Northern Sky
Members-
Posts
372 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Northern Sky
-
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
Northern Sky replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is there a possibility the strat warming could have the opposite effect and have a detrimental impact on our chances for cold. Sorry to put a fly in the ointment but hasn't that happened before? -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Northern Sky replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes it's a synoptically beautiful evolution watching that high pivot round to allow the cold air to flood south. We can but dream! -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Northern Sky replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For reference folks. This is the exact moment the wheels began to fall off... -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think it's more that people recognise that you have a lot of knowledge and are interested in your take of what the models and longer range drivers suggest to you. It may be true that most people would do so with the hope of encouragement for cold, but nevertheless I think most people just appreciate an informed take, whatever it suggests. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lots of chilly weather on offer on the GFS 12Z including a fair few frosts. Certainly a big improvement on what we've seen so far this Autumn. The Atlantic comes back in but it remains cool and unsettled rather than horrible mild muck. Frosts then wind, rain and feeling cold. Sounds good to me. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes I understand that some need the rain but when you've had nearly 200mm over the last two months it becomes less appealing. It's all about personal preference but I'd just like to see some sunshine and usable outdoor weather more than anything. -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks very wet from Sunday though. Horrible weather, I much prefer the GFS for next week. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes still very little rain on offer apart from the end of the ECM. What is it with the ECM these days? It always used to be the GFS overblowing the lows in FI. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'm liking this ECM run which brings some welcome rain for my area - not that it's by any means that wet. It seems pretty out of step with the other models though, so I'm fully prepared for my hopes to be dashed on the next run. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gardeners, farmers and nature. It's unusual to see brown grass and parched earth this early in the year. I like the countryside looking lush and green at this time but as you say hopefully the rain from over Winter should rule out hosepipe bans for now. If anything the GFS 06Z is even drier than the 0Z . -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
Northern Sky replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Chasing rain really has become like chasing snow for me - always seems to fade away when the charts get into the reliable. The GEM is awful in that respect this morning and has gone from a soaking yesterday to bone dry today! The ECM is the best of the bunch rain wise but even that's no washout. So much uncertainty in the models at the moment but the default seems to be dry weather.