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Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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UncleSlim Newbie

UncleSlim

Posted
  • Location: Andover
  • Location: Andover
Posted

You're not wrong there. Eire and the western coasts of the UK have seen more storms than areas such as the Midlands, and the far South-East so far this year

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
2 hours ago, Eagle Eye said:

A few timelapses from yesterday. Ignore that I forgot to turn it into mute and you're hearing bird noises at like 20 times the speed.

 

   

 

 

Be honest - it’s you kissing the camera 😅

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Arnie Pie Accomplished

Arnie Pie

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
Posted (edited)

Just a quick question

On the UKV model graphics for Cloud Cover🙃

What is the colour of the clouds, Black or White?

Edit; something seems to be strengthening and heading our way from Ludlow 🧐

Edited by Arnie Pie
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Thunders Community Regular

Thunders

Posted
  • Location: South east, Eastbourne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, hurricanes, and my favourite tornadoes
  • Location: South east, Eastbourne
Posted
2 hours ago, UncleSlim said:

You're not wrong there. Eire and the western coasts of the UK have seen more storms than areas such as the Midlands, and the far South-East so far this year

Yeah, I can agree. I’m hoping there’s a flip for late July to early September

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Thunders Community Regular

Thunders

Posted
  • Location: South east, Eastbourne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, hurricanes, and my favourite tornadoes
  • Location: South east, Eastbourne
Posted

This storm affecting New York metropolitan area will hamper any Independence Day celebrations

Could contain:

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ChannelThunder Accomplished

ChannelThunder

Posted
  • Location: Thorley, west Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes & stormy winters. Facebook @ Lance's Lightning Shots
  • Location: Thorley, west Isle of Wight
Posted
54 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

Just a quick question

On the UKV model graphics for Cloud Cover🙃

What is the colour of the clouds, Black or White?

Edit; something seems to be strengthening and heading our way from Ludlow 🧐

There's a key at the side, denoting percentage of cloud cover, with the darkest shade being full/thick cloud cover. Basically, think of it like the opposite of a satellite image, this time the intense white is clear skies, not cloud, and vice versa!

image.thumb.png.17ef602666a3452944c1f293a0b32aea.png

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
23 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:

There's a key at the side, denoting percentage of cloud cover, with the darkest shade being full/thick cloud cover. Basically, think of it like the opposite of a satellite image, this time the intense white is clear skies, not cloud, and vice versa!

image.thumb.png.17ef602666a3452944c1f293a0b32aea.png

I’ve ALWAYS found this confusing 😂

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LIGHTNING ACTION Enthusiast

LIGHTNING ACTION

Posted
  • Location: North Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms and severe weather
  • Location: North Yorkshire
Posted

image.thumb.png.e4e02dc8f7d80fa96c4b319160236bed.png

watching dark clouds and rain down south of York, looks interesting but no thunder or anything like that

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted

A small storm between Alsager and Crewe moving slowly this way. I'm not expecting it to reach here but nice to have something to watch.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted

Seeing talk of storms in the north again on Saturday… and guess what? Nothing but REALLY HOT HUMID conditions in the south 😡

I like warm evenings and all that but where are the storms? I mean… WHERE ARE THE STORMS?

 

once more: WHEREARETHESTORMS?!

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Turquoise Community Regular

Turquoise

Posted
  • Location: Congleton, Cheshire
  • Location: Congleton, Cheshire
Posted

a few rumbles here in Congleton, no rain as of yet....no lightning seen either. Sky looks a beautiful mix of orange, pink and purple. Quite incredible.

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Azazel Veteran

Azazel

Posted
  • Location: Andover, Hampshire
  • Location: Andover, Hampshire
Posted
1 hour ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Seeing talk of storms in the north again on Saturday… and guess what? Nothing but REALLY HOT HUMID conditions in the south 😡

I like warm evenings and all that but where are the storms? I mean… WHERE ARE THE STORMS?

 

once more: WHEREARETHESTORMS?!

I’m seeing a small chance for me here on Saturday morning at like 8am which is the worst time for storms (elevated ones) - just a slab of grey with the odd flash and rumble - but I suppose beggars can’t be choosers 

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

Some impressive atmospheric profiles being modelled for Saturday, though I can't help but feel like it's very similar to what we had two weekends ago. That saying, I think already at this stage, somewhere is likely to see some active thunderstorms.

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Metwatch Maestro

Metwatch

Posted
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, thunderstorms, warmth, sun any time!
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
Posted

 

Nice surprise storms in Cheshire captured by Alex again this evening.

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted
9 minutes ago, Metwatch said:

 

Nice surprise storms in Cheshire captured by Alex again this evening.

Yes saw some nice lightning here in Crewe

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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted

Lightning amongst the heavier rain moving along the coast. Typically it started after it passed here.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted (edited)

Next week it looks like Ireland could get some much-needed storms (the remaining bits of Ireland that haven’t already been singed by lightning)

it also looks like chances are improving for Saturday further south

Edited by Flash bang flash bang etc
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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted

ICON:

3BF39A15-E405-42A2-AD41-12CE2526858F.thumb.png.50bb4227b35c7327d12fb60742102d68.png

GFS:

C8387884-B95B-4EBE-9CE3-126B82B70814.thumb.png.5b71e237f1a5eb46af2b93713f17480b.png
 

ICON always seems very keen to electrify everything, so a middle-ground between these two is probably nearer the mark

Either way it looks like the possibility of an overnight storm is dead-in-the-water - except for maybe Exeter through to Bournemouth, where initiation could possibly occur just before dawn.

There’s also the sobering possibility that too much capping could scupper development, and I’m wondering if this is another case of early weak thunderstorms stopping play, similar to a couple of weeks ago 🤔

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