Competition: How hot is it going to be?

[Sky Full]

As it now looks like Monday will bring the peak temperatures I would like to change my guess to 37.9C at Heathrow on Monday.

For Wales, 32.9C at Cardiff airport sometime on Monday…..

[Radiating Dendrite]

41.3c Tuesday - Lincolnshire.

[Paul]

Here are the runners and riders. Sorry @Radiating Dendrite, @Sky Full, @Summer18 and @sukayuonsensnow - you entered after the deadline so haven't been included. 

Temperature Competition (1).xlsx

The top temperature yesterday (day 1) was 30.1c as Gosport Fleetlands, which means these people are out of the running:

StormLoser 26.5c
Rich_Clements 29c
ribster 29.2c

[Paul]

Apologies @Sky Full - it's just your updated entry which hasn't been included, your original one is still in play. 

Here's the updated list - if anyone spots any other problems with it, please shout. 

Temperature Competition (2).xlsx

[kold weather]

Just a random tidbit but the average of all members expectations is nearly exactly the same as the current record (38.68 vs 38.7c).

Just thought that was quite cool!

[Snowyowl9]

42c

[Don]

Looks like my guess of 39C could well have been on the conservative side!  Oh well, too late now.

[Paul]

The top temperature yesterday was 26.6c in Wiggonholt. So no more knocked out, yet.

[Jo Farrow]

 This might have been a problem, as it appears it took a week to re-start 

[hillbilly]

36.9 deg Doncaster

[Roger J Smith]

Keeping in mind too that the contest as per original rules ends with Monday, higher values on Tuesday won't count right? 

Mentioned in the model thread that locations in Spain were running very close to their all-time highs on Thursday. All-time records in western France are around 41 C so the current model projections are basically bringing all-time record values north through France into Britain. Time will tell if this is correct. 

 

[Wold Topper]

7 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

Keeping in mind too that the contest as per original rules ends with Monday, higher values on Tuesday won't count right? 

Mentioned in the model thread that locations in Spain were running very close to their all-time highs on Thursday. All-time records in western France are around 41 C so the current model projections are basically bringing all-time record values north through France into Britain. Time will tell if this is correct. 

 

And there was me thinking it was just for fun right?

[Robbie Garrett]

On 15/07/2022 at 18:47, Jo Farrow said:

 This might have been a problem, as it appears it took a week to re-start 

A lot of hot air right?  ahha!

[Dancerwithwings]

Random one for me ...somewhere  East of Nottingham 41.2c 

[Paul]

27.2c at Heathrow was the top temp yesterday, so everyone except our initial early drop outs is still in play. Getting to the business end tomorrow..

[Snowyowl9]

Its gonna reached 37c in wales..in certain town valleys scorching...

[heg]

37.2c in Abingdon

[DogToffee]

I was thinking my guess of nearly 41° was being a bit silly. Might be bob on, what's the prize?

 

EDIT: 'Sokay, I looked up the original post.

Edited July 17, 2022 by DogToffee

[Snowyowl9]

What about nightime mins 29c min..27c min lowest..

Anyway its cooled down here now 19c..I thought 19c min was the record back in the day for london..

20c min is a tropical night officially..

Still a couple of 26c  on XC...

28c north france tip...

 

A

Edited July 17, 2022 by Snowyowl9

[Roger J Smith]

33.0 at Hawarden may be Sunday's high. All down to Monday now in this contest. If I win by accident I will donate my prize to the Tuesday value closest guess since it would probably be higher (and ineligible). Don't think it will happen because my guess of 40.3 is better for Tuesday than Monday. 

Edited July 18, 2022 by Roger J Smith

[Summer8906]

Out of the UK currently.

Perhaps it's natural scepticism about extreme temps kicking in , but I'll go with something comparable to previous events, and say 38.5 in the London area, and today. Knowing what has happened on previous occasions I'd expect Tuesday to be cloudier, which will knock the temps on the head.

Edited July 18, 2022 by Summer8906

[Staffordshire]

40.2c - somewhere in a triangle from Worksop, Newark and Lincoln.

[A Face like Thunder]

I'm out...or probably I was never in with a highest temperature forecast for yesterday 

[Stamford Bobby]

40.8 at Withering, Cambs

[Roger J Smith]

The highest reading I saw today was 38C in Cambridge, but that did not reach the meteociel Tmax map where 37.3 is the highest. Probably the official UK data when available will show something a little over 38 as the high, and that's yer contest winner by the rules. It can get to 41-42 tomorrow and it won't count except as a moral victory I suppose. 

The highest reading in France is about 43 C. Several locations had Tmax 42.6 to 42.8 on the meteociel maps.