craigore
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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Whats happening Fiday guys. Just got up. Are we further norh or south wth the low ???. Rain or Snow ?? -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
What app is that u r using. ? -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Well if they turn out to be right , then big praise as right now they are in no mans land. ( in other words on there own). -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Gfs&Ecm&Gem&Ukmo all in agreement Cold gets blown away by Friday Cant honestly see it but im no expert . We put our faith in the models &thats wot they are showing. Oh & wind not favourable for snow in kent. Roll on Spring. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Right there wth you. Cant believe how this bitterly cold air is bulldozed away by the iberian low so quick , was not expecting this scenario at all. But wth most of the big mods now in agreement its the pill we have to swallow. Also unfortunaly i share your concerns wth the shower activity over kent in the coming days , we need the long ENE fetch to get the big snow here. Dissapointed wth the output tonite . Was all looking very promising just a day ago (Fridays forcast) -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cant quite believe how this anormous cold pool incoming gets eaten by the iberian low so quickly (nearly all the pinks & purples mixed out by Thursday. Really !!! All i keep hearing is how hard cold air is to shift , not on this evidence its not. I really thought we were on the cusp of a 10-14 day bitter spell , which is now looking like 4 days at best. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Think we need to strt praying to the ECM Gods. Showers are hit & miss . Some will end up wth 6 inchs plus. Others may get a dusting at best. Friday is a different story if all goes well & the low slides along N.France/Channel If thats happens we will all be happy. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Would the -8 850s in the S.E keep it an all snow event ? -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Just need that milder sector to stay a little further south , other wise it becomes a snow to rain event for kent. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Just not seeing the ppn data to suggest we here in the S.E will be seeing the totals that other eastern areas of the U.K may get.. hopefully that will change nearer the time.. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Without being to mch IMBY i would have expected a better ppn profile across kent given this setup.. ! -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Highest temp in Ramsgate so far today is 3.4c (bck garden ,no Sun.) Lovely & Sunny. Might have to retrieve the towel i threw in 2 weeks ago.. We are getting closer to a historic cold spell. Forget 2009,2010,2011,2012,2013. This has 87,91 written all over. I was living in Cantetbury then. Deep deep snow for 10 days. Bitter cold day & night wth no drip drip..(91).. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Looking good for temps.. Just hoping the Easterlys produce convection for us in the S.E as anything organised on that run seems to effect the midlands , north again. Things can and probally will change again... -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Still think a half way house between GFS & ECM Would be best ( For the North & the South. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-8 uppers ??? Will that be cold enough for snow ? -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
No mention whatsover of Snow or even Risk !! How ??, Given what all the models are suggesting, surely she has to mention Risk of Snow nxt week or am i missing something. Is this pattern now just a bitterly cold dry evolution.? -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
My new screen saver... -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Where is Kent !!!?? -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Surely the S.E contungent would have more than 1mm!! In such a set up ? Especially wth the low sitting just S.E of us -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Im aware its still 7-10 days out. One question. Is this a cold dry Easterly ? Or will there be moisture of a Snow kind coming out of Eastern europe. Bbc still saying cold & grey right up until nxt Sunday ( no snow.) S.E contingent. If we are gonna have to turn our heating up full notch we want some kind of reward.. C. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Useable weather conditions though which would be nice. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Sure thing as long as there are some nice juicy storms to go wrh. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If we cant have cold & Snow , i would settle for early spring -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
craigore replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
-1.6 here last nite. Models keep pushing bck the Ssw inpacts now till March. Sorry but not interested in cold & snow in march especially here in the S.E. Wrk outdoors as a landscape gardener and March is when things get busy for me or should do. So towel been thrown by me. See you nxt year for more fun & games -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
craigore replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
To my eye that just looks mainly cold & wet ( hill snow) wth lots of P.M air , good for Scotland & elavation , not so nice for the rest.