PolarWarsaw

Just watched a cell build and drop quite a lot of rain over the house in about 15-20 minutes. It's ripe out there.

Not expecting much here, everything looks to slip south or west. Wales, parts of SW England and Northern England look best to me this week.

Always the realist

Probably a few more so that people get really excited, before the inevitable shift eastwards and downgrade of ingridients late tommorrow/early Sunday. As always.

An alternative could perhaps be - closing some of the sections and making them broader. So a Scotland thread, an English thread and a Welsh thread. Simple and with people meeting and greeting over a broader scale for the first time on the forum it may open some doors down the line, whilst also keeping people who post regionally happy.

Damn, didn't realise this was here. Love the tornado season and have been spending a lot of time over the last 3 days over on a US weather forum. At one point yesterday I had TWC, James Spann, TVN Weather and my forum open! It's absolutely absorbing. Some of the Brett Adair streams last night were absolutely immense, especially around Birmingham - which dodged a massive bullet early this morning (our time). Threat looks reasonable again today with the chance of things becoming 'HGH RISK' in the N.C area. When is the first tour going? The more active things are the better.

MASSIVE tornado just touched down in Tupelo Day is only just beginning too. Live stream if you want coverage - http://www.msnewsnow.com/link/693345/live-streaming-storm-coverage

Terrible night in Arkansas. A half mile wide tornado touched down near Little Rock and has gone on to wipe out 3 or 4 towns. Mayflower, is completely gone - ironically the same town was wiped out almost 3 years ago today. El Paso, Roland and a few others have taken severe damage. 6 reported fatalities and 3 or 4 declared disaster zones. Not a good start to the week with another 2-3 days of severe weather ahead.

It's taking off now. 6 or 7 reporter tornadoes, specifically in Joplin and KSC. Sadly, 2 losses of life in Oklahoma.

Nothing heard here, barely a spot since this morning. It's been extremely bad luck to miss out here today.

It wasn't really worth noting anyway, other than to see flakes falling out the sky. It's not going to stick.

My mind is already on seeing good storms this summer, hope it's not hot though. Dry and below average. Bring on winter 2014/15 - it can only be better than this one.

I see your point, but I think this year is much worse. Not only has there been zero cold weather, but the very same monotonous and frankly depressing pattern has been established since about, oh mid November. It was always bound to go quiet in here when it was clear winter had no chance of getting going whilst the continously horrific weather wouldn't budge. I disagree with the site just having a cold bias, you can guarantee come June, if there's charts showing 35c or a massive plume with a high chance of storms then the MOD discussion will be brimming with new posts. I'm afraid to say certain periods of the year have certain weather bias and that's just human nature. In winter, weather enthusiasts want it to be cold and snowy, in Spring they want some t-shirt weather, in summer - heat and sun. If you flip things over and we get the wettest summer imagineable, do you think by the last week of August this place will be brimming full of posts about summer and heat, or do you think it will be deserted in the knowledge that any proper summer weather is virtually gone as we head into 6 months of Autumn and winter? I can tell you know, it'l be dead with people not really interested in the output and it's depressing similarity. Back on topic and I'm afraid to say, the FI charts showing high pressure have been as faulty, if not more faulty than the ones showing FI cold this winter. Lots more cloud and rain to come IMO.

Strange, now that the first pulse is almost through there looks like very little to come after. Expected the duration of the rain to be very long and persistent today. We once again get away with any of the worst of it.

As far as I'm concerned, Spring starts around the middle of April, just like November is pretty much autumn. The seasons have altered slightly in the last few years. Second half of September - October - November and early December are autumn, January - Feb - March are winter. Spring starts in April - May and ends in early June. I'd more than welcome a full rinse and repeat of last March, though I agree that April is for sunshine and something more comfortable.

Underwhelming, winds were at there worst around 4-5. We never get the 'worst' of anything in the MIdlands, which on 1 hand is very good and on the other is very boring.

Seems very calm here, totally underwhelmed by the winds so far. Oh and tonight's models are crap, looking mild and zonal virtually across the board.

Power lines down and set on fire at Crewe train station, station evacuated and all trains cancelled. Powerlines down in Wolverhampton.

Not sure what this shows other than 1 flight shown to be circling? Flying is the last thing I'd do today.

Looks like we will get away with gales and a short sharp period of rain today, certainly nothing as bad as the models suggested 3-4 days back. A bog standard wind event so far this winter IMO.

We have what looks like spitty rain or sleet here currently, hope your right my friend.

It's going to be rain at 80M's.

After this winter, seeing a flake is a miracle. Leave us alone and stop spoiling our fun. Scrooge is a Christmas tale, not Feb...

If it takes a more NE track, then places like Staffordshire and Stoke etc could see the best of it. Either way, I expect to see falling snow in Birmingham City centre by around 2.30am, if not a little sooner. Some places could end up with a nice 4-5CM out of this, with 7-10 on the moorlands I would think.

It looks good for the southern midlands at the moment, not the north. Unless that PPN fills on it's northern side, I can't see much of it going north than Birmingham. Somewhere like Northampton or Gloucestershire could be the peak of tonight's snow. We probably have another 8-9 hours of snow potential before it turns to rain. Tommorrow night could see a wintry sprinkling also.