Kirkcaldy Weather

Everybody stay calm the next round on the winter roller coaster may be coming up Of course not every ensemble suite will have ideal positioning of the higher pressure and no doubt those with the half empty glasses will write it off ASAP but lets see where this goes.

Might be a chance of these around the 10th Jan somewhere in Scotland as the very cold stratospheric temperatures move across

Looks like a new temperature record at the summit of one of the stations in Greenland

like this?

Each set of ensembles will differ position wise especially at that range, just have to wait and see where we head but should the ridge develop you would imagine that we will have some sort of chance getting it toward scandi

Norway to get plenty of snow over the next few days

Look OK to me feb, baby steps still others that attempt to get the ridge toward scandi

Maybe not in an ideal position for an easterly but is an anomaly chart at that range likely to be spot on, I wouldn't think so (whether it adjusts for good or bad only time will tell). I certainly wouldn't write things off as we have seen in the past how quickly things can change.

chance of nacreous clouds for the North as the PV displaces toward Scandinavia?

Taken from Matt Hugo's latest tweet (see my latest post in the strat thread)

2nd January 1933 2nd January 1978 2nd January 1992 2nd January 2005 2nd January 1985 2nd January 2006 2nd January 2020 Again surely cant be coincidence that the majority show a less than ideal setup on this day with a strong PV?

December mean temp for Scotland was 4.1 C - other years with 4.1 C December - 1991, 1977, 1932 "1932-33: Late October, snow fell in Scotland, an early start to the skiing season! Late February there was a Great Blizzard, for Ireland, Wales, South West England, Northern England, and the Midlands. Whipsnade recorded 2ft of snow, Harrogate and Huddersfield 30 inches, Buxton 28 inches! Very Snowy." "1977-78: Mid January, 6 foot drifts! A week later, and 4 inches fell. Mid February saw 4 inches also. Late January, heavy snow in Scotland, drifting, 28 inches falling in parts! Mid February (see above) was very snowy in the North East, East and South West. February 11th had 1 ft in Durham and Edinburgh. Feb. 15-16th South West England, blizzard with huge drifts, sounds like my cup of tea!" Scotland East 3.7 C - other years - 2004, 1984, 1977 2004/05- "Westerlies continued during January with the only notable snow event being another NW'ly incursion on the 18th, with big but brief snowstorms over Northern Ireland and south-west Scotland. February was another fairly mild month with frequent anticyclonic north-westerly regimes. There was a northerly blast around the 13th, but as the Arctic was unusually warm, there was little in the way of snow; however a rather more potent northerly occurred on the 19th/20th with snow showers in the northeast. The last third of February and early March had persistent easterly winds and snow showers, but generally limited accumulations on the ground. Inland parts of south-east Scotland, north-east England and Kent, however, often had significant accumulations. Overall this easterly spell disappointed many snow lovers." "1984-85: Very cold and snowy, especially in Southern England. Early January, there was snow in Eastern England. Mid January, East Anglia and Kent getting the goods, with 6 inches falling here. Mid January, South West England and South Wales (yippee!). Late January seeing snow in Scotland, and the prone spots, such as Aviemore, getting 2ft of level snow, Northern Britain as a whole affected though. Mid February, Southern England, 6-12 inches, substantial drifting taking place. 29th March gave Scotland snow. A memorable year. Snowy." Scotland North 3.9 C - other years- 2005, 1977, 1932 2005/06 "Not much snow to speak of during January and February (the late February '06 easterly was even less potent than the Feb '05 one), but this changed into March. A northerly airstream during first week March brought snow showers for many, with 50cm in northeast Scotland and thundersnow widely reported around Aberdeen. More heavy snowfalls on the 12th March, which especially affected western Britain. Further snow in early April, with heavy snowstorm in north-east England on the 8th, and in south-east England late on the 9th." Surely no coincidence that both 1932 and 1977 keep showing up ( I am pretty sure these years came up when I did the analogue charts for ENSO back in September will check that when I have more time but going by those years something possibly brewing for late January and February? ) The History of British Winters - Netweather.tv WWW.NETWEATHER.TV

At least it will be cooler tomorrow as 850 hpa of around -5/-6 moves in (currently 10.4 C here) would rather be in Norway - snowfall next 48 hours Back to clearing more neds oot eh

discussion of cold spells that didn't materialize, last winters failed easterly, THAT ECM... All get together and find a way to destroy the PV, looks like it wants to try and go the full 12 rounds this winter Though some tantalizing hints from GP.... Dreadful here, heavy rain blustery winds 9 C about as far away from wintry as you can get.

Amen. The way some carry on you would think the UK will never see snow again, patience is often the best trait when it comes to UK winters and trying not to get too downbeat whatever the outcome. If all else fails I am trying to keep my snow and ice twitter thread updated as often as possible

Rare bird spotted at Fife park - Fife Today WWW.FIFETODAY.CO.UK Santa Claus wasn’t the only recent visitor to Glenrothes as an even rarer guest flew into town.

Happy New Year everyone, new year new trend? Hopefully

Extending El Niño event predictions to a year PHYS.ORG A group of researchers from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Beijing Normal University and...