Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[mountain shadow]

2 hours ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

All gloom in the MT, may enjoy what pitiful snow we get this week, however little that may be

Aye, hardly a get the sled waxed snow forecast. 

[Northwest NI]

There’s a decent chance of snow Sunday Night -> Thursday. Just enjoy it. Some time after Thursday it’s back to the usual crap for a while, so if you like wintery weather just appreciate the next 4/5 days.

[Rocheydub]

Hope for those of us on the eastern side of the island on Wednesday as Icon predict the low to be a bit more northerly. That looks like it could throw snow our way. I think that most northern areas will see snow on Monday too. Hope for us all?

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

1 minute ago, Rocheydub said:

Hope for those of us on the eastern side of the island on Wednesday as Icon predict the low to be a bit more northerly. That looks like it could throw snow our way. I think that most northern areas will see snow on Monday too. Hope for us all?

Maybe some interest towards the west as well Rochey?

[Rocheydub]

Yes possibly. I'm looking at wind direction, thickness and 850's. It would be a bit shocking to me if the chart I posted verified without a few localised disturbances in the flow. Game on if ICON is to be believed. Let's see what GFS says.

[mountain shadow]

Met Office update looks appalling after all the teleconnections hype.

Only scattered wintry showers with rain or sleet mid week.

Absolute joke.

[mountain shadow]

Dreadful 12zs.

3 or 4 days of a wee bit cold then back to mild, wet and windy.

[Northwest NI]

7 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Dreadful 12zs.

3 or 4 days of a wee bit cold then back to mild, wet and windy.

Yeah alright .

[Ever Hopeful]

Global warming in Ireland. Stormy, murky and wet. I (literally) wrote a book about it 

Edited January 13 by Ever Hopeful

[The Weather Watcher]

Air is slack most of the time, colder uppers are there most of the time (for several days). Seeing a few flakes would be nice, but not expecting it. 

[Northwest NI]

10 minutes ago, Ever Hopeful said:

Global warming in Ireland. Stormy, murky and wet. I (literally) wrote a book about it 

So what’s the book?

[Ever Hopeful]

2 minutes ago, Northwest NI said:

So what’s the book?

It’s called Into a Blood-red sky. (In my other life I write sci fi) 

[Northwest NI]

9 minutes ago, Ever Hopeful said:

It’s called Into a Blood-red sky. (In my other life I write sci fi) 

Available to sample? With a view to purchases depending on sample?

ok, a synopsis

[Ever Hopeful]

1 minute ago, Northwest NI said:

Available to sample? With a view to purchases depending on sample?

ok, a synopsis

Slightly scundered (I don’t tend to talk about it outside my writing life) Amazon page here with samples but happy to DM a PDF/e version (once I dig the files out) if it’s your kind of thing 

 

Jo Zebedee: books, biography, latest update

WWW.AMAZON.CO.UK

---

Follow Jo Zebedee and explore their bibliography from Amazon.com's Jo Zebedee Author Page.

 

[Northwest NI]

1 minute ago, Ever Hopeful said:

Slightly scundered (I don’t tend to talk about it outside my writing life) Amazon page here with samples but happy to DM a PDF/e version (once I dig the files out) if it’s your kind of thing 

 

Jo Zebedee: books, biography, latest update

WWW.AMAZON.CO.UK

---

Follow Jo Zebedee and explore their bibliography from Amazon.com's Jo Zebedee Author Page.

 

I’ll have a look but in advance of that, good luck and hopefully success!

[Jeztec]

33 minutes ago, Ever Hopeful said:

Global warming in Ireland. Stormy, murky and wet. I (literally) wrote a book about it 

There are tentive signs that HLB may return as we enter Feb. Winters not over yet folks!

[Northwest NI]

3 minutes ago, Jeztec said:

There are tentive signs that HLB may return as we enter Feb. Winters not over yet folks!

I think I’d rather just live with the “certainty” of wind and rain at this stage. I’ve no energy for another chase

Substitute “mild” for “death” in the following caption. Lord of the Rings types will get it

[mountain shadow]

1 hour ago, Jeztec said:

There are tentive signs that HLB may return as we enter Feb. Winters not over yet folks!

Sure, there were tentative signs of deep prolonged cold about a week ago, and that went down the pan quickly. 

I have very little confidence in these GWO, EAMT, MT teleconnections as they only give a broad brushstroke of where highs and lows might be.

What we see, is that a wee short wave can override these macro teleconnections and provide something far less potent.

[Jeztec]

22 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Sure, there were tentative signs of deep prolonged cold about a week ago, and that went down the pan quickly. 

I have very little confidence in these GWO, EAMT, MT teleconnections as they only give a broad brushstroke of where highs and lows might be.

What we see, is that a wee short wave can override these macro teleconnections and provide something far less potent.

Its really is getting to the stage of is there any point looking at long range mods anymore, for winter anyway! 

[Jeztec]

Looking like a wash out for Tuesday now! I give up

[mountain shadow]

20 minutes ago, Jeztec said:

Its really is getting to the stage of is there any point looking at long range mods anymore, for winter anyway! 

Well, I think it's more a case of understanding that a positive High Greenland anomaly does not necessarily mean a good snowy spell.

[Jeztec]

1 minute ago, mountain shadow said:

Well, I think it's more a case of understanding that a positive High Greenland anomaly does not necessarily mean a good snowy spell.

Definitely seems that way. 

[Ever Hopeful]

Met forecast just upgraded tomorrow a little here 

[The Weather Watcher]

Just now, Ever Hopeful said:

Met forecast just upgraded tomorrow a little here 

Yes. Even Newtownards has a good bit of showery activity for Monday. 

I think sea surface temperatures are still above average for this time of year. That coupled with the low 850 temperatures may give more beef to the showers?

[mountain shadow]

The problem is the thicknesses,  we're only under sub 528dm from mid Wednesday to mid Friday so I fear any precipitation will be rain or sleet before then, unless you live up a hill.

Fingers crossed and hopefully someone gets a decent flurry or two.