South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

[jtay]

Clearer skies out to the West by the looks of it.

Lots of rain overnight. We now have a pond where I recently dug up the little patio.

[offerman]

 Andy Bown not surprising at all we had a right damage around our areas, didn’t we?

as Mr P said earlier, I was very surprised as well due to high-pressure not being that far away. I think they must’ve been a squeeze between the low and high, forcing up more moisture moisture laden skies for sure.

[Dorsetbred]

Morning All, you can certainly see why the MetO went yellow and nailed it last night, with the amount of rainfall overnight/early this morning, exactly as the WXcharts showed from an ECM perspective, with 29.6mm here.

A mild night with the low of 10.2°C at: 01:28, currently 12.4°C, RH97% with light air movement from the W, and mainly clear sky.

From Above

On Golden sands

[MP-R]

We seem to have breezy fog here so far today…

[Saint coolio]

Crazy mild and humid again. 
 

just done some emergency work on the little brook next to our garden as last night’s rain managed to overflow a culvert and created a mini tributary across very edge of our grass and back into the ditch via a new wee sinkhole (literally looks like a plug hole)

[Mapantz]

Interesting weather data this morning..

That sharp cut off  caused quite a trough and peak in the air pressure here.

After the drop, pressure rose 2mb in10 minutes.

[AWD]

I really hope Spring herolds in something less dull & cloudy and more sunny &/or convective.

Just a change to the weather pattern we have mostly had to endure for the past 8 months would be a victory right now.

[SteveB]

Lots of flooding around here this morning.

127mm so far this month. Only January (69mm) and September (97mm) have been below 100mm this Autumn/Winter. 

Longing for some dry warm weather now. This Winter has been a hard one to take! Promised so much, but in the end delivered nothing but rain.

Edited February 18 by SteveB

[jtay]

It's decent here. Plenty of blue sky and warm.

Just cut the grass for the first time this year. It had grown really long over the winter.

[Andy Bown]

 jtay how did your mower not sink?

I walked on my lawn to hang washing and it’s akin to a swamp! 

[Alderc 2.0]

After that horrid overnight period it’s utterly glorious now. Some sunny spells and 16C, amazingly a 13C. Extremely mild for Feb on right on the coast.

Edited February 18 by Alderc 2.0

[jtay]

 Andy Bown

The new bit drains really well.

Most of the crocus are out now, so avoiding that bit.

Just picked some daffs for the house too. So nice to see the garden springing into life again.

Lovely on the patio, out of the breeze.

[offerman]

 Andy Bown i was thinking the same thing! 

[Andy Bown]

 offerman I can’t send you the video because I saw it on my wife’s WhatsApp from one of her colleagues.

She lives in a flat near the river at the Asda end of Frome. The river was absolutely raging this morning! 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

 Saint coolio We need a picture ...

[Mapantz]

Temp hit 17.1°C before a shower arrived. I was sat by the pond watching my fish. They have become quite active due to the water warming up.

[Dorsetbred]

 jtay Most of the crocus are out now, so avoiding that bit.

Are you not in to selling Safron to make money?

 

[offerman]

 Andy Bown thanks Andy . I can imagine it was after that deluge

 looks like a lot more to come this week as well looking at all the low slow circulating low pressures due

[Dorsetbred]

 offerman Oh no, you mean, more rain?

CC UK winters seem to be aligned to this sorta stuff. Whether you believe in CC or not, it's difficult to argue after the current winter failure, as none of the models were picking this up from a long term perspective.  So, so much talk last November about a back end loaded winter for the UK, hmm....

Edited February 18 by Dorsetbred

[jtay]

 Dorsetbred Never thought of that.

Still glorious. What a day.

[Dorsetbred]

46 minutes ago, jtay said:

Still glorious. What a day.

Has been hasn't it, the dogs have been laying in the warm sunshine, just loving it, but I was loading the car for a "dump run" and down came the drizzle, not for to long though.

[jtay]

 Dorsetbred Just about the cloud up now, but the footie is on a bit so I'll allow it.

[offerman]

 Dorsetbred completely agree with you. I have actually stated in the model thread on numerous occasions that despite all the super computers, it’s just going to be so much more difficult than it was before with so many new changes happening most likely because of CC. And as you said, as well that none of these changes were picked up on this winter, when all the forecast and ensembles painted a different picture to what has actually been the outcome. Telekinetics, can’t be relied upon, neither can many of the forecasts that are put out there. 
an extremely difficult area for these people to work in with forecasts with so many changes afoot. 
what I have noticed, seems to have been much milder and wetter winters. 

I remember some winters, when I was younger that if we didn’t get snow, sometimes we’d have long settled periods of extremely cold weather by day from high-pressure systems that had migrated down from the north or east to sit right over us, and of course, I remember some pretty snowy times as well. 

Since 2007. I do remember quite a few snowy periods on several occassions but something definitely seems much different More so recently.

So seems to me like the winters are definitely milder and far wetter for long periods of time, and the summers seem to have far fewer thunderstorms, but also I’ll be becoming quite hot and for longer periods of time with more extreme temperatures. 
 

The sea temperatures in North Atlantic have also been several degrees above where they normally would be.

I’m not sure if anyone else follows this, but I often follow the cold plunges that come down the eastern side of Canada, and I remember times when this called polar maritime air mass, could make it right across the Atlantic and onto our shores.

And I also remember the cold plunges coming down the eastern seaboard of Canada would go quite far south down the east coast of the United States, but this winter. A lot of the cold air really does disappear quite quickly when it turns that corner to start head into the mid atlantic. 
 

 

 

[snowdog]

It must be Summer already. The ice cream van went past an hour ago, playing his merry tune 

[jy]

Being on the river is lovely.However it occasionally opens other of nature's doors.Driving home in the semi dark this evening the trucks headlights picked up this lovely white bird floating gracefully whilst hunting.I Love Barn Owls such beautiful birds.