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weirpig

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Everything posted by weirpig

  1. weirpig
    Most models seem to be taking it just shy of florida however still much uncertainty at this point most probably a cat 2.
  2. weirpig
    It seems in Jamica quite a few people are not heeding the Governments advice and are staying put in coastal areas Staying in church and trying to ride the storm out. This really is a beast of a storm and as iceberg above has said this could well become a cat 5 again in the not to distant future. http://edition.cnn.com/2016/10/03/americas/hurricane-matthew/index.html
  3. weirpig
    I can see this year being slightly below average with more in the way of snowfall then the past few years however i still think the south will struggle again to see any meaningful snow.
  4. weirpig
    Zonal wind at 60N 30hPa markedly lower than this time last year. Note pink line is towards the end of the overal average #interesting Latest Tweet from Matt Hugo
  5. weirpig
    Not surprised really. A lot of earthquake activity around there minor ones however a 3.2 has just hit
  6. weirpig
    Looks like rosseta has landed on its final destination looking forward to the pics being sent back. Edit here is one 5 or so miles from the comet
  7. weirpig
    Yes been keeping a eye on this recently. Seems to have been a up tick in earthquake activity across the globe . Katla area presently has had 5 minor quakes in around 20 minutes . Katla itself is classed as a 2 at the moment but this could easily be upgraded
  8. weirpig
    Thats ok they are going for a bitterly cold mid west aswell 6to 9c below last winter. however it was warm over there last winter so prob closer to a normal winter
  9. weirpig
    Thank you for that very informative read. One point i find interesting is that high snowfall in Siberia over the Autumn period correlates to a southerly tracking Jet wich potentially brings a cold winter to the eastern side of the usa and europe. Accu weather have just issued there winter forecast which goes for a cold winter for the eastern side of the usa. hopefully they may be on to something however as always other variables come into play.
  10. weirpig
    Very Interesting read. so it seems his theroy is that rapid snow gain in siberia in october favours a negative winter AO. Something to keep a eye on.
  11. weirpig
    Whilst some seasonal modelling looks 'interesting', it's still v early days. quote from Ian on Twitter
  12. weirpig
    Yep agree. They say it so many times that one time they will get it right. Fergie on Twitter has said today some models look interesting for the winter period but too early to make a call. Best just to wait and see
  13. weirpig
    well those two forecasts above are different one goes for mild wet December the other below average temperatures think ill wait till December
  14. weirpig
    Jason Nicholls ‏@jnmet 17h17 hours ago Equatorial winds (easterly) and OLR anomalies show a pretty distinct #LaNina Modoki signature across the Pacific. Growing confidence of a LaNina Modoki setting in for the winter?
  15. weirpig
    That would certainly make xmas interesting Either way this winter is certainly going to be different to last
  16. weirpig
    Brilliant thank you for taking the time. Downward ie stratosphere to troposphere ?
  17. weirpig
    Thank you so by that I presume the there as been a reversal in the zonal winds in thetropical stratosphere 10 Hpa which may result in a easterly QBO?
  18. weirpig
    So there is a tentative sign of a ssw?
  19. weirpig
    Interesting la Nina Modoki and perhaps a easterly QBO game on perhaps for a more seasonal winter
  20. weirpig
    Play it backwards actually it also demonstrates how much the artic needs to refreeze to catch up with the extent we had last winter. which to me shows how in my opinion we will have less extent next summers end
  21. weirpig
    Just to show how much ice we lost this year
  22. weirpig
    http://www.climatecentral.org/news/climate-change-xkcd-comic-20696?utm_content=buffer68ee5&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer Wonderful comic book timeline which illustrates and debunks the theroy that the world was once this hot and it goes in cycles
  23. weirpig
    It does seem that way is a official La Niña -0.8c cooler?
  24. weirpig
    very earlier signs maybe of a more average October on the horizon. Going forward Judah Cohen however with caution seems to think this winter will see more of a weaker polar jet perhaps enabling more blocking, We shall see http://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation
  25. weirpig
    I'm gonna go for 9.3 please
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