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Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted (edited)

Another round of Thunderstorms over the weekend, for northern England and Scotland/Ireland 👍

Edited by Sprites
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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

Some more timelapses to add to that as well

   

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
11 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

Some more timelapses to add to that as well

 

 

 

 

Just had a nice heavy shower here 

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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

A couple more photos. I've got loads today. Every time I think Im in a lull and upload some more here, another few seem to pop up.

20230705_152758.thumb.jpg.bc5d38c38382c7faf8aa4f6613fb1848.jpg

20230705_152837.thumb.jpg.6fd81d061d0dda06a928201d5d5212d5.jpg

20230705_152844.thumb.jpg.72ff9a83652e42495822c65fd538e2ff.jpg

20230705_152913.thumb.jpg.aac3b7567bb71ddd556e6b26e396d88b.jpg

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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

Lots of photos from recently off my main camera.

P1190025copy.thumb.png.a0363646c33083aa2ef624890f43fff7.pngP1190038copy.thumb.png.d321395d2f37313deddb242d8ec260f4.pngP1190047copy.thumb.png.6b601a6265a689edfcc49842bd641e71.pngP1190049copy.thumb.png.660cf4fe7112d58509f99399afec152b.pngP1190054copy.thumb.png.59c330ef4c06cdde3829b9e3e09b19c7.png

 

Might speed up and slow down some of the time lapses and reshare them later.

P1190207copy.thumb.jpg.f0c9e447cdc59bc18192f7ca9ce4f624.jpgP1190225copy.thumb.jpg.1e2ae5ebf4db835ffaabb2916224db78.jpgP1190732copy.thumb.jpg.3162cfad16a9afa18da2d671ee3ae1e1.jpgP1200724copy.thumb.jpg.f505fe98acd89209c2820ea3a323b38b.jpgP1210009copy.thumb.jpg.10c4fc4ffb23043d83a0dcd8df8fe5a8.jpg

 

 

 

 

 

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Metwatch Maestro

Metwatch

Posted
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, thunderstorms, warmth, sun any time!
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
Posted

03z UKV looked interesting earlier. This evening's 15z with the 1 hour intervals for early Saturday afternoon will also be interesting to see what it produces.

Could contain:

Could contain:

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ChannelThunder Accomplished

ChannelThunder

Posted
  • Location: Thorley, west Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes & stormy winters. Facebook @ Lance's Lightning Shots
  • Location: Thorley, west Isle of Wight
  • Popular Post
Posted
29 minutes ago, JR319 said:

That’s what I like to hear - 

Could contain:

I fixed it for them: 

IMG_2959.jpeg.6c6ef15adbdf65d32f215426454cf73d2.thumb.jpeg.3884ee47aa4b1118d8c0309e89d467df.jpeg

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted

Another storm, they are not very active, but they look good.

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Atmogenic Seasoned

Atmogenic

Posted
  • Location: Kent,Ashford
  • Weather Preferences: Love heat & thunderstorms, but hate the cold
  • Location: Kent,Ashford
Posted

the showers here looked pretty dark, i bet if it was 30 degrees or so they would've been great thunderstorms

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Scuba steve Maestro

Scuba steve

Posted
  • Location: Arnside ,where people go to die 9000m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: All weather
  • Location: Arnside ,where people go to die 9000m Asl
Posted

Had some impressive looking skies around lunchtime but it all fizzled out

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Metwatch Maestro

Metwatch

Posted
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, thunderstorms, warmth, sun any time!
  • Location: Coventry, 96m asl
Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, Metwatch said:

03z UKV looked interesting earlier. This evening's 15z with the 1 hour intervals for early Saturday afternoon will also be interesting to see what it produces.

Could contain:

Could contain:

Mis-calculated the UKV slightly, it's from tomorrow afternoon's run that it starts to show hourly intervals for Saturday afternoon as it reaches into the T + 54 range. Risk is further north east tonight though a bit weak.

Could contain:

Edited by Metwatch
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LightningLover Accomplished

LightningLover

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and wind storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
Posted

Slim pickings once again from the 15z UKV... Blimey, what do we have to do to get a widespread elevated MCS?

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted
14 minutes ago, LightningLover said:

Slim pickings once again from the 15z UKV... Blimey, what do we have to do to get a widespread elevated MCS?

Definitely feeling like that this year @LightningLover

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Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted

The timing is all wrong for this and will be though the diurnal minimum. It’s going to be a tough ask to get anything in the south. Not a single storm here so far this summer, nothing in the pipeline if I’m perfectly honest. 

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LightningLover Accomplished

LightningLover

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and wind storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Harry said:

Definitely feeling like that this year @LightningLover

Feels like the last severe, large, very electrically active MCS the UK had was 23rd July 2019! Didn't even affect East Sussex, but was still amazing to witness on radar and lightning maps! Not to mention how buzzing the storm thread was!

Edited by LightningLover
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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

It is interesting how much the slight variations in trough positioning recently have tended to stop these large MCS's. Seems to be a genuine thing in recent years. Especially this year which may be due to El Nino and there were a lot more MCS's in the recent La Nina years but generally not enough energy for those big MCS's to occur.

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LightningLover Accomplished

LightningLover

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and wind storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
Posted
Just now, Eagle Eye said:

It is interesting how much the slight variations in trough positioning recently have tended to stop these large MCS's. Seems to be a genuine thing in recent years. Especially this year which may be due to El Nino and there were a lot more MCS's in the recent La Nina years but generally not enough energy for those big MCS's to occur.

The 2014-2019 period was almost like a large-scale MCS renaissance! Many of my personal favorites were from then.

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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted
4 minutes ago, LightningLover said:

The 2014-2019 period was almost like a large-scale MCS renaissance! Many of my personal favorites were from then.

My fault. I got properly interested in weather in 2020.

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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

ECM looking good for Saturday. Worth noting that the UKV struggles with MCS's if it gets to that.

xx_model-en-340-0_modez_2023070512_69_4855_548.thumb.png.9e37b57c273fd03625535f6aae1ead00.png

xx_model-en-340-0_modez_2023070512_72_4855_548.thumb.png.e7f92b3f115a569e0bdb0f0fcf9ba9f9.png

xx_model-en-340-0_modez_2023070512_75_4855_548.thumb.png.1201d9127e1d44dac3f8598b07e64336.png

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WeatherArc Rising Star

WeatherArc

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and long, sunny summers
  • Location: Birmingham
Posted

GDPS looking very interesting for sat, widely 1000+ j/kg of sbcape with some spots in Cambridgeshire reaching 2500+

Screenshot2023-07-05221654.thumb.png.77ec42d3782a7b98de620f49182dae90.pngScreenshot2023-07-05222522.thumb.png.b2af14a9019588804794f56ded4743dd.pngScreenshot2023-07-05222501.thumb.png.a959265a06689375a6cae02cfc6e76ce.pngScreenshot2023-07-05222605.thumb.png.1f61f2f94250cba89f541cfc70f1cf4f.png

Sounding from around Peterborough, large hail analogs here of 3.65 (softball) and 2.75 (baseball) Potential weak tornado threat as well. Good 3cape values on lots of soundings.

Screenshot2023-07-05222008.thumb.png.434155113a7fda3a549f96eac5255129.pngScreenshot2023-07-05222326.thumb.png.cbc4f951bfdf427a8a67da58fcde625a.png

Shaping up to be another day of intense-severe thunderstorms for central England. 

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