Milhouse
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Posts posted by Milhouse
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I wouldnt say 11 years of poor Augusts, more like 11 years without a good August. There have been some average ones. 2005, 2009,2012, 2013 but they have been nowt special.
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Stornoway in the Western Isles currently at 27c.
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It would be even more packed if it was a weekend. There's a lot of people milling around up here too. The world feels so much nicer in summer.
Ive got to say that is so true. I was walking round on my lunch break yesterday and the nice weather made Hull city centre, which can look a bit drab in parts, look thriving with so many people around. The waterside seating areas and parks were packed. The blue skies make everywhere look so much cleaner and vibrant.
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And then the warm/mild southerlies continue from November 30th.
Don't know why this post has been deleted twice, it's just my preference which people are allowed to post on the summer thread.
If we were to continue with such positive anomalies for the rest of the year we would smash the record for the warmest year on record. Quite some feat. A lot of time between now and the end of the year though.
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Looks like Bournemouth has reached 30c. Bet its a scorcher in the beach, and packed too!
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Temperatures are really rising fast here, I'm now at 28.7C - 30C looks very likely. An absolutely gorgeous day, today.
Very good. Sounds a world away from the stuff that NW England had to endure during the bad summers.
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Despite all the lovely summery weather this summer and last, we havent seen anything exceptional in terms of high temperatures except for 1st August last year when we saw 33c. That is due to the fact that high pressure has often being right over the UK or to the north meaning that we havent been able to tap into any proper heat. If todays rather unspectacular chart can produce almost 30c just imagine what a stright southerly from Africa would be able to give.
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I often go to my favourite,secluded North Sea coastal spot on me mo'bike just for that, and to leave all the heat,the sun,the general hideousness of the season and the hordes of peasants it is so good at extracting from the woodwork behind. And when the missus has done with the parasol and summer has done with us, I'm going to reinforce it with scaffold pole in anticipation of Autumn's delights.
Im sure a rocky outcrop at Flamborough Head would have suited you just fine yesterday
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Solent MRSC topping the table at the moment at 27c.
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A bit of trolling going on in this thread at the moment. I dont like winter but dont go invading the winter discussion proclaiming how horrible the cold and dark of winter is. By all means make a summer moaning thread but dont spam this thread with monotonous negativity. Meanwhile, over here its a much better day than yesterday with the low cloud vanished back to the North Sea.
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The ECM continues the good summer so far. High pressure innitially to the east of the UK is replaced by high pressure centred to the west of the UK. The air stream is generally from the north but where we get high pressure ridging across southern England we will still see some very warm days occur. Its a cooling off process, but still remaining very pleasant with temperatures in the range 20-25c. No sign in the reliable timeframe of the Atlantic stirring up either.
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Not long till the days start getting longer again... (Will leave now before someone shoots me lol)
13/14th December is the date i look for when it gets that time of year. A few seconds more light on an evening. By the new year theres about 10 mins more light so it really does accelerate quite fast once Christmas is out of the way.
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Hoping for frequent warm/mild southerlies and periods of high pressure in September and October. Later into November the Atlantic can fire up and the gales can commence.
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Very slack pressure pattern showing up for next weekend on the GFS. Still some high temperatures expected.
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The ECM 12z offers high pressure domination pretty much from start to finish. Theres the chance of some thundery downpours across southern England next weekend but another high pressure builds in from off the Atlantic and the run ends in style with all parts settled and very warm. Its the very height of summer now so we would see the maximum temperatures possible given the synoptics.
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Stunning ECM12z with at least another 10 days of summery conditions if it was to verify. This summer is turning out really good.
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The GFS 12z has the heat piling out of central and northern Europe all week heading our way. Scandinavia looks like being very warm or hot all week so its a very warm source of air we are seeing feeding from the east. SSTs are really rising now so even on the east coast it should be pleasantly warm. Away from east coasts temperatures will rise towards the high 20s touching 30c again by the end of the week.
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That is quite something to be the warmest on record so far, so soon after the previous warmest year in 2006 and the second warmest in 2011. Theres has been a complete absence of any prolonged below average temperatures for the past 7 and a half months.
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It just seems unthinkable that in mid December the sun would set under an hour from now! I find that the long daylight hours really do help to make the weekend seem longer as there is still plenty of daylight left to do stuff outside. Once the sun goes down in winter its like the day is over already to me. Which is no good on a Sunday
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Its turning into a pretty decent summer for the country as a whole. No really prolonged dry weather but that would just lead to a drought so would be quite problematic. Over here we've had more rain than i would like but there has still been an abundance of warm and pleasant days. This summer really does put the ghastly summer months of July 2007, July 2009 or June 2012 into perspective. They were truly awful.
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Max can be up to 30c as i love the feel of heat, but that is if im doing non strenuous activity. The highest temp i have experienced is 32c in 2011 and i dont recall feeling uncomfortable. As for cold, 2c and a biting easterly like Feb/March 2013 felt horrible. It just cuts right through you. But on a still calm frosty night it can do down to about -10c before it gets uncomfortable. Anything less than that is pointless.
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Things have changed quite markedly overnight with a breakdown pushed forward by the GFS, bringing a close to the warmth and settled weather around 144 hours, as opposed to what was expected to be a continuation of warm and settled conditions out beyond 180 hours in previous runs.
It is possible the length of the warm, settled spell could be shortened even further by the GFS, so it could literally be 3-4 fine days and a thunderstorm on its output in following runs.
It's difficult to say what exactly the models will do with the current projected warm, settled spell, there is now a lot of uncertainty, but there is new fairly strong pattern emerging from the GFS of a more unsettled outlook past day 5.
The GFS 6z is clearly the most unsettled of all models this morning so its rather misleading to say that 'things' have changed overnight. Its quite clear looking at whats on offer from the other models that you can not base future developments on the 6z.
144h shows the GFS 6z is the most unsettled.
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I wonder whether last years 18.3c for July is within reach.
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This time next week high pressure very much in control on the ECM 12z. Winds look to be coming from a generally NE direction but with light winds it should promote some high temperatures across southern and western areas. All week it looks a very summery picture with plenty of dry weather and temps in the mid to high 20s across many areas.
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Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Spring/Summer 2014
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Agree to an extent Eugene. Ive been out this evening playing golf and its very pleasant here despite the north sea low cloud rolling back in. It will be much cooler than elsewhere but still feels nice. But i just think there is something special about seeing the UK map plastered with high 20s temperatures. Its proper summer.