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PolarWarsaw

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Everything posted by PolarWarsaw

  1. Apologies if tone wasn't quite bang on, your post made it sound like you expected a rash of showers to be over us currently and because there wasn't...that was that.
  2. Not sure why your posts seem downbeat, any snow wasn't forecast until at least 1-2am onwards according to all forecasts that I've seen.
  3. Also tommorrow evening - Shefali said it was likely showers would be wintry again overnight.
  4. Surprised how bullish Midlands today was. Shefali noted '2-5CM widely, that could be conservative over high ground'./
  5. Been raining with a wintry mix here, need the DP and temp to drop overnight or else it'l be a wet mix that doesn't even try to stick.
  6. We had a hail and rain shower here earlier, think any snow chances are after dark. I'd rather we had nothing before so the floor doesn't become soaking again.
  7. Well, this already beats a few winters I can remember during the early 00's. I can only remember seeing snow 4 or 5 times on my route to school from 2000-2008, certainly that's given a covering anyway. Be nice if we can get a nice little 4-5CM over night, doubtful though.
  8. Pouring with huge flakes. A slush covering forming. Grass and roofs white over.
  9. Given the last few years, I think it's fair to suggest Spring starts in April - giving us just short of 7-8 weeks left of potential 'snow' opportunities, if not the deep cold some crave. Winter is about snow in my mind, not cold dry days so there's a lot to be gained still.
  10. Can anyone tell me what happened to weather.com's website? I used to check it daily and look over the video forecasts for the US, but ever since last Autumn when I log on to the website it automatically sends me to a UK version, which frankly - is crap in comparison. I presume the rights have taken it away? What does everyone else use to read charts? Look at live dopplers? See forecasts? Videos etc.
  11. Forgive me if I don't get excited about a Euro High or uncle Barty coming for a visit in a winter that hasn't seen more than 2-3 frosts in early February. Dreadful output continues for cold weather. If the SW is going to dry out, let it be in the form of something very cold and dry. Spring is for spring, IE mid April onwards, wishing for it now is like wishing for autumn in early July.
  12. So the hideous winter continues, this will end up as the worst in my lifetime IMO. Certainly the last decade or so. The signs are that zonality and atlantic driven weather will continue with no feasible looking cold spell or snowy period looking at all likely anywhere within the timeframe of the current models. Poor, poor, poor. You can guarantee the warming will be felt in April, which would be so typical.
  13. Meh, this week looks pants in terms of snow - again, sadly. Sorry to seem negative, but that's the reality. There's more wet than white on the way this week.
  14. Very good UKMO, average ECM but not without interest and kind of a meh either/or GFS. Better than the last few months though, so here's hoping we are on the right track.
  15. So the hideous elongated Autumn continues. I just want 1 or 2 heavy snow events between now and the end of March, is that too much to ask? That's really all it would take to redeem this godforsaken drab winter.
  16. Sure and that's absolutely fine, you may enjoy a persistently rainy/cloudy/dry/sunny and mild tempered climate year round - I and I'm willing to bet more than 50% of the people reading tonights MOD thread, don't. I beg to differ RE the 50% but regardless of that, MOST people that join weather websites do so to discuss a wide variety of weather events and in winter snow and cold ARE THEE event on the mind of those members, just like Sun, Storms and Fosters are during the summer. Given that you don't enjoy snow and cold, I suspect you should have enjoyed this winter more than most for many a year and probably owe the likes of myself and the other snowheads the freedom of at least looking at the charts and hoping to get some colder and snowier weather to our shores without having to focus on the fact that a lot of the country is about as full of water as it physically could be, it's not to be rude or ignorant to anyone - it's just natural! Enjoy!
  17. With the greatest respect Gibby. It's winter and has been since Mid-December, we have barely seen a single frost in lowland S.England and there hasn't been a flake for 99% of the UK so far this season - people are going to be snow hunting, whether it's dry, wet, flood ridden, drought conditions etc. People spent the entire summer looking for hot and dry conditions regardless of what the outlook showed and if memory serves me correctly during the summers of 08/09/10 which were very wet, people spent the 0z, 6z, 12z and 18z doing everything they physically could searching for dry and hot weather - it's just natural. I hope your relatives don't end up flooded and are indeed safe in their home, I had the issue of worrying about my elderly grandmother during the summer heat. But I am afraid, calling for people to focus away from a 'favourable' weather type during it's favourable season is going to put the cat amongst the pigeons in a 'room' full of cold and snow junkies - and rightly so. Anyway, charts look okay this evening. Which ever poster referred to this evenings output as 'polishing a turd' is fair enough. We are draining about as much as we can out of a frankly horrid winter and a shoddy pattern for sustained cold. It's not all doom and gloom though as I have mentioned above, given the state of things so far - a couple of wet snow events and a frost sounds absolutely great. It really does only take a couple of snow events from the next 6 weeks to rectify the winter. Snow > sustained cold IMO.
  18. Awful, awful, awful 12z. I hope the summer is wet and super duper for all those mildies lapping up the crap winter...
  19. Been away for most of the week, hoping to return to something like winter approaching. Nope, rain and some cooler days with the potential of some front-edge snow mixed in. Woeful, the pathetic winter continues.
  20. Yawn, weve gone from something potentially decent, to having to avoid the charts as you open them and they return to zonality. If we head back into today's low-res you can kiss another few weeks goodbye again - here's hoping not.
  21. There has been 6 pages since midnight last night on the MOD thread and Steve Murr hasn't posted once today, I don't even need to take a look at the models to know they are crap. So the carrot dangle and cautious nature of posting in the last few days has been bang on. I'll be surprised if we see a flake before January is out.
  22. I think we can safely say after the 12z so far, that it's the 3rd carrot dangle of the season which has come and gone. Dum, dum, dum and another one bites the dust. February is our best chance of snow and cold. The way this winter has gone, I wouldn't be remotely surprised if we don't see a flake here this winter.
  23. Some very heavy showers moved through just after midnight last night. Horizontal rain in the wind for a while, was difficult to see. I see the charts have moved away from cold and snow overnight, no surprise at all - it never ceases to amaze the people who get excited over 1 days runs. The chance of widespread cold and snow next week was 50-50 yesterday, I'd say it's 20-80 today at best. We'l see, I fancy February as the month of cold and snow.
  24. Pretty average ENS this evening. Let's hope the 18z wasn't on to anything, I have a feeling there's plenty of legs left in this situation and that anyone who's already allowed themselves to be excited is probably going to require a large dose of Prozac come Friday-Saturday as things water down to a chilly but dry solution.
  25. I don't really care for this search of deep cold, the deepest cold tends to be very dry, at which point it becomes painful and boring. I just want it to snow for a couple of hours of 1 day, or have a period of snow showers that produce huge fluffy flakes and whiteout situations. It can be gone within a few hours.
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