Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24

[aggy]

Ok so we now have 16 hours of light snow tomorrow from met o

 

temps far lower than forecast also 

[aggy]

My vote goes to the BBC 

[Ross B]

2 minutes ago, aggy said:

My vote goes to the BBC 

 

That would do!

 

15Z UKV is a bit too far south for my liking at the same time, but does have a second chance later in the day. (charts the wrong way round below)

Edited January 15 by Ross B

[Cheggers]

11 minutes ago, aggy said:

Ok so we now have 16 hours of light snow tomorrow from met o

 

temps far lower than forecast also 

I hope so, but then again I have a trip out to Perth Airport tomorrow lunch from Stirling that could be fun.

[aggy]

4 minutes ago, Ross B said:

 

That would do!

 

15Z UKV is a bit too far south for my liking at the same time, but does have a second chance later in the day. (charts the wrong way round below)

Yeah I seen that 

 

I do think it will come in further north more in line withBBC 

from memory I believe mostly they come in slightly north than some models but who knows 

 

im out from 0630 in the community so will be fun 

5 minutes ago, Cheggers said:

I hope so, but then again I have a trip out to Perth Airport tomorrow lunch from Stirling that could be fun.

Could be a bit funky

[johncam]

19 minutes ago, aggy said:

Ok so we now have 16 hours of light snow tomorrow from met o

 

temps far lower than forecast also 

We are back to sleet for the afternoon 

[Hairy Celt]

27 minutes ago, johncam said:

Do we really want to be going up that garden path again 

Depends

edit: I see @snowidea is out the bath at last 

Edited January 15 by Hairy Celt

[Bats32]

Didn't an SSW ruin spring last year? Beyond a certain point, no thanks.

[jon_d1983]

30 minutes ago, johncam said:

Do we really want to be going up that garden path again 

Welllllllll at least in here we wouldn’t be bickering with each other if it doesn’t happen

[A Winter's Tale]

A very cold evening after a fine sunny winter’s day. Glasgow airport already down to -5C after a high of 2C. Last night’s snow shower left a dusting which has remained and is certainly more than I would expect from a northerly. 

As for tomorrow I’m not expecting much more than an inch at best though I suspect some places where precipitation is heaviest and with some height there could be 5-10cm. It’s very much a nowcasting situation. While tomorrow doesn’t appear likely to be a memorable snow fest hopefully most of us will have a decent covering that lasts for a few days. 
 

After tomorrow it seems we could be in for some low temperatures (particularly at night). I’m sceptical of ice days in central Scotland as they are rarer in the second half of winter. However low night time minima is possible (especially if there is snow cover and light winds). The Met office are hinting at sub -10C for Glasgow which would be pretty notable should it happen. 

So while this cold spell is not the classic we hoped for it’s better than having no cold spell. Much of northern Scotland have experienced frequent snow showers with drifting lying snow and hopefully tomorrow this of us in central Scotland will join in on the action. 

[lorenzo]

Amazing.. someone has made a Ceefax 

Imagine it's more accurate than the GFS too..

  

 

[Big Gally]

9 minutes ago, johncam said:

We are back to sleet for the afternoon 

I wouldn’t worry to much about that. Looks really cold tomorrow. Not getting above 1 according to the met office. It’s changed so many times.

[johncam]

Just now, Big Gally said:

I wouldn’t worry to much about that. Looks really cold tomorrow. Not getting above 1 according to the met office. It’s changed so many times.

Ano flip floppin about 

[Capri61]

14 minutes ago, Big Gally said:

I wouldn’t worry to much about that. Looks really cold tomorrow. Not getting above 1 according to the met office. It’s changed so many times.

There is some milder air coming in with this system. However I am going along with others on here going with the BBC forecast . Any milder conditions will be short-lived as the bitter air sinks South again . 

Still time for the track of the system to change so will be keeping a close aye on the later BBC forecast. Fingers crossed they stick to there guns and give most of the Central belt a good dumping of .

[damianslaw]

26 minutes ago, A Winter's Tale said:

A very cold evening after a fine sunny winter’s day. Glasgow airport already down to -5C after a high of 2C. Last night’s snow shower left a dusting which has remained and is certainly more than I would expect from a northerly. 

As for tomorrow I’m not expecting much more than an inch at best though I suspect some places where precipitation is heaviest and with some height there could be 5-10cm. It’s very much a nowcasting situation. While tomorrow doesn’t appear likely to be a memorable snow fest hopefully most of us will have a decent covering that lasts for a few days. 
 

After tomorrow it seems we could be in for some low temperatures (particularly at night). I’m sceptical of ice days in central Scotland as they are rarer in the second half of winter. However low night time minima is possible (especially if there is snow cover and light winds). The Met office are hinting at sub -10C for Glasgow which would be pretty notable should it happen. 

So while this cold spell is not the classic we hoped for it’s better than having no cold spell. Much of northern Scotland have experienced frequent snow showers with drifting lying snow and hopefully tomorrow this of us in central Scotland will join in on the action. 

I'd say high chance of ice days Wed and Thursday in central Scotland. Minimal solar heating throughout Jan, not until mid Feb does it start to have an affect. Ice days can easily be achiebed well into March in the right conditions. 

[Hairy Celt]

Ice day here, max of -1C. Now -3.5C. No more bloody snow though.

[Norrance]

For the second day this past week just missed an ice day with a max of 0.0C. -3C this evening.

Edited January 15 by Norrance

[Mair Snaw]

Well that looks like my shower train has run out of steam... its been an amazing 24 hours with some really heavy snaw falling...

No been in the mad house recently so no idea of whats next or if any more snaw is due...

[Hawesy]

6 minutes ago, Norrance said:

For the second day this past week just missed an ice day with a max of 0.0C. -3C this evening.

Max down the coast only a degree higher at +1.0c. Now -0.7c.

[Penicuikblizzard]

A toned down event for tomorrow now looks like the forecast area of snow has dropped south

[Huntforsnow]

Interesting 

[NorthYorksWeather]

Currently -8°C in Dalwhinnie with a dew point of -9.5°C.

[Starsail]

1 hour ago, Ross B said:

 

That would do!

 

15Z UKV is a bit too far south for my liking at the same time, but does have a second chance later in the day. (charts the wrong way round below)

The Met Office rainfall radar this afternoon was showing the heaviest band of precipitation for tomorrow coming through the Central Belt.

This evening it is all further South with Dumfries possibly being the sweet spot. I guess it updates on the basis of UKV so it would tie in with what you have posted above.

 

[101_North]

11 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

A toned down event for tomorrow now looks like the forecast area of snow has dropped south

None of the forecasts look particularly great for these parts now to be honest. Bldy frontal snowfall

[snowlessayr]

Emmm, what do we have here