Storms and Convective discussion - 20th March 2023 onwards

[summer blizzard]

[Eagle Eye]

Previously unseen lighting photographs from last year that I've just got through scrolling through the footage.

 

[ChannelThunder]

Models have now gone off the idea of anything 'plumey' towards the end of next week. This is looking very '2018' albeit with the HP settling in earlier in the year this time. 

2018 was great for BBQs and a tan, not so much for storms. 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I’ve been having a bit of fun trying to work out the bizarre weather phenomenon thrown out by an AI generator I’ve found.

What would you say this is? A tornadoburst?

[Tobsterstorm 7469]

15 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I’ve been having a bit of fun trying to work out the bizarre weather phenomenon thrown out by an AI generator I’ve found.

What would you say this is? A tornadoburst?

Wow, that is impressive!

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

9 minutes ago, Tobsterstorm 7469 said:

Wow, that is impressive!

Quite amazing how they got the striations and the lighting so spot on

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

There’s some kind of hyper-convection going on here … is this Benson in Oxfordshire?

[matty40s]

10 hours ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

What would you say this is? A tornadoburst?

 

1 hour ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

There’s some kind of hyper-convection going on here … is this Benson in Oxfordshire?

I dont know what's strange about those, we have them all the time in the Nene valley. 

It's a ShiitakeField Mushroom cloud

Edited May 23, 2023 by matty40s

[Windblade]

15 hours ago, ResonantChannelThunder said:

Models have now gone off the idea of anything 'plumey' towards the end of next week. This is looking very '2018' albeit with the HP settling in earlier in the year this time. 

2018 was great for BBQs and a tan, not so much for storms. 

Wasn't that the year of the confirmed london supercell? I could see it from here and also had a brilliant import that night that arrived about midnight and lasted for 1.5 hours. 

[Iceman2606]

Afternoon Thunderstorms - 9 May 2023 Time-Lapse

 

[Frosty hollows]

On 23/05/2023 at 10:25, matty40s said:

 

I dont know what's strange about those, we have them all the time in the Nene valley. 

It's a ShiitakeField Mushroom cloud

The morning was pretty dull and brightened up in the afternoon.  Was a pretty average day tbf

[ChannelThunder]

On 23/05/2023 at 12:50, Windblade said:

Wasn't that the year of the confirmed london supercell? I could see it from here and also had a brilliant import that night that arrived about midnight and lasted for 1.5 hours. 

This one? (As seen from down here on the IOW, taken by Jamie Russell):

The Spring was good, but the summer offered nothing for most of us apart from that very hot late July afternoon that went bang for some eastern counties.

Edited May 24, 2023 by ResonantChannelThunder

[alexisj9]

On 22/05/2023 at 23:43, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I’ve been having a bit of fun trying to work out the bizarre weather phenomenon thrown out by an AI generator I’ve found.

What would you say this is? A tornadoburst?

Down burst perhaps.

[Thunders]

On 23/05/2023 at 12:50, Windblade said:

Wasn't that the year of the confirmed london supercell? I could see it from here and also had a brilliant import that night that arrived about midnight and lasted for 1.5 hours. 

I think that was the year that I had a mental storm too

 

55 minutes ago, ResonantChannelThunder said:

This one? (As seen from down here on the IOW, taken by Jamie Russell):

The Spring was good, but the summer offered nothing for most of us apart from that very hot late July afternoon that went bang for some eastern counties.

Yep, me 

[alexisj9]

Just now, Thunders said:

I think that was the year that I had a mental storm too

 

Yep, me 

Yep, and there was another a week later that hit Kent in the night about 2am, the lighting in that one was mental, about an hour's or so of constant lighting nonstop rumble, and most people slept through it lol. The gust front blew our fence down, and the landlord wouldn't believe us, was the only problem.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Can lightning strike a rainbow?

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

You can probably tell I’m getting pretty restless waiting for the exciting weather to come back. Not to take for granted how lovely it was today with the sun and the early summer warmth…

next week looks interesting …

[ChannelThunder]

12 hours ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Can lightning strike a rainbow?

What on earth is going on there? 

Photoshop, I suspect, is the answer!

[Eagle Eye]

20 hours ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Can lightning strike a rainbow?

I am so confused by this but I'm going to say photoshop plus rainbows aren't physical things and their light isn't affected by lightning. We've seen lightning inside a rainbow crawl outside many times, it wouldn't affect the light of it.

[Metwatch]

On 22/05/2023 at 21:14, Eagle Eye said:

Previously unseen lighting photographs from last year that I've just got through scrolling through the footage.

 

Thought I'd do a similar post but more of a #throwbackthursday one as convective activity is currently pretty quiet.

On the 9th September of last year I finally managed to capture a clear lightning bolt in the daytime, after trying to capture it for a good 15 minutes. Following on a rather quiet summer last year for my locality, September massively made up for it, and brought some other spectacular storms, particularly by night.

Edited May 25, 2023 by Metwatch

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

10 hours ago, ResonantChannelThunder said:

What on earth is going on there? 

Photoshop, I suspect, is the answer!

It’s another random image I got from AI - I’m kind of fascinated by the things it makes and while we wait for the weather to turn more changeable it’s the closest I can get to anything thundery at the moment

1 hour ago, Metwatch said:

Thought I'd do a similar post but more of a #throwbackthursday one as convective activity is currently pretty quiet.

On the 9th September of last year I finally managed to capture a clear lightning bolt in the daytime, after trying to capture it for a good 15 minutes. Following on a rather quiet summer last year for my locality, September massively made up for it, and brought some other spectacular storms, particularly by night.

 

Albeit short that is a great capture - really clear with the flash and a beautiful fork.

Bet the crackle from that was impressive

[Tamsin]

On 25/05/2023 at 01:08, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Can lightning strike a rainbow?

I just laughed out loud at the work messroom at this. 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Here are some interesting phenomena:

Article 1 - lightning from a noctilucent cloud:

this is entirely possible but it is quite hard to photograph unless you have your own space programme (I borrowed my Dad’s)

 

Article 2 - lightning from the Milky Way:

Fortunately this one didn’t reach our Earth (they can be quite distracting and loud)

Article 3 - North Pole thunderstorms. These daft clouds are caused when icebergs become negatively charged

 

 

[ChannelThunder]

Any potential thunderstorms remain +10 days away in the models, where they've been for some time! I wonder how long this block will remain. All that instability over Iberia and the Med, but nothing to drive it our way!

Edited May 29, 2023 by ResonantChannelThunder

[Metwatch]

The operational runs of the GFS in recent days has been toying with an idea of something thundery into next week. Looks like it's trying to form a trough half way between Portugal and Azores and then send it up north our direction.

Other operational model runs such as GEM and ECM not showing much, so we'll have to wait and see if the other models join the GFS, or alternatively  GFS drops this signal. Ensembles for different models do show some rainfall (and maybe some of that potential convective activity) into later next week too, but that may disappear or continue to be pushed back.