there may be a few surprises tonight, I know I’m in favoured area at 165m but these systems from the north even with warmer air aloft sometimes pep up this side of the Pennines.

[pip22]

Live Cam Blackpool

WWW.SKYLINEWEBCAMS.COM

---

View of the Promenade and Central Pier from Viva Blackpool

Surely looks like snow to me.

[Geordiesnow]

Just now, Wardlegacy said:

I think there may be a few surprises tonight, I know I’m in favoured area at 165m but these systems from the north even with warmer air aloft sometimes pep up this side of the Pennines.

Well if I can get a dusting at sea level, then some places even only slightly higher up will definately get something especially if the ground is frozen which it was here. It would never of laid on the ground in a million years if the ground was not frozen. 

[Iceaxecrampon]

*BOOOOOOOOMMMMMMM*

[pip22]

Live Cam Blackpool - Chapel Street

WWW.SKYLINEWEBCAMS.COM

---

View of Chapel Street leading to North Promenade from Cigarette Waste Art Gallery

Heres the better one!! Its definately snow!! 100% confirmed.

Edited December 31, 2020 by pip22

[Spah1]

I

1 minute ago, pip22 said:

Live Cam Blackpool - Chapel Street

WWW.SKYLINEWEBCAMS.COM

---

View of Chapel Street leading to North Promenade from Cigarette Waste Art Gallery

Heres the better one!! Its definately snow!! 100% confirmed.

It just needs to reach us and not slide to our west

[iand61]

23 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Anyone still remotely interested?

If it’s not heading this way then not me but good luck to anyone under it.

[Spah1]

Never seen a front move so slow.

[pip22]

1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

Never seen a front move so slow.

Its on our doorstep now. Just a inch more then game on!

[joggs]

I'm east of pennines in west yorks at 81m absl and light snow out of nearly nothing on radar. Enjoy

[HafrenLMP1]

44 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Me neither.

Same here; I think I mentioned it on the other thread that 2013 was the last decent snow falls; everything since then has been poor - even the BFTE.

[Spah1]

1 minute ago, pip22 said:

Its on our doorstep now. Just a inch more then game on!

Knackered. I was up at 5 radar watching.  

[I Cumbria Marra I]

30 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

Well although it was slightly on the wett side, we did get moderate snow which left a dusting on the ground. Better than nothing I guess. 

Dont know how you managed to get snow and i didnt, whats your altitude like? Still unbelievably slippy here, proper frozen rain.

[SnowWatcher2]

Hoping for some over North Manchester in the next few hours, looking unlikely but still possible as wind direction seems to have slightly changed to a more southerly direction. But for the most part seems to be heading through Preston, into Liverpool then Chester possibly , then maybe though North wales. 

[Weather-history]

Seems to be a common thing this week, snow on our region's motorways, J32 M6