shuggee

Was just casually watching the BBC News Channel for a wee while - and suddenly at 21h56 up pops Helen Willetts with 'Weatherview' - an in-depth look at the next 4 or 5 days. Atlantic pressure charts, day by day maps etc., right through until Friday. Very Countryfile-esk. If this is every day now, and lasts into the winter - it's going to be a firm favourite I think

I'm with you jemtom, but it's worth pointing out that the thoughts behind the forecast seem to be based on more than soothsaying. Here's the raw CFS output for the fateful day: So let's blame computer modelling (But just look at that southerly jet *drool*)

Which probability is that lg? You'd make a fortune if you could predict the climate accurately?!

Any sunspots yet? (And yes - any further nonesense about AGW will be removed)

Indeed Mondy - as I posted above this isn't the place and a lot of us don't have the time either!! Now will somebody go up and rub a balloon or something against the sun and get Cycle 24 underway - I want to see the Aurora before I die!

OK here are some facts in picture form for the deaf & hard of hearing: As you can clearly see - the correlation is clearly now being skewed (as my original post explained) by something else.

Sorry SC this is a thread about solar activity - not yet another thread for a dozen or so people to hijack and go on and on about their denial theories about global warming. My post was in that context - please stick to that topic.

The comments in this thread are quite simply, bizzare. I don't think there's a climate scientist on the planet that does not agree that the sun has the BIGGEST influence on weather on our planet. The % changes in strength, the number of sunspots etc., ALL add up to changes in the weather, temperature etc. That is scientific fact - and there are graphs out there that show the relationships and correlations extremely well. The argument I think many are trying to grapple with is as to whether the recent unpredented warming, compared to the last 2000 years is now over-riding the affects of the sun's influence thanks to human activity on the planet. And since the same graphs that correlate in the past between sun strength, sunspots, sloar radiation etc. now show that the decrease in activity ought to have meant (as it has in the past) that the planet should be cooling - the warming of the last 50-80 years seems to be over-riding this signal. So I'd argue that the recent inactivity of the sun - which is not mirrored in mercury reading reductions on the planet - is actually very stark evidence that there is a new greater influence at play. Hmmm..., what can that be?! Even leading sceptics agree with the above these days - the argument is now about the degree to which human activity is influencing the weather and global temps, and the future. There is no argument against warming actually happening. Mercury thermometers and satellite records can not lie!

Darren Bett today presented a picture of a settled week ahead - with only niggly rain and a bit of an easterly breeze across southeastern England for mid week. Good use of Atlantic pressure charts, and a competent delivery. Good to see :lol:

It was quite telling in the recent BBC2 Series 'Climate Wars' - that the Conference on Climate Change that recently brought sceptics from around the world together in Las Vegas, had the key-note speaker (the Sceptic-in-Chief if you like) opening his presentation by saying "Global Warming does exist and human activity has a role to play in this warming - Get over it".

Autumn 2008 photos in this thread please Any photos taken this season can be submitted, with a total of 5 weather and 5 non-weather photos. These will then be uploaded into the Gallery before voting. The top 3 weather related photo that win the vote will be the photo for Sep/Oct and Nov in the 2009 or 2010 netweather.tv calendar. Remember: Entries won't be accepted if they're sized above 1024 x 768. So please resize. Happy snapping!

My prediction: Indications are that the mean winter temperature for western Europe will be above the long term 30 year average. For the British Isles this is expected to mean that it will be above average, but less mild than the winter of 2007/08.

Just finished watching episode 2 of Dr Iain Stewart's Earth: The Climate Wars http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b00djvq9 A fascinating insight into what's really happening with this debate and where the facts and evidence are at. Good to see solid science and balanced presentation giving an holistic view of the whole debate

Anyone got any more photos taken over the summer? Will close this and start a vote at the weekend

And the title of the thread now reflects that! Cheers SS :lol:

Nothing left visible from the A9 now on passing Aviemore. A marked contrast to only 5 weeks ago.

She's all over the shop!

Got down to 5ºC last night - coolest night since 21st June. Was lovely and chilly even at 8.30am coming to work - blue skies, calm and sunny with it. Oh lovely autumn

How did I miss this?! One word comes to mind - average!

Get in there! Never been spot on before :lol: (What a fluke :lol: )

That chart bears a resemblance to the forecast for next weekend - very odd! Have we got a provisional CET figure yet?

Have opened a new thread here to draw a line under the wee bit of bickering :lol: http://www.netweather.tv/forum/index.php?showtopic=49249

Please carry on discussing the Hurricane currently making its way north and west across the Gulf of Mexico. Please stay on topic - we're here to discuss the weather :lol:

:huh: Give it 8 weeks - and we'll see a webcam on the top of Cairngorm with a flake on the lense...

But you're missing out a vital point GWO - and far from it to be me that suggests this might be a major hurdle for your 'research': Programmes of research within Universities require approval from a Board or symposium of the learned (Heads of departments, Professors and chairs) to be funded. You would have to present your methodology, your basis for research, you plans for the next x months/x years and be open to thorough scientific scrutiny to get a penny of 'public money' to carry out and then publish research. Nobody in academic institutions thinks money is 'free' as you suggest - it is not an open lake of cash into which the 'chosen few' can bathe at will. It's all part of a process. And certainly for me, your post above suggests a healthy dose of frustration, sour grapes and fear of open scientific peer srutiny as was discussed in this very thread right at the beginning when you were challenged about the lack of peer review of your published work and the answer you gave contained erm, sour grapes, frustration and a fear of open scientific peer scrutiny. Oh I see a pattern emerging - perhaps I could get a grant to study this oscillation...