legritter
-
Posts
1,942 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by legritter
-
-
wind picking up in winscombe i hope thats my stocking filler aproaching bristol heading mendip way , lets hope its still active , was ill last night could not sleep ,i wonder why ,saw some big flakes about 5am ,watched precipitation break up , went over mendip motorway 9am ,winter wonderland ,enjoy the show gang ,its getting closer ,sky gone milky, plough and jupiter fading ,going back to radar ,cheers legritter
-
THANKS RADIATING DENDRITE . THANKSfor the info on CMC . i know the cold air is to our n/w , my grammar is sometimes poor .i was just saying that i prefer high scandi ,low channel , lets hope we can have plenty of this synoptic set up this winter . but of course with plenty of variation so that we can all see our dream frontal event . perhaps this winter we might get a good long beast from the east ,then north ,bring it on . some interesting possibilitys coming up on latest charts . cheers , i have not quoted youre post because im not sure what im doing plus computer naffed
-
morning gang ,computer still playing up but new one in new year hopefully . virtual memory crap . could someone please tell me what CMS ,ENS ,CHARTS ARE AND how accurate ,interesting developements to our west ,can see cloud tops now sun is higher ,.if all the elements come together thurs /fri it could be knife edge time . this is the type of low i like with colder air to our east and high pressure over scandi ,will we have melt down tonight ,cheers thanks in advance .
-
yes regards 87 storm ,on the afternoon they downgraded the intensity a little ,and forecast it to move further south .one of the automatic weather bouys to the west malfunctioned giving no data , the rest is history . the low exploded between london and bristol ,i lived in bristol then it was a breezy night but VERY MILD . my sis inlaw had travelled overnight from dover to bristol ,said it was scary , saw power cables arcing . im looking forward to tomorrow nights trough ,if it matures could be interesting ,friday well i think we,ll know more late tomorrow , if it developes with cyclonic winds and passes up channel could be fun , ifit dev rapidly and moves n/e across north wales watch out south coast , but of course there are several or more synoptic possibilitys ,cheers legritter
-
morning CRIMSON SPRITE , if you dont get the gales you might get the snow ,plenty of natures mix about this week . hope you sort youre wind thing out .just had a look at sat pic WOW , FRIDAYS LOW IN MY OPPINION COULD GO 150/200 MILES OUT ON CURRENT PREDICTIONS ,OF CHRISTMAS SHOPPING NOW WILL CATDH UP TONIGHT ,A BIT OF RADAR WATCHING ,REGARDS LEGRITTER
-
well it was worth it staying up for the 120 fax .tomorrows ecm run im sure will once again show a dartboard low for wed , i think a little south though . a trying time for mod watching and a real challenge for the met .a few big question marks for 17/18th .will we see low pressure to our north east being forced south ,is something a stiring .
-
popped into weston today ,called into shop for bread .sold out ,people have been buying extra because of storms ,reminds me of winter 1981/82 my sister inlaws shop was stripped bair .anyhow , mon night /tues looks game on for our area ,but will be fine tuned tomorrow by met office . as for friday it could go severall ways but latest charts are still on track ,if food runs out i will be going down thatchers cider over the fence job ,
a nice little line of showers just to our w/sw ,cheersif it turns wintry over the MENDIPS i will be up there, willgo to see moth inlaw on mendip motorway ,instead of chew way ,bring it on ,
-
met office just updated warnings about 12.35 . loads of horror stories appearing on internet ,lets hope its an interesting week , but everyone stays safe cheers ,legritter
-
i to find the word MILD absolutely disgusting ,are the powers to be near burmuda sending us an early christmas present . i for one will be monitoring this weeks events , im sure it will be a great week for learning the charts and comparing weather forecasts and media coverage .most mod in agreement but jury still out on core of worst winds ,tonights ecm will be interestig and lets hope tonights fax follows .cheers
-
where ever these storms hit will be seriouse , so IF the storm centre takes the current forecast as of 1800 hrs today expect winds of atleast 60 miles an hour inland ,the end of the week ,probably now late thurs /friday is another problem we will have to wait till atleast late mon /tues for any half possible prediction coming off . and next weekend could throw up some sudden surprises . almost anywhere ,in reply to WIMBLETTBEN ,LOOKING AT ALL THE CHARTS AND READING BETWEEN THE LINES I PERSONALLY THINK PARTS OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE DIRE SOMEWHERE ,HOPE ALL KEEP SAFE .
-
as TIMMY TOUR as pointed out ,are the models about to show something to our east developing .or up over finland etc ,this area as been lacking in past winters ,it used to be a much regular occurance .what ever happens, the next 7/8 days look very potent ,plenty of planning taking place right now in gov dept etc ,had 2nd frost this morning .i expect this forum will be in meltdown next week so i will keep my posts more near ON topic and remember to change caps lock ,cheers Legritter
-
only a quicky , i was invited to the weather centre in 1978 ,feb ,and that week was interesting because i spent 4 days working with the forecasters ,only days before the west country and s/w was hit by a memorable blizzard , they changed their forecast several times but came up trumps in the end . the front was slow and complex ,bristol had a good fall but down to devon and dorset a white hell . the front came to a grinding halt and swindon and glos city virtually zilch ,of course 47 and 63 history ,.back in the early 1800 hun dreds 3 very large falls over 35cms in one winter ,and 1600 s a monks diary quoted snow over3 foot deep many people perrished. 1981 1982 winter bleak on the mendips ,jan like hell . 1939 1940 jan very bleak ,latest charts look good for some arctic air inbetween next weeks deep lows , we COULD get lucky ,stay tuned ,cheers gang
-
we talked recently about compairing past weather events and weather charts well here is a thought . jan 6th 1839 IRELAND , after a fall of snow the wind drops completely ,but little did people in ireland know what was lurking out in the atlantic , a mighty GFS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM . ONE OF THE DEEPEST EVER RECORDED /AS OF 2007 /THE WORST STORM FOR 500 YRS IS ABOUT TO HIT .300 KILLED BUT LUCKILLY IT HIT AT NIGHT .WINDS 150MILES ,TOMBstones ripped out the ground and found a mile away .thousands of people lose their savings because they have hidden them in the thatched roofs ,i will stop now as i will do a blog next year ,models still looking good ,tonights 120fax should be interesting at least its our last glimpse of what could be before most of us hit the pillow ,went over the mendips this morning had a couple of wet flakes , probably sleet ,cheers
-
dont get down over any weather forecast for 20/30 days away , if what ever models they are using are 20miles a day out thats 400 miles just for starters 600 miles for a month . move yesterdays synoptics around by this amount and look at the difference . i have a feeling that a blosk will set up ,block ,sorry in middle of listening to snooker behind me . back to block ,where it sets up will be important just basing my feeling on what i said a couple of weeks ago i think this winter will be full of surprises A QUICK CHANGE ARTIST IS THE WEATHER SOMETIMES , tues/sat next week looking very interesting ,model watching will be fun ,after that euro high drama ,anything is possible ,we are nearly there , lets hope we all get our dream charts at some stage ,regards
-
hi gang ,regards pattern matching ,in regards historical weather logs etc ,.i have spent many a day looking at old logs and sometimes they throw up similar patterns but of course the atmosphere is made up of so many different atmospheric layers and the weather set up either side of these patterns is so complex and unless you have a total northern hemisphere archive going back a long time ,it is in my opinion going to be hard to find one . but it can give you an idea of what can develope but not which way that developement will travell , tonights charts are showing some juicy possible outcomes for next 10 days .if we can get that jet just a touch further south and pressure falling azores etc many more doors will open . just been out for my fag and we have a weak 22 deg lunar halo but tonight jupiter is just outside of the ring . looking foreward to tomorrows charts ,what will be in store . reg ,legritter .
-
rain heavy here in n somerset , expecting back end of front about 6ish ,good picture of wind tur at scottish wind farm on fire ,dont think breaks worked right ,picture on bbc news on internet ,cheers
-
as some members have said about next weeks potential , which ever track they take it just goes to show that 2 wks ago we were all , or a big percentage , fearing the euro high ,long may it enjoy its rest .lets hope it sends its high pressure relatives out of RETIREMENT to grace our weather charts ,any thoughts of where it could set up residence . finland 1042 ish mb with a ridge to iceland , still with an active atlantic though ,if only ,some good active posts around makes good reading and learning regards
-
morning all but it could be afternoon by the time i post ,WHOOPS SORRY I HAD CAPS LOCK , no i didnt . anyhow some seriouse weather around , will be radar watching next 48 hrs or so just hoping for some feature to pop up and cross our area , but as im aware its a large area so some happy folfs ,and some not so lucky ,lets hope atlantic lows can dig deeper south over next 10 days or so .on about cider apples, i think were picked i mean collected later this year absolutely tons went pass my house during oct /nov .local gritters are in yard and more salt etc arrived yesterday ,cheers
-
ECM certainly not implausible as mr data stated .could very well be showing us something that could develope in a shorter time ie ,7/8 days .if youre fix is mega lows and youre hoping to see a big one ,you will certainly be on a high today ,but i hope you dont come crashing down along with all those trees today . i still think many in the west and even centrall areas could see some white stuff in next 48hrs or so as todays storm was born ,developed from some pretty potent elements , theres also the possibillity that ecm as caught gfs habit of dartboards ,but often i think in our hobby ,theres NO SMOKE WITHOUT FIRE , but this statement in life you could say Who started the fire .hopefully a new computer after christmas ,mine is rubbish ,i hope to do some blogs iv nearly 400 society magazines and doz of journals , anyone in storm zone stay safe ,re ,legritter
-
well thurs /fri storm is nailed ,all stay safe . i,v had a look at charts and late thurs friday could see some fun further south with cold front .im also half expecting something interesting ,if projected 850., temp , and other synoptics come off .if precipitation gets going for what ever reason , i think with just a little elevation perhaps 100 mtrs and a bit inland from coasts wet snow in any heavier bursts . next weeks low im sure will take a more southerly flow , after that ,past wed im expecting absolutely anything to happen ,we will have to keep an eye on heights further east , and the dreaded azores high .what ever happens atleast we have the tools these days with computers and weather models and knowledge able forum members . anyone interested there is a halo lunar ,very weak forming ,22deg ,with jupiter inside ring , anyone with strong binoculars can see one of its moons . also a very high altitude jet as recently gone across area of ring ,no contrail ,but it could just be engines off . i know off topic but could be of interest to some ,cheers legritter
-
JUST WAITING FOR LATEST FAX ,BUT OF COURSE ANY SMALL DETAIL WILL COME LATER . WILL BE ALSO LOOKING OVER NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS FOR HOPEFULLY SOME SORT OF PRESSURE RISE TO OUR FAR N/E VERY FAR ,WE NEED THESE LOWS TRACKING FURTHER SOUTH , BUT I AM CERTAINLY HAPPY WITH THINGS AT THE MOMENT , PLENTY OF ACTION TAKING PLACE TOMORROW DOWN AT EXETER I WOULD IMAGINE , ALREADY READ SOME INTERESTING NEWS SNIPPETS FROM UP NORTH ,BUT MUST BE CAREFULL AS NEWS IS SOMETIMES EXAGGERATED ,AS WE KNOW .BRING ON THE UPGRADES ,CHEERS LEGRITTER .
-
as john holmes just said RE high tides ,i think there is a full moon due about thursdayish ,would love to be a fly on the wall down at exeter , and cant imagine but i would think that a lot of emergency planning would be taking place soon IF THINGS UPGRADE QUICKLY ,I HOPE YOU DONT THINK IM SCAREMONGERING , BUT I THINK THERE IS A FAIR POSSIBILITY . TONIGHTS FAX CHARTS COULD BE VERY INTERESTING ,ALSO UPPER AIR TEMPERATURES ,REGARDS
-
charts showing some interesting stuff for up north ,i am hoping us down in the south can tap into some of the cold air over the weekend .if this incoming low takes a track a little further south it will have the potential for a similar event that took place back in the 90s i think ,called the burns day storm which inflicted carnage across southern england , .but with the severe stuff this time much further north .this evenings updates could be very interesting .even if everything stays zonal for the next week it should make for an interestig forum .regards
-
evening , a message for the new ones or learners . dont get down if what you see is not what you want ,. iv had 50 odd years obsessed with the weather , being told when a small boy to get back in bed by my mother in the middle of the night when i used to open the window for lamp post watching etc . listening to the shipping forecast aged 10 . having weather charts delivered by post when in my late 20s ,5 day outlooks ,by the time i got them they were out of date ,all changed . this computer lark is out of this world but addictive . iwas totally stressed 24 hrs ago so i stayed of computer, looked on site late tonight and now i feel good .atleast this weekend could be full of surprises ,with different air masses about ,and next week could go severall ways ,i find it helpfull sometimes to go onto some of the webcams in north america or canada ,winnipeg as got some good ones, watch their weather it soothes you .,then come back on NET WEATHER when youre relaxed a bit , i just feel that we need pressure to fall about 10mbs over the south of us ,.as an ex fellow of the royal meteorological society i have met many a knowledgable e ..professor and research scientists and they all say well most , dont put much trust beyond 120 144 hrs unless its a massive agreement , i must admit things have moved on over the last 10 20yrs . always remember someone is wishing in scotland for their fix ,and someone in cornwall is wishing . so you will need to read between the lines ,the white stuff can come at fairly short notice ,if a good mix is around , any how my wife as just said on the weather again no wonder you cant sleep ,cheers legritter ,.
a nice little line of showers just to our w/sw ,cheers
evening , a message for the new ones or learners . dont get down if what you see is not what you want ,. iv had 50 odd years obsessed with the weather , being told when a small boy to get back in bed by my mother in the middle of the night when i used to open the window for lamp post watching etc . listening to the shipping forecast aged 10 . having weather charts delivered by post when in my late 20s ,5 day outlooks ,by the time i got them they were out of date ,all changed . this computer lark is out of this world but addictive . iwas totally stressed 24 hrs ago so i stayed of computer, looked on site late tonight and now i feel good .atleast this weekend could be full of surprises ,with different air masses about ,and next week could go severall ways ,i find it helpfull sometimes to go onto some of the webcams in north america or canada ,winnipeg as got some good ones, watch their weather it soothes you .,then come back on NET WEATHER when youre relaxed a bit , i just feel that we need pressure to fall about 10mbs over the south of us ,.as an ex fellow of the royal meteorological society i have met many a knowledgable e ..professor and research scientists and they all say well most , dont put much trust beyond 120 144 hrs unless its a massive agreement , i must admit things have moved on over the last 10 20yrs . always remember someone is wishing in scotland for their fix ,and someone in cornwall is wishing . so you will need to read between the lines ,the white stuff can come at fairly short notice ,if a good mix is around , any how my wife as just said on the weather again no wonder you cant sleep ,cheers legritter ,.
What Are Your 'gut Feelings' Of The Winter?
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
my GUT feeling is a winter of a quick change artist . i truly think that the weather is about to go nuts ,in the northern hemisphere , not before christmas but around the new year .when i say nuts i dont mean 63 or 47 ,but a total mix of every severe wintry spell possible but in smaller doses . i get this gut feeling because iv just spent a week going through every winter since 1600 s , and theres something about the recent cool zonal we have just had and that low up the channel that tells me ,it was just a teese , and mother nature is just having a rest .i think the ECM will pick up on it first , this euro or bartlett thing could be the computers picking up on something , among those billions of bits of the puzzle ,eventually the HIGH appears in a different place ,cheers gang , ps had one centimetre of snow last week ,who would have thought that 3 weeks ago .