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Whether Idle

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  1. Whether Idle
    Personally though the Atlantic looks to win this week I would not be surprised to see the models looking cold and easterly led come Friday. Time will tell.
  2. Whether Idle
    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=180&code=0&mode=0 At 180 and looking like a cold shot for the NE?
  3. Whether Idle
    Its way better than the 12z. Nice little trough opening over Europe at 144.
  4. Whether Idle
    The low needs to slide SE rather than blunder around Shannon
  5. Whether Idle
    Looks like a better run at 96, dare I say it trending slightly more GEMish?
  6. Whether Idle
    MOGREPS seems fairly well programmed. Shame we don't get to see it.
  7. Whether Idle
    Cluster 2 (13/50) is favourable for a decent cold blast at day 6 or 7. That's about a 1 in 4 or 5 chance so 20%. 80% chance of something less pleasing.
  8. Whether Idle
    Heavy rain getting heavier here.
  9. Whether Idle
    http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ Could get interesting towards the Kent and Sussex coasts for intense rainfall after 10pm
  10. Whether Idle
    Upgrades are required as we move into the reliable for a northerly of disruptive power
  11. Whether Idle
    I see why - it keeps the product as one of relative quality and accuracy, avoiding much of the FI pfaffing. That's not to say the Met O is always accurate - I think it verifies at 144 usually in second place; though by virtue of its short time period it avoids the same number of reversals the longer reaching models inevitably suffer from.
  12. Whether Idle
    Correct. But that is no guide to this episode.
  13. Whether Idle
    Hi Alexis. I was out in the car and it was wintry with hail and lots of sleety blobs on the windscreen as the ice melted, so not just rain but not a lot more either!!
  14. Whether Idle
    It would be noteworthy if there weren't differences.
  15. Whether Idle
    Great post from Steve. It is always a breath of fresh air when people don't treat the models as gospel, and it is surely entirely sensible that people (rather than algorithms) evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of the models?
  16. Whether Idle
    Indeed the most reliable piece of weather lore is "when snow lays around in ditches and by hedgesit is waiting for more
  17. Whether Idle
    Saturday's looking potentially snowy on the hills of eastSussex. Maybe a last snowy hurrah for the longest snow season in recent memory ?
  18. Whether Idle
    Tamara. This could be THE BIG ONE!! WI
  19. Whether Idle
    Very cold windchill and drifting snow here at Dover cliffs. Feel sorry for the sheep aroundabout like me looking for a bit of shelter. Had enough and heading for my car. Sheep not welcome. My sympathies dont extend that far!
  20. Whether Idle
    Decided to get a taste of severe winter weather. Headed to St Margarets Bay. Currently at national trust area by Langdon Bay met station 117m SSL. Continuous light to moderate snow blowing near horizontally in winds of 25kmph. Drifting snow all surfaces with a cover of About 2 cms temp around -0.5c
  21. Whether Idle
    We have 1 mighty cm here at sea level IMBY. I imagine St Margarets Bay (100m asl and furthest SE) will be the sweet spot. Upper air 850s are staying low so it could be a snowy day in east Kent with altitude and proximity to the south foreland being key variables affecting snow depth - maybe Langdon Bay/ St Margarets will get another 3 cms today?? Snowing moderately but fine individual crystals. Air +0.9 dp-2.0. Good luck to all
  22. Whether Idle
    http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ Good chance of some accumulations on a line from Whitstable-Ashford Rye eastwards overnight. Up to 3 cms perhaps, nowt to get too excited about but just about worth the effort. Streamer type showers forecast to kick in from around 10pm this evening til 10am tomorrow - then it warms up a degree or two.Maybe sweetspot will be Whitfield/ Langdon Bay hill tops? Good luck and if the showers line up into bands you never know...
  23. Whether Idle
    Heavier bursts of snow and soft hail here, giving a meagre dusting...
  24. Whether Idle
    Drink the wine and wait.
  25. Whether Idle
    Some places in the bands of showers may get much more than 4cms. Maidstone - TWells?? and maybe Leatherhead area if the band aligns further west. Good luck!
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