Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

[fromthecab]

[Sparkiee storm]

Storm pop corn already and some well developing in the distance in the south and west, more cells could fire up soon. Also good starting the day with sun.

[Daniel_c150311]

saw this rain shower with a  small funnel on tuesday there's not very good quality on the funnel photo but I definitely saw it rotating it lasted 2 minuites.

[Supacell]

Good convective skies to start the day.

Already been some cells over the Peak District, but they were moving way too fast for me to attempt chasing them. Good news is that the sun is out and so temperatures will very soon start rising quickly and in a humid, unstable airmass. I'm still not 100% sure where to go, but still thinking somewhere around the Western Peak District for late afternoon. Before that I will stay home and will something to crop up here.

[Daniel_c150311]

odd skies, I don't know what there called if anyone can identify them.

[Michael Jd Scott]

Hey guys, hope we're all good!!

Just wondering if anyone knows what these clouds are...and they're meaning,would love to see a tidy storm, wondering if those clouds are a good sign for me? I'm in Newbridge, s.e Wales,near Newport

Cheers guys

 

 

[Guest]

Can’t get a bigger fail than this.

[Ben Sainsbury]

2 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Can’t get a bigger fail than this.

Uh, fortunately Alderc that AROME chart displayed is 07UTC which would correspond to 08BST. So we've got an hour yet for these developments to kick off  

Latest radar frame would suggest dark echoes developing S of IOW.

Edited July 8, 2023 by Ben Sainsbury

[Guest]

3 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Uh, fortunately Alderc that AROME chart displayed is 07UTC which would correspond to 08BST. So we've got an hour yet for these developments to kick off  

Latest radar frame would suggest dark echoes developing S of IOW.

06Z even worse…..

Ah yes, you right re the development south of the IOW though, still that not on the above.

 

Edited July 8, 2023 by Alderc

[Ben Sainsbury]

1 minute ago, Alderc said:

06Z even worse…..

Haha, fair! Not surprised that models are having difficulty getting a good grasp tbh.

Edited July 8, 2023 by Ben Sainsbury

[Harry]

The stuff erupting near IOW is now electrified and I have this pile of beauties to my west currently (you can just make out the A380 turning towards Heathrow in front of it). 

I have a HIIT class between 09:00 and 10:00 and really struggling whether to go, or wait out to see if there are any storms…what to do!!?!?!?!?!?

Edited July 8, 2023 by Harry

[sunnijim]

Started going up in the last 10 mins.Areas to my North/NE might see this development further.In SE London at moment.

Edited July 8, 2023 by sunnijim

[The PIT]

Some early convection pushing through here northwards. A storm to the north west of me.

[Norfolk Sheep]

6 minutes ago, sunnijim said:

Started going up in the last 10 mins.Areas to my North/NE might see this development further.In SE London at moment.

I can see exactly the same sort of thing, it's about 15 miles to my SW, radar shows a small shower developing.

[Sparkiee storm]

 

Looks like some decent activity starting in the channel.

 

[Love Snow]

Nice little storm here to wake everyone up on a Saturday  

[Hedge End weather watcher]

Very still atmosphere but gone very humid here in Hedge End, my view looking south towards the Isle of Wight - some thunder rumbling around now 

[Snowkissedtwice]

Hearing the booms from the strikes out in the channel at the moment! I fear thats all we will get though... other than wet.

[matt111]

Getting quite dark to the south of here now. 

[the storm fisherman]

I can hear the channel storm here in Gosport when the traffic dies down a bit

 

 

[sheikhy]

48 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Can’t get a bigger fail than this.

You think thats bad mate!!!compare it to its 18z run for the same time and you will question the existance of the model lol!!!same goes for the ukv in circumstances we are in right now!!

[Daniel_c150311]

                                                          

 

reminding me of the 2015 event

[minus10]

Nice....but will they continue to develop and move/build nne?

[Paul R]

Had a small thunderstorm come through about 2.30am, couple of flashes and a bit of thunder, but nothing of any note. Interested to see how the line of storms that's recently lit up in the channel fairs as it moves up toward me. 

[Nick F]

Something brewing over the Channel with IoW's name on it.

Also can see the arc of Ac cas bringing spotty showers and storms across N and E England lifting N on the nose of higher theta-w plume streaming N

00z models bit over the place still, not really modelling storms mid E Channel too well, ahead of cold front rain, UKV probably closest and has a line move NE tbis morning, maybe a bit slow, EC perhaps similar but faster. 

NW England looks sweet spot this afternoon for surface based storms to develop

 

Edited July 8, 2023 by Nick F