Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[MattStoke]

ICON is further north a touch  

But then shifts southward more quickly

Edited January 28, 2021 by MattStoke

[Midlander]

ICON 18Z, even if we do get the precip will it be worth it, with forecasted snow accumulation like that! 

Even the mountains of Wales are struggling to get any meaningful snow

Edited January 28, 2021 by AppleUK 123

[MKN]

7 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

ICON 18Z, even if we do get the precip will it be worth it, with forecasted snow accumulation like that! 

 

It does make the meto warning sound a bit odd. 

[Sweatyman]

20 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

ICON is further north a touch  

But then shifts southward more quickly

FF S !

[shunthebartlett92]

29 minutes ago, snowangel32 said:

Definitely seems to be trending South but can't complain if it misses me more than satisfied so far. 12 snowfalls 8 lying days of snow and countless frost's and air frost's thrown in. Think South mids will be in for a few cms but the last one went North after looking like it was going South so who knows I guess.

I think not only this but looking increasingly marginal away from the highest hills to be honest

[Dancerwithwings]

The outputs regarding most models are struggling come Saturday, tomorrow is the day when we’ll see better whether we’ll see snowfall cross the Midlands, but for now I’ve just seen BBC weather and all is good for most for Saturday and Sunday

[Snowy L]

Would trust Met Office written forecast with snow totals tbh. Just about whether we can get the front this far north.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Wow! although band looks skinnier than 12Z

[Midlander]

GFS 18Z, similar position but notice the lack of accumulating snow, even for the Wales

 

Edited January 28, 2021 by AppleUK 123

[MattStoke]

2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Wow! although band looks skinnier than 12Z

Pretty much holds firm. Maybe a tiny bit further north.

Edited January 28, 2021 by MattStoke

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Sunday though, pants on GFS! nothing at all

[andy_leics22]

That milder sector is further North on the GFS. Could be curtains for snow away from high ground. Dew points look on the wrong side of marginal.

Edited January 28, 2021 by andy_leics22

[nobble]

45 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

ICON 18Z, even if we do get the precip will it be worth it, with forecasted snow accumulation like that! 

Even the mountains of Wales are struggling to get any meaningful snow

Any amount of snow is worth it

[Midlander]

2 minutes ago, nobble said:

Any amount of snow is worth it

Absolutely! There can never be too much snow:)

 

[MattStoke]

Aperge has gone further north but a more northerly track looks more marginal.

Edited January 28, 2021 by MattStoke

[weirpig]

Ironic  Arperge  brings it further north  but is rain    then sleety mix

Edited January 28, 2021 by weirpig

[Gustywind]

Met Office app has downgraded Saturday also, was heavy snow for South Brum 6am - 12 at lunchtime, now sleet. Let’s hope things upgrade tomorrow, still time.

[Sleet30031972]

I'm not sure I can take all this suspense again . Why can't we just get a nailed on, non marginal nationwide snowfall. Much less stress 

[weirpig]

Harmonie  

[andy_leics22]

5 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Harmonie  

Here we go again! rollercoaster time. I just hope that the 06z looks good for me to wake up to, tomorrow.

[MattStoke]

7 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Harmonie  

A more northerly track gives me and the rest of the Midlands rain.

A more southerly track leaves me dry and gives the rest of the Midlands snow.

Great

[weirpig]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

A more northerly track gives me and the rest of the Midlands rain.

A more southerly track leaves me dry and gives the rest of the Midlands snow.

Great

Granted my geography isnt the best    but you must be close  to the northern edge

[shunthebartlett92]

11 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Harmonie  

I do find that in particular that exaggerates the extent of the band! 12 hours from now well have a better idea (probably). Not all over by any means 

[MattStoke]

Arome looks to be heading north too but again more marginal.

[Andypvfc]

2 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Granted my geography isnt the best    but you must be close  to the northern edge

I tend to find if you put Stoke on a straight line from the top of Wales, your not far out lol. Hence nowhere near that blob lol