Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

[Supacell]

A new month, a new storms thread. 

What a month June was for some of us. Now officially the hottest June on record and for some central and western parts it has been a pretty thundery month too. The huge disparity in rainfall during June shows that the distribution of storms were not even, and when are they ever?! 

Hopefully, for those who love the storms, there will be more to come in July and for those who are yet to see one, your drought will be broken in July. Either way, please continue to discuss in here.

Old thread is here:

https://community.netweather.tv/topic/98875-storms-and-convective-discussion-june-2023/page/193/#comment-4880298

The No Storms club thread hasn't been used since June 18th, but it is here for you to talk about your lack of storms. During busy times it can get quite difficult to keep up with actual storm reports amongst the posts of no storm reports. Could I kindly ask that we use the no storms thread more please:

https://community.netweather.tv/topic/98637-no-storms-club-2023/

Good luck to all

Edited July 1, 2023 by Supacell

[Tamsin]

I don't really understand the models but this one below looks good right?

Granted it's not a good location for me but I see discrete blobs of precipitation at 3pm prime time 

[The Tall Weatherman]

8 minutes ago, Tamsin said:

I don't really understand the models but this one below looks good right?

Granted it's not a good location for me but I see discrete blobs of precipitation at 3pm prime time 

Showers are indeed possible but SB Cape ( Convective available potential energy) is almost nonexistent to fuel storms.

[Richard Taylor]

Rumble of thunder in Aberdeen. Some quite active cells in the area.

[Metwatch]

Still keeping an eye for next weekend, could be something to watch for, with a possible moist and humid unstable airmass arriving again. Looks as if we got a trough placed to our west and heights to our east. The ECM 500hPa geopotential pressure ensemble average shows this quite nicely on the 3rd attachment. It's no thundery breakdown after high pressure, but some storms in the midst of this possibly lengthy unsettled pattern would do me nicely for July.

Edited July 1, 2023 by Metwatch

[Tobsterstorm 7469]

Here's some of my best lightning captures this year so far 

All of them were in May  enjoy!

 

Edited July 1, 2023 by Tobsterstorm 7469

[Shaunado]

...and the storm of the day award goes to W Yemen!! 

https://www.weatherandradar.co.uk/weather-map?center=17.52,43.36&zoom=5.78&layer=lr

[ChannelThunder]

Well, as someone in the old thread predicted, plumey possibilities are back on the table for next weekend on ECM...

[CoventryWeather]

55 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:

Well, as someone in the old thread predicted, plumey possibilities are back on the table for next weekend on ECM...

Not a bad run for the weekend. A plume for the south coast, and central regions on Friday Night, with several rounds of showers and storms until Tuesday. 

Hopefully we get somewhere with this - and let's hope for an extension of the heat and plume. 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Expected today to be a decent day of convective cloudscapes and wasn't left disappointed 

Nice mid level instability w dark base

Really good turkey tower example

Day rounded off in super style Anvil + Virga

 

 

 

 

[Harry]

14 hours ago, CoventryWeather said:

Not a bad run for the weekend. A plume for the south coast, and central regions on Friday Night, with several rounds of showers and storms until Tuesday. 

Hopefully we get somewhere with this - and let's hope for an extension of the heat and plume. 

Only observation I would make is that sometimes (often in my experience) the best storms come from transient plumes, ie those that stick around for 1-2 days or less. You don’t want hot sticky air all the way up the atmosphere or else atmospheric profiles become too warm and moist and clouds struggle to get height. Hot sticky air at low levels with some coolness aloft or at least close by and boom!! 

[Windblade]

I see the revolting heat is back this friday going into the weekend - I knew it wouldn't bugger off for long.  I just hope we get some relief in the form of showers or if we're really lucky some good storms. I've yet to see a single fork this year. All the stuff I've seen has been ic. 

Edited July 3, 2023 by Windblade

[ChannelThunder]

Friday's potential plume is looking like the best set up so far this year. The parent low pressure looks to set up west of NI/Scotland, with its cold front poised to sweep in from the west, bringing a short and sharp burst of WAA being undercut by cold air aloft originating from the NW Atlantic. Ahead of this, models seem to be picking up on pockets of mid-level instability drifting up from Spain, which look like they could ignite somewhere between S Eng and N France 

[UnderTheAnvil]

Just heard a very close crack of thunder, not showing up on detectors though

[Metwatch]

Torrential showers just south of the city moving quickly. 

With the cool airmass, cloud heights are fairly low topped I imagine, probably no higher than 20000 feet. 

[Windblade]

Some strikes confirmed on blitz...

 

And netweather radar starting to look tasty, even for me (although not expecting anything thundery but some rain would be lovely).

Edited July 3, 2023 by Windblade

[Mysteric]

 

Had this pass through about 20 mins ago or so, fair bit of hail and thunder that shook my flat.

[Tamsin]

On 01/07/2023 at 09:23, Tamsin said:

I don't really understand the models but this one below looks good right?

Granted it's not a good location for me but I see discrete blobs of precipitation at 3pm prime time 

It's a stretch but I'm going to say I called it!  Yay for UKV

[Woollymummy]

 we just saw this lot going by, my camera ran out of battery so no photo but I like to imagine there were little mini tornado formations as it swept past. Very strange edge.

 

[Lincs Observation]

Good afternoon

Squall line passing through my area, with imbedded thunder, very heavy rain but should push through quite quickly.

 

LO

[fromthecab]

[Windblade]

6 minutes ago, Woollymummy said:

 we just saw this lot going by, my camera ran out of battery so no photo but I like to imagine there were little mini tornado formations as it swept past. Very strange edge.

 

Sorry to be that guy but there's no such thing as a "mini tornado" only a tornado. Did you see any rotation when it swept past? Be interesting to see if there was anything.

Edited July 3, 2023 by Windblade

[Windblade]

I do find it quite odd convective weather never had anything out there for today. Quite a few strikes on radar now.

[Metwatch]

From Hunstanton looking to that squall line.

Cliff Top Live Webcam In Hunstanton, Norfolk

HUNSTANTON.WEBCAM

---

Watch a live video stream from the very top of the old Coastguard Lookout, towards Old Hunstanton Beach in Norfolk, UK.

 

[Shaunado]

BBC News - Weather satellite captures lightning spectacle across Earth

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66081621