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damianslaw

By damianslaw
in Northwest Weather Discussion

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cheshireoak Aficionado

cheshireoak

Posted
  • Location: East Cheshire marginal belt. 100m asl
  • Weather Preferences: seasonal with a leaning to colder winters
  • Location: East Cheshire marginal belt. 100m asl
Posted

Bright and cold in the marginals, but still feels like spring out of the wind. This event is going to be interesting-synoptics looking good and as said yesterday this is the classic set up for the East Cheshire marginals-but it's getting late in the year, how much will altitude be a factor and small differences in low position could make a very big difference. Not sure i'm going to see many colleagues from the Peak District for a day or two though!

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MattH
MattH

Hi to all across the NW!... Worth a post here given the setup just to add some extra thoughts and comments on the situation for tomorrow. The primary thing to mention at the moment is not to

Iceaxecrampon
Iceaxecrampon

Been awake since 2:45 am.  Dark Very Dark  The Cold Icy Lancashire rain.  Been to the Care Home to see my Mother   19-4-28 - 4-12-23  Rest in Peace Mum 

MattH
MattH

Quick reply... Many have got to remember that this event was never meant to be 'over' by the end of Thursday afternoon. The amount of abuse and bad commentary forecasters have got so far today be

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The Northern Ramper Accomplished

The Northern Ramper

Posted
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
Posted
2 minutes ago, Maz said:

Same to an extent here.  Lots of talk about Mcr, Merseyside and Cheshire, rather less about Cumbria.

With snow, I love to hear about the experience elsewhere…but only after my backyard has a covering.  Until that covering is in place envy takes over!

To an extent yes, but I find the members in here are more respectful of the ones missing out. Personally I’d love to see the likes of Preston to Cumbria to get a pasting but not at the expense of my location. 🙂

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

Metoffice automated shows a sleety mess for here on Thursday. I won’t be getting carried away.

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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted
4 minutes ago, Dark Horse said:

Cold seems to have extended into Sunday now. 

2c isn't mild at all and that's what is showing for here on Sunday, at least by the GFS.

Yeah, automated metoffice output was showing double figures for here on Sat on yesterday's output, now down to a max of 5C. The cold air is not being easily shunted away.

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Weather-history Maestro

Weather-history

Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

People getting very carried away in the mod thread. It looks very very marginal. 

I dare you to post  that in the model thread.........lol

 

giphy.gif?cid=ecf05e47pd9rsuv2xefmtpxr9p

 

Edited by Weather-history
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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted

Peoples inability to use ‘too’  in all the threads drives me nuts. 

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Dark Horse Accomplished

Dark Horse

Posted
  • Location: Audenshaw, Manchester, 100m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms. Pleasantly warm summers but no heat.
  • Location: Audenshaw, Manchester, 100m ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, severe snowstorm said:

Yeah, automated metoffice output was showing double figures for here on Sat on yesterday's output, now down to a max of 5C. The cold air is not being easily shunted away.

I always find their temps a few degrees out all through the year. Often they over do winter temps and under do summer.

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted
Just now, BlackburnChris said:

If ECM is anything to go by , North of Manchester could miss out totally on Thursday / Friday . 

Don’t say that the MO warning goes into Scotland surely can’t be that far out. 

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Maz Rising Star

Maz

Posted
  • Location: Summerseat, SE Lancashire (145m ASL)
  • Location: Summerseat, SE Lancashire (145m ASL)
Posted
3 minutes ago, Ramp said:

To an extent yes, but I find the members in here are more respectful of the ones missing out. Personally I’d love to see the likes of Preston to Cumbria to get a pasting but not at the expense of my location. 🙂

Yes, it’s far more respectful in here.  
 

Carlisle and Glossup can have a historic dumping and I will be delighted…as long as there is at least a thin covering here!

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted

Desperate for a completely unbiased look of what will happen on Thursday so I’m going in to the mad thread, wish me luck🤞

just in case someone winds me up though I’ve got my🪖ready.

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The Northern Ramper Accomplished

The Northern Ramper

Posted
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
Posted
1 minute ago, BlackburnChris said:

If ECM is anything to go by , North of Manchester could miss out totally on Thursday / Friday . 

How far north? 

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

Interested to see how this changes tomorrow.

Could contain: Plot, Map, Land, Nature, Rainforest, Vegetation, Atlas, Diagram, Person, Sea

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Geordiesnow Accomplished

Geordiesnow

Posted
  • Location: Morecambe
  • Location: Morecambe
Posted
12 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

That's what the regional threads are for. 

 

Indeed but you can't begrudge the facts though. The posts I hate is "I think we will see further adjustments southwards" basing on nothing but gut and probably wishful thinking. 

I am amazed how much the cold air is fighting back, it looked an almost foregone conclusion most of England will be in the milder air but now a slight change in the orientation and positioning of the low could well change the story all together. 

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The Northern Ramper Accomplished

The Northern Ramper

Posted
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
Posted
1 minute ago, iand61 said:

Desperate for a completely unbiased look of what will happen on Thursday so I’m going in to the mad thread, wish me luck🤞

just in case someone winds me up though I’ve got my🪖ready.

Good luck with that 😂

1 minute ago, Geordiesnow said:

Indeed but you can't begrudge the facts though. The posts I hate is "I think we will see further adjustments southwards" basing on nothing but gut and probably wishful thinking. 

I am amazed how much the cold air is fighting back, it looked an almost foregone conclusion most of England will be in the milder air but now a slight change in the orientation and positioning of the low could well change the story all together. 

Based on nothing but wishful thinking.

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BlackburnChris Enthusiast

BlackburnChris

Posted
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

Don’t say that the MO warning goes into Scotland surely can’t be that far out. 

I hope it changes , But once they start correcting South it usually continues . Thats why the people in the Midlands are getting excited in the Model Thread , 

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The Northern Ramper Accomplished

The Northern Ramper

Posted
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

Indeed but you can't begrudge the facts though. The posts I hate is "I think we will see further adjustments southwards" basing on nothing but gut and probably wishful thinking. 

I am amazed how much the cold air is fighting back, it looked an almost foregone conclusion most of England will be in the milder air but now a slight change in the orientation and positioning of the low could well change the story all together. 

I must admit I’m even getting concerned for Cheltenham next week.

Edited by Ramp
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Winter Hill Seasoned

Winter Hill

Posted
  • Location: Horwich, Bolton.. 196m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow.. frost. Freezing fog
  • Location: Horwich, Bolton.. 196m asl
Posted
Just now, Ramp said:

I must admit I’m even getting concerned for Cheltenham next week.


me too. 
I do love losing money to the bookie for Cheltenham 

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Dark Horse Accomplished

Dark Horse

Posted
  • Location: Audenshaw, Manchester, 100m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms. Pleasantly warm summers but no heat.
  • Location: Audenshaw, Manchester, 100m ASL
Posted

Going to prize myself away from screens for a couple of hours and actually make my tea, had nothing since late morning with all this excitement 😂

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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted
4 minutes ago, Dark Horse said:

I always find their temps a few degrees out all through the year. Often they over do winter temps and under do summer.

Yeah, agreed. Good for a general guide on temp trends based on raw model output going forwards though.

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Maz Rising Star

Maz

Posted
  • Location: Summerseat, SE Lancashire (145m ASL)
  • Location: Summerseat, SE Lancashire (145m ASL)
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

I hope it changes , But once they start correcting South it usually continues . Thats why the people in the Midlands are getting excited in the Model Thread , 

Indeed, past experience suggests the model bias to underestimate cold blocks and hence for battlegrounds to move south is very real.  Hence the excited posters in MOD thread from the likes of Leicester and NE Cotswolds are not just hope casting.

Edited by Maz
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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted
16 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:

Seems I'm to far north now 😞

I'd wait until tomorrow's models runs before giving up hope. The situation is far from resolved yet.

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