Storm Isha, Amber ⚠️

[Saint coolio]

2 hours ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Why not back to Southampton it's closer ...

Think the storm had already moved into Southampton.

 

lashing it down now in the test valley. For some reason, I wasn’t expecting such heavy rain. Probably wasn’t paying attention.

[Mcconnor8]

3 minutes ago, Saint coolio said:

Think the storm had already moved into Southampton.

 

lashing it down now in the test valley. For some reason, I wasn’t expecting such heavy rain. Probably wasn’t paying attention.

Rain has arrived now and winds will peak in 2-3 hours and remain high until midnight

Edited January 21 by Mcconnor8

[Polar Maritime]

Wind howling through the plantation a the back of the house here with driving moderate sometimes heavy rain.

[Metwatch]

I'm not sure about anyone else but I'll never get tired of seeing any type of low pressure system rapidly deepen on satellite

Last 30 hours the north Atlantic infrared view from the GOES-East satellite below.

Edited January 21 by Metwatch

[Jo Farrow]

7 minutes ago, Nick123 said:

Hi Jo, do you think going by the gfs 12 the strongest core of winds have shifted south?

THe fine detail on the UKV doesn't suggest that and paints a different pciture to what you might see on the GFS. For England it will be the strong gusts along the Cold front which will be lively tonight

[Dreckly]

73 mph gust at 16.40 Gull Rock station North Cornwall coast

76 just now

Edited January 21 by Dreckly
Speed

[Kasim Awan]

Harmonie gusts are around 5mph lower for central England than 06z. Will be interesting to see the gusts across low level central England later.

[Mcconnor8]

93mph in Ireland on low ground recently as a squall line moved through.

[Mapantz]

Either there's a delay in this system, or wind speeds are not as strong as forecast for down here..

[Supacell]

Please can we keep the posts respectable to one another. Personal remarks and attacks are not acceptable on this forum. 

This is a weather forum, we're all here for our interest in weather. This is not the local pub on a Saturday night.

[Thunders]

1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

Either there's a delay in this system, or wind speeds are not as strong as forecast for down here..

ive noticed that too here

[Mcconnor8]

5 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Either there's a delay in this system, or wind speeds are not as strong as forecast for down here..

UKV 12z has it peaking from 8-10PM in Central South and South East regions, Amber warning doesn't come into effect until 6PM.

Edited January 21 by Mcconnor8

[Kasim Awan]

4 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Either there's a delay in this system, or wind speeds are not as strong as forecast for down here..

I think wind speeds have reduced a fair bit for inland central / southern England, 5-8mph. I know this is an unpopular statement however if you compare the last few icon wrf harmonie charts it's quite clear. Still talking 55-65mph for a short time with 70mph locally in squalls.

Edited January 21 by Kasim Awan

[WYorksWeather]

Latest wind gusts and pressure observations.

 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

5 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Either there's a delay in this system, or wind speeds are not as strong as forecast for down here..

The warning doesn't even start til 6pm with worst late evening until 4am

[Dancerwithwings]

It’s a coming

earth :: a global map of wind, weather, and ocean conditions

EARTH.NULLSCHOOL.NET

---

See current wind, weather, ocean, and pollution conditions, as forecast by supercomputers, on an interactive animated map. Updated every three hours.

 

[Bristawl Si]

Wind speeds really ramped up in last 15 mins (imby).

Yeah, some powerful sustained gusts.

[on the coast]

Very strong gust's here now.

[Mapantz]

2 minutes ago, Mcconnor8 said:

UKV 12z has it peaking from 8-10PM in Central South and South East regions.

The UKV also suggests that it should be gusting to 55mph now, but we're a long way from that!

[ANYWEATHER]

12 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

Harmonie gusts are around 5mph lower for central England than 06z. Will be interesting to see the gusts across low level central England later.

I really don't think 5 mph is either here or there!  Its like saying that the predictions for 100mms of rain and been downgraded to 95 mms, in situations like this models give us a jist of the expected gusts ,irrelevant really as the storm still is intensifying. .......

[Kasim Awan]

1 minute ago, ANYWEATHER said:

I really don't think 5 mph is either here or there!  Its like saying that the predictions for 100mms of rain and been downgraded to 95 mms, in situations like this models give us a jist of the expected gusts ,irrelevant really as the storm still is intensifying. .......

Not if you look at it this way. 55mph typical for inland areas vs 70mph had it further upgraded. The differences are noteable when comparing output from 24 hours ago.

[Jo Farrow]

For those of us in Scotland, it is beginning to howl and I'd imagine those who are in for the night, will be pleased. 

The amber warnings run 18z til 06Z but the northern one has moved from Medium likelihood of medium impacts 

to now include a low likelihood (within the marked area) of seeing HIGH impacts too.

these are outlined on the Met Office website

 

[Man With Beard]

15 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Either there's a delay in this system, or wind speeds are not as strong as forecast for down here..

What are your thoughts for the south coast? I was thinking 50 mph early evening, perhaps scraping 70mph at the peak later in the evening at Portland/St Catherine's Point?

[Astral Goat Juice]

I think the South will not see such strong winds, this is definitely more a northern event. Stay safe everyone.

[alexisj9]

1 hour ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

How long can stuff stay in the fridge and freezer without electricity?

If you keep it closed quite a while.