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SMU

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Everything posted by SMU

  1. SMU
    Epic snowstorm for someone...
  2. SMU
    12z ECM v 00z ECM
  3. SMU
    Cheers just north of London then ! @Retron but edging south - first run with snow in NW kent from the slider
  4. SMU
    Any chance of pic- I can only see to T48-
  5. SMU
    The 84 chart would look great for the SE - with the low sliding up the channel ! poss snow event in the making!
  6. SMU
    Wait for the 96 - its deepening!! whilst we have no 60 chart the 850s are in the same location at 48 -infact identical with no intrusion of the 0c isotherm. London still in the game for sunday!
  7. SMU
    Hi shaky my quote is you from 13 hours ago lol its stuck no northward progression- ECM identical to JMA at 48 Thats a worry for many as thats a big step south...
  8. SMU
    Morning The last 24 hours hasnt seen a great deal of deviation on the slider track - some southerly correction, as demonstrated by the UKMO fax charts- The new deep low shown at 84-96 gives the SE a shot of some heavy snow especially up over the downs ! Looks very interesting!! edit yes Feb1991 the JMA most southerly run yet
  9. SMU
    HA HA prime location @T96- 8 inches of snow up here in the mountains of Kent what could go wrong... at least were in the game at last...
  10. SMU
    ECM 72 brutal for the midlands but still wiggle room south ( & north )
  11. SMU
    Temps dropping away here already 5.5c & dropping !
  12. SMU
    Snowline tantilisingly close to London- Only needs another 50-75 miles very good for the midlands remember still 11 runs to go ....
  13. SMU
    No UKMO 48 but the 12z sees a big adjustment south - Exit point somewhere around sussex although hard to tell
  14. SMU
    The Aperge 06z would have been an all snow event for the SE it was about 75 miles south of its 00z which was snowy as well but turning to rain in the extreme SE here was the 06z T72 - great allignment-
  15. SMU
    Its like a big tug of war- lucky we have a bit more puff !! its still a midlands event- its just the bits around the fringes !
  16. SMU
    Here we go then the 12s should be T72 for our slider now Fully expecting GFS corrections back towards the EPS suite & NAVGEM...
  17. SMU
    Fab if it cant snow in my back garden then at least at I can enjoy other pics from the UK
  18. SMU
    Guys - good luck with the snow potential over the next few days cameras at the ready!
  19. SMU
    Yes the cold lasts until 372 - very cold & slack NE flow - Atlantic just tries to push in at 384 ! Anyway time out tonight now see everyone tomorrow!
  20. SMU
    Yes - there will be a lull of cold uppers for about 3-4 days - but as long as the flow is slack then very cold overnight - CET about 1.5 - 2c midmonth on these runs... PS updated 96 fax is reasonable - especially for my elevation getting on 150-160 M
  21. SMU
    Sematic detail aside for the slider - the long term cold is certainly gaining momentum with all 3 models going past 192 - ( GEM / ECM & GFS ) promoting a 3 prong attack on the pole & deep troughing in NW europe- this may ease back NEasterly in time... If cold spell starts tomorrow then protracted length is aready progged at 10 days...
  22. SMU
    Dont worry mate 06z & 18z =early blocking fail wait to the 00z post that GFS now alligning similar to the ECM Demonstrating this could be a LONG cold spell-
  23. SMU
    18z tracking a bit further north- so the northern contingent will be happy
  24. SMU
    I think all said & done somewhere in North Wales at moderate elevation will get 30cms by the time the sliders been through ( this includes the earlier convective showers )
  25. SMU
    One for the SE contingent the EPS mean @96 hr for London is -4c@850 - thats 4 degrees colder than the op- Also the mean track is west of the Op as its been all week- one would expect another nudge south on the 18z S
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