Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards

[minus10]

Well no thunder but plenty of heavy rain now...

[Rich_T]

Just heavy rain here, and nothing thundery on the avation/metar forecast either

METAR TAF : East Midlands Airport, East Midlands England

EN.ALLMETSAT.COM

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METAR TAF : Current weather observation and Forecast, East Midlands East Midlands Airport England

 

[wimblettben]

Pictures I took around 8:30AM this morning of some dark looking unstable mid-level clouds before a load of showers came in an hour or so later.

 

[Dami]

had a storm here around 7am.

[Supacell]

20 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Indeed, I am a little hesitant as for any severe storms you generally want them to stay discrete or semi-discrete and when the mid-levels are fairly saturated, this can be difficult. 

Really want to chase today, but I'm just not sure if I can be bothered, especially since storms could be moving very quickly, talking 40mph+ possibly.

That's my conundrum at the minute. In seeing that skies have cleared on the south coast of Devon cams and so hoping that means the sun will come out more widely. Even then, once storms start to develop they could very quickly become a wet mess. However, I've got to be in it to win it. 

As for "chasing", that'll be impossible, it'd be a case of being in the right place ahead of them, otherwise they'll be off over the horizon before I can put the key in the ignition.

Also can't help feeling this is likely the last chance this year.

Edited October 23, 2022 by Supacell

[StormLoser]

Heavy rain overnight (No storms but I am in my own high pressure zone as you know...lol). Weather warning out for....a sunny Sunday with the odd shower. Really?

Back to the potting shed and a sherry in the greenhouse.

Edited October 23, 2022 by StormLoser

[Ben Sainsbury]

Already seeing some rapid convection over NW France, that looks promising for later today.

[Atmogenic]

Just woken up 5 mins ago and already heard a rumble of thunder outside our house, it sounded like someone rolling around their recycle bin and had to think about it first in case it was 

[Stormhog]

Some fairly close strikes this morning here in Hailsham. Thunder gave me a start as it's the time of year when I generally stop checking the radar for storms.

[Eagle Eye]

14 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Already seeing some rapid convection over NW France, that looks promising for later today.

Very odd question but what are the chances in Paris later would you say because I want a photo of lightning in front of some Disney ride lol?

Also if you can, can you recommend me some high level thunderstorm reading (online document would be helpful as I don't have much money),  I find pHD thesis' easier to understand than the supposedly easier stuff for some reason.

Edited October 23, 2022 by Eagle Eye

[Neilsouth]

BOOM!! Two large thunder bangs this morning and lots of torrential rain

[Mizzle]

Biblical rain here in the New Forest last night, along with some thunder: unfortunately I was too tired to get up and watch at 4am but am sure any lightning would have looked great from our balcony view!

So am now sitting in sunshine, watching the sky to my S/W and hoping today I will see some stunning cloudscapes.

[Ben Sainsbury]

7 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

Very odd question but what are the chances in Paris later would you say because I want a photo of lightning in front of some Disney ride lol?

Uh, not my area of expertise, but looks like a few storms may develop sometime in the evening but that's about all I can give.

[camturbo]

31 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Already seeing some rapid convection over NW France, that looks promising for later today.

Which way is it heading in your opinion please 

[A Face like Thunder]

Nothing thundery here and signs of the heavy and continuous rain moving away, as forecast.

[Harry]

Tremendous downpour just now. Flash flooding almost certainly going to be a concern today!

[Harry's House]

4 hours ago, Tom Quintavalle said:

Morning, all you Thunder lovers.

After those two blistering heatwaves during the Summer and with what must be higher than average S.S,T's in the English Channel, it should come as no surprise to experience quite a Thundery Autumn, especially in Southern Coastal locations.

We seem to be developing a Mediterranean type climate.

Thundery transition from Spring > Summer. I witnessed a couple of Thundery episodes here in S.E. London, in May.

This was followed by a pretty much Thunder free Summer, which was followed by a bit of Thunder as Summer transitioned into Autumn.

Being half Italian, I have witnessed plenty of Thundery episodes whilst on holiday during October, in Southern Italy.

Regards,

Tom Q. 

Like in 1976 as I mentioned in an earlier post a while back.

[Ben Sainsbury]

Looks like I'm out chasing after all, heading Reigate or Sevenoaks region. Conditions are better this morning than I had expected.

[Eagle Eye]

12 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Looks like I'm out chasing after all, heading Reigate or Sevenoaks region. Conditions are better this morning than I had expected.

Multi-model 6 hour maximum thunderstorm risk is a great way of looking at the risk in my opinion and I have to agree with Ben here it's looking really good, just as I go away of course.

[Andy Bown]

49 minutes ago, Harry said:

Tremendous downpour just now. Flash flooding almost certainly going to be a concern today!

It happened in my town just before dawn, only some residents who live at the bottom of 3 hills think the council are to blame! No way could any drain in their location cope with an inch plus of rain in less than half an hour!

[sunnijim]

Lightning strike causes roof fire this morning.

Easebourne house fire started by 'apparent lightning strike'

WWW.GOOGLE.COM

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People are being warned to avoid the area and keep windows and doors closed if living nearby.

 

[Mapantz]

A 15.8°C dew point here under sunny spells. Quite something for the backend of October.

[Allseasons-Si]

Over 3500 strikes on them storm over NW France in the last 20 minutes,...impressive

i see CW is sticking it's middle finger up for here though

good luck down in the SE today but the latest from UKV has a Kent clipper

maybe some odd storm this way this evening,...we shall see.

^^these are the 09z so upgrades may happen on the next run,...maybe.

[ChannelThunder]

Part two incoming. 

For the evening, the UKV shows a few stragglers as the low makes its way across the south, too. I'd love to have one final nighttime lightning photography chance this year.

[Allseasons-Si]

Just to add,...the radar has the showers further WSW at 13:00 than the UKV so this would be good news for more parts of the SE to be in the action.

 

Edited October 23, 2022 by Allseasons-si