shuggee

I'm sure NASA and everybody else has a set criteria for what constitutes a sun spot and what doesn't? Why must there be a conspiracy in everything - it bores me to tears!

13.0ºC :lol:

Please feel free to talk about the topic in this lovely fresh thread

Best summer for years here to be fair. Not particularly dry - but definitely warm for long periods, and mild nights too. Not something you readily associate with southeast Scotland. Have been out without jacket/coat for many many weeks - something that's not happened for years.

Thanks to Solar Cycles who has very appropriately opened a thread to specifically discuss LRFs, AGW and the Meto approach here: http://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/56568-lrf-and-agw-bias/ So please continue discussing the actual Meto Seasonal Forecast in this thread

We should perhaps be looking forward to Glacier Points' LRFs exclusively for us on netweather

What's the link Mondy? (Do excuse my ignorance of all things radio-hammy )

Just had a look at your graph J1 - super stuff. Good to see what is actually happening amongst all the hyperbole I seem to read these days that seems to miss the actual facts - so we've gone from what was heading to be the second largest melt ever recorded to something a bit more like third or fourth most melted Arctic ice ever recorded. Ta

Thomas in his A&F polo shirt - hubba

Looking at the ensemble mean for late Wednesday afternoon next week, it's looking pleasantly settled and warm for the majority

Said chart is quite entertaining over central/southeastern Europe too John. Bizarre.

He he - looks like fun was had by all. Nice one boys and girls :lol:

A couple of my observations/question posers on Meto forecasts of this nature for the discussion: 1. The media office really ought to have known better than to have spun the forecasters' hard work into that dreadful phrase 'bbq summer' this year. It really could be egg on face time as it's such a difference to their normal conservative, carefully presented and reasoned analyses. The review of the forecast in the autumn may allow us an insight into the processes that produced this, and it will be interesting to see if they come out defending it. August permitting of course... However, if they do defend it (stay with me, there is a logic here through all the ifs and buts), would they be able to justify a headline for a winter forecast along the lines of 'big freeze' for two five day long outbreaks of substantially below average temperatures in Scotland? I add the geography in there as the most likely area to have hot weather is the southeast - and that's where the hottest 'bbq weather' has been - so conversely in winter it's Scotland that's more likely to experience said cold? 2. If last year's form is anything to go by - the monthly updates after October are the most interesting and appear much more accurate. It's obviously nearer the event, so it's a more robust forecast, but also the real flavour of weather gets described rather than a generic 'likely to be near or above average' measure which is all we will get until then. You don't subscribe to the high SSTs around SE Greenland aiding cyclogenisis Fred? Or are you looking at the bigger picture? I'm sure Ian Brown would disagree....

Was holidaying up north a few weeks ago - and happened to stumble across Altnaharra's AWS. It's located at the very northern end of the tiny hamlet/village and a few metres to the west of the "main" road:

We've just had the storm pass thru Stuart. Several flashes of fork lightning, looking great against a black sky above and behind Arthur's Seat

Rumbles of thunder here and turned very windy.

I think thunderstorms inland north and east of the Great Glen are quite unusual Mr T - is that right?

That's some storm and heavy rain at the moment over the Kyle of Tongue. Wouldn't like to be up there camping

It's like a problem I had once with a taxi operator - when a member of staff offered me something I was interested in taking him up on.

I'm opting for a cold shower instead :wub: Very impressive.

Equal hottest day ever recorded in Edinburgh! Last time was August 1975. :wub:

Edinburgh airport recording 29ºC - it's been many many years since that was last achieved here. Wil have to dig into the archive later to find the last date.

Commentary and opinion on the latest model outputs here please :lol:

I hope that's a rhetorical question Flaggy - no point asking me! :lol: :lol:

Right at the very bottom of the forum you'll see a clickable link that says, "This is a "lo-fi" version of our main content. To view the full version with more information, formatting and images, please click here." Try that :lol: