Dancerwithwings

Your right back in October/November i remember CC posting these charts and they were showing this kind of output back then for Feb,But these show just a likely trend and we are not talking about showing these as a likelihood like back in Oct, Its next month inwhich must have more potential as a trend that is =(Possessing or displaying the qualities or characteristics that make something probable)

Regarding an ever weakening Vortex looking at this it seems to be going that way

At least FEB & MARCH look interesting

Bloody right we are! This is starting to be one of the crappiest WINTERS in a long time for cold and snow But i live in hope and just remember one thing, Its only the 11th of January. Looks like tonight will turn frosty quite early this evening at least that something that resembles WINTER

We've gone from this, To this..... in just a few short days. Is there any chance of this flipping back to what was showing on the 8th Jan in the next couple of days?

Lovely Frosty morning, The worst winter morning task is scraping the car windows and that's only because i'd ran out of de-icer, But then again it's been a while I still think there's plenty to play for regarding the models in search of this elusive Winter

I don't really what to know about your private life thanks

PMA.... You need it following these Models... Especially the mental bit lol!

Evening folks, I must admit im a bit disappointed with the output this evening with the lack of cold & snow, But maybe things could change and flip back. Also i'm sure the GEM was the first model that noticed the first signs of an Easterly or HP to our North/North East and it's still sticking with that idea. So who knows..... Lets move on, The GFS is out soon..... Pub run anyone

Ok the charts are not as good as yesterday, But what the hell! The so called cold don't even hit us untill next week and folk are looking for it to fail and yes that maybe the case, But until that starts to really show itself, Please stop being so down hearted. I know people mention to the fact and it is a fact that we must be cautious on forecasts regarding Easterlies, and yes there right most do fail, But most fail in F1 and never reach 144h.We all know they have failed at 72h but thats the exception, But when people say they won't get excited until it gets near the time frame, Like 48hrs is just going a little over the top. But finally, Theres always going to be a 'wobble' in proceeding, And that's always been the case.. If we have upgrade after upgrade, We would have Icebergs around the uk after 10 days, And that's never going to be the case...... Nice thought though If it don't happen, it don't happen.... But until then, Let's be upbeat about the up and coming cold spell

Ok the charts are not as good as yesterday, But what the hell! The so called cold don't even hit us untill next week and folk are looking for it to fail and yes that maybe the case, But until that starts to really show itself, Please stop being so down hearted. I know people mention to the fact and it is a fact that we must be cautious on forecasts regarding Easterlies, and yes there right most do fail, But most fail in F1 and never reach 144h. We all know they have failed at 72h but thats the exception, But when people say they won't get excited until it gets near the time frame, Like 48hrs is just going a little over the top. But finally, as TX1 said "Theres always going to be a 'wobble' in proceedings" And that's always the case.. If we have upgrade after upgrade, We would have Icebergs around the uk after 10 days, And that's never going to be the case...... Nice thought though If it don't happen, it don't happen.... But until then, Let's be upbeat about the up and coming cold spell

DiagonalRedLine, It ain't just the GEM that deserves an Oscar.... Good post

If carlsberg could do upgrades!..... So so much potential, I'm in LOVE

I was only thinking that myself earlier, I wish sometimes the UKMO would go out to 240h

Yes your right at the north sea been above average regarding sea temps, But it can work in our favor... When you have -8 -10 850hpa and sea temps of around 8c to 9c, Well plenty of convection making good for heavy snow showers and looking at the charts below they could be driven well inland, But we will see how thing progress. This convection chart ^^^ is at 192h but it does give us a general idea what potential could come of the northsea a few days later.

Well said, You've got me thinking of my childhood, When just before Xmas in 1981, We had loads of snow around the 12th Dec and i made an Igloo in the back garden and when finished, I wanted to sleep in it overnight and my mother wouldn't let me, BooHoo..... Oh childhood memories

I just couldn't contain myself this morning, Its just what we've endeavoured so far this season, Inwhich i don't have to mention, when i seen the excellent cross model agreement and i mean excellent as in cold&snow, Its what we have been all waiting for But yes i won't be getting the champagne out just yet or the sledge if that matters. Anyway why not be upbeat ......Fingers crossed for some upgrades! Well said' conor123

Yabba dabba dooooo!..... Gord mentioned "what a difference a day makes!" Well well, The last time i seen any charts or even on Netweather was Monday night, The GEM , ECM were showing very good signs towards cold & snow, also the UKMO and the GFS were just starting to show hints that evening. Then.... Yabba dabba dooooo!.... this morning BOOM!..... I'm buzzing, Cold and Snow fix on its way folks

"Starts about 2min 30sec" Well while we are waiting then... Let's Dance

Probably because with the mild temps, wind and all the rain we are having atm, and yes in January remember, People on here are looking for anything that's cold and the US is where its all happening atm. Remember this is the UK, Not Canada/America.... Lucky sods

Done the same, Had a walk up to Morrisons..... Got caught on the way back, even checked 'Raintoday' before i went and still got wet....The car will be out next time

Mathematically defined surface called an event horizon that marks the point of no return..... I think for Iceland there's no escape

I've done 40c to 5c.....in 5 seconds....Sauna straight into a Plunge pool it that counts..... Trust me not recomended

Calgary.... Here it's 12c and chucking it down .....YES 12C AT MIDNIGHT

I have experienced very low temperatures, But being in + figures then waking up the next day in the -20s must be a shock to the system.... Well it would be in the uk anyway