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Everything posted by weirpig
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Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Having a quick look at the Ensembles there is quite a few that are going for height rises again towards greenland after this initial cool snap. infact most have attempted rises somewhere in the later output. including the control. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The most startling aspect of that run for me is the warmth thats being experienced in North America and Canada. Will that have implications going forward? -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry Season, Yes more eastern Europe perhaps getting warmer -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I really like those charts. Were they posted a few days ago off a Hungarian site? You can quite clearly see the trend over the next 10 days or so for a north easterly to set in and also how warm central,Eastern Europe becomes i think for the forseable we need to look north for our weather. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well signs maybe of the Atlantic gearing up slightly as we move into November ( was bound to happen) however the next 10 days or so could be very seasonal, Then after that its all to play for, Not a bad ec46 and also Fergies cryptic message a interesting few months coming up -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can't post charts. But if you want in my opinion to see the run of the day check out the control run for this time of year it's great -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Differences again at 144 on the 18z different shape ridging into Greenland and more of a northerly effecting the uk doh beaten to it -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thank you for that information, 9 Novembers however in that period of time does not seem like a lot. I suppose it shows how quite rare the situation we currently find ourselves in. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ammended to first 2 thirds of November. Surely if that prediction above is anything right then surely the whole of the month looks like being negative? -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It really is very strange this year AO predicted to be very negative for the first 2 3rds of November going by that prediction, Surely that must have some positive ramifications going into the winter season. If that is correct i expect November to be below average in temps -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)
weirpig replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/557997/UK-weather-forecast-big-freeze-freezing-temperatures-Britain-Arctic-air-snowfall Daily Stars take on events this coming week and next. -
Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17
weirpig replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Well if the charts verify as shown then there forecast is bust before it has even started. i suppose their forecast all depends on how much blocking we receive in November lets see -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Difference again at 144 compared to the last run with so much difference at a short term range impossible to know what the pattern will be like going forward -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Oh yes I agree. But it's November even if it does go the way of the pear still loads of time. If this was in the last throughs of winter I perhaps wouldn't be so relaxed -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Regardless of uppers etc the theme is on all models the blocking in the Atlantic . It's November and no Atlantic pinch yourself this year is very unique -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I didnt realise it was the mean of the ens. Very impressive charts for mid November. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep thought so Im with Karlos calculator tapping. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is It? I thought it says 432 hours which is i think 18 days to 25 days away or am i simply having a moment . -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well a quick glance at the ensembles about 80% show us in a colder airstream by around the 2nd of November. quite good agreement. After that -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well if its cool chilly frosty weather your after with a nip in the Breeze then this run is right up your street. More or less from 114 hours right up to the end of the run the Uk is under a chilly if not at times cold airmass. lovely Autumn weather what more could we want it is only November after all -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Day 10 chart. Wet and Windy anybody?, A very stubborn block and cold uppers making there way to the UK -
Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016
weirpig replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion