legritter
-
Posts
1,942 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by legritter
-
-
just been out side for a puff , certainly nippy ,more exciting than that euro damp grey stuff ,at least things on the weather outllook ,look good for us coldies . some good looking shower potential about . and later this week ,sat/sun could be interesting . perhaps the advance guard of winter as arrived ,cheers
-
morn all ,itried posting earlier but cocked it all up , dont know where i sent post , anyhow i like thursdays fax , a bit of meat on the bone .you never know what a cold front can throw up .i know the state of the stratosphere is a player in polar physics etc ,but im sure in years to come if money is invested in this field we will find some interesting discoveries . looking at the models at the moment is a bit of a rollercoaster , but the end is always changing . yes we have had some good shots over the last 3 winters , but in my opinion we need some damn good luck with getting high pressure north scandy finland way , also ,something to change down the azores ,regards for now .
-
evening all ,could someone tell me if the ECM mid day friday is out yet ,not sure where to find it ,wont be able to sleep otherwise ,thanks . not in usual place .
-
just spent a while on charts ,i dont usually put my kneck on the line but i think the 144 168 timeframe could be one to watch .im pretty confident that some cold shot is on its way .its been teasing for a while . whilst the stratosphere is a key ,other keys can open the door ,just my outlook , just need pressure too fall by about 10 mb to our far sw ,in the outlook ,cheers
-
its good to see some good charts tonight , our local gritting yard as been recieving more supplies , im just waiting for latest fax , and hoping that dam line keeps south 528 that is , i wonder if CORBYN is lurking about ,looking good for those web cams in winnipeg next week , if they dont crack with the cold , regards legritter
-
yes certainly some good charts about ,i will put my hands up and say that i thought sun chart would be similar to what gfs was showing yesterday , a more developed low tracking across us , lets hope we keep getting some upgrades on our side . and keep that 528 dam as far south as possible .i think thurs 120 fax chart could be very interesting ,sea temp nice and warm at present ,and a nice cold feed . virtually anything could happen next week ,but we all know that mother nature can take our dreams away , heres hoping ,regards.
-
regards ,sun mon event ,as i said the other day ,SOMEWHERE IN NW EUROPE IS IN FOR A PASTING ,GO CAREFULL WHAT YOU WISH FOR .the forecasters will keep this one close to their desk ,untill i think much closer the time . the low could very easily develope further south and take its time developing ,so we miss the worse ,or the opposit e could happen . thurs night charts could be interesting ,regards
-
YES SOME JUICY DAYS COMING UP , PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY THOUGH ,COULD BE AN INTERSTING MODELL FORUM THIS WEEKEND . THURS NIGHTS FAX SHOULD BE INTERESTING ,
-
im pretty sure that there was a period of 2 weeks or so of very potent nw/northerly winds in jan 1906 or 1908 a paper was written on this event in weather magazine of roy met soc . i will try and find it , they fill up 3 bxs in our attick .but the article could have been in one of many old log and diarys i bought . i can remember the author stating that because these events were before satellites many of them could have been polar lows ,. sudden violent snow storms affected many parts especially west and central ,parts of n ireland as well .also mentioned the great mix of snowflake sizes and wind circulation ,if i find this information i will post ,WHICH WOULD BE THE BEST PLACE TO POST , WITH THANKS LEGRITTER .
-
evening all ,looking foreward to tonights fax update , i find these charts are so much more interesting , but i think this sun /mon synoptics wont be clear until late thurs . the advance guard of winter as arrived in somerset , just feel that fresher north atlantic air . what a great leap foreward compared to 7/10days ago ,
-
there is even a possibillity that the low rapidly deepens earlier and moves across our south , watch out FRANCE , or it might just be an over cooked burnt low GFS style , but as others have pointed out SOMEWHERE WILL GET IT , ONE TO KEEP AN EYE ON . I PERSONALLY THINK THE COMPUTER IS LATCHING ON TO A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENT .,BUT STAY IN TUNE , IT COULD LOSE IT TOMORROW ,AND BRING IT BACK WEDNESDAY ,PERHAPS A LADY WILL RING THE BEEB TOMORROW , IV MET MICHAEL FISH AND HES A GREAT BLOKE ,SO JUST IN CASE ANYONE SAYS IT, NO IM NOT TAKING THE p...regards legritter
-
iv just posted and cant believe the other posts that came up , at least its not just me fearing the worst ,it takes me ages to post, old computer and one letter one finger ,cheers
-
well what can i say ,good times a coming , some realy good charts about but which ones will verify , . i think some where in NW /europe will take a pounding this weekend ,im also fairly confident that some good smaller features will develope . i hope if things turn nasty that everyone stays safe . some very good input on this forum today , regards ,legritter .
-
morning all ,as i said on last nights post , its those small details which are missing at the moment that could bring us some fun and games come the weekend and next week , so all to play for ,some interesting stuff POSSIBLE ,but not guaranteed .im still researching past winter charts and old diarys ,will post when i find some realistic info . hoping tonights charts start to sing off same sheet . perhaps we can then get stuck into a good constructive model discussion ,regards .
-
evening all ,iv looked at charts and read some of the talk on other forums etc ,and i have a hunch that next weekend could throw up some surprises . good events can develope from just little features popping up , tonights fax should be interesting and by tuesday night we could be looking at some interesting ,charts for sat/ following tues . i am by no means forecasting a snow fest but there could be some lucky fellow members with a SMILE on their faces . warm seas /colder air . we have certainly moved on since last weekend , im certainly getting more confident of some good things coming out of this winter . regards legritter .
-
im starting to get into the winter spirit but , things 7/10 days from now could go many ways . iv a nagging feeling that over the next 3/4 days the models could all come in line but the outcome could be not what some of us want . anyhow some interesting weather to come next week ,and someone could get lucky ,those blues arent that far away ,if the plug is pulled , cheers legritter .
-
it must have been very frustrating for many in wales as many missed out , .but good for those who had streemers etc . the same happened in and around bristol . we did quite well at winscombe but 12 miles north of here not much . lets hope we can all get in on some action this winter , if it comes later it might be more frontal and more even . its realy frustrating sometimes watching the radar across wales and hoping those big red blobs will make it across the water , but they fizzle out well to the N W of cardiff or swansea ,all the best legritter somerset
-
morning all ,just had a look at charts and other forums , things could get very interesting next week onwards . looking foreward too tonights chat on here . some interesting developments in northern hemisphere at the moment , euro high beware , mother nature could send you packing south ,or replace you with a beast of a relative . we just need a singing from the same hymn sheet , from the models . i think we have a FAIR chance of something more wintry on its way ,regards till later ,legritter .
-
good post RICHARD 2901, must agree what a boring autumn ,good for heating costs etc .we just neeed some action , looks like you could get some up there . me and the wife toured scotland oct 8th / 21 st ,by car did 2200 miles from somerset and back .had virtually every type of weather ,isle of sky warm ,and blue sky and sea , wester ross magical . left thurso and travelled down to perth ,we were playing catch up with a weather front ,as we got quite high up near cairngorms we went through 5 mins of wet snow ,then rain . following morning we went to clamis castle and could see top of cairngorms covered . went to aberdeen 10 yrs ago ,what a greet country you have up there ,. for all of you out there chins up , plenty of time left for wintry fun .cheers legritter .
-
euro high go away come back some other day , preferably late spring ,.let your big uncle scandi high rein supreme . let your atlantic cousins form a line and head east , preferably up the channel one week , and a little further north the next .time for my prozack , chins up gang , a good 12/14 weeks anything could happen .regards legritter .
-
just a quicky from me ,FEB 18TH 1978 , BLIZZARDS ACROSS SW ,and parts of south ,short sharp and certainly disruptive , as i put in recent post very hard for met office to forecast , front came to a grinding stop north of bristol , just a peppering in glos and swindon in parts . also some good snowfalls in 1880 s ,going to finish now as boiling a nice gammon plus need a quick fag , cheers
-
well it looks like some possible action coming our way from this weekend onwards , all leave cancelled , batton down the hatches , sandbags out , prozack and drinks at the ready , at least the charts have livened up . our way to winter could come with a more mobile set up . but dont forget gang it all could go pear shape , HEARS HOPING cheers legritter
-
winscombe ,edge of mendips about 7 miles inland .95 mtrs a s l . did very well last yr from heavy streemers off bristol channel about 12cm during daylight in dec and about 8cm overnight from a small low . i prefer a good frontal event , only been at winscombe for 11 yrs , previouse bristol , winscombe did very well in 78/79 with feb 78 seeing a full bliz . 81 very good . also in 63 it did better than bristol as it was closer to lows ,further south . bring it on , regards legritter
-
having all the information at our fingertips of the POSSIBLE ,synoptic situations 10/ 15 days from now is a godsend . lets all enjoy the UPS AND DOWNS of what is presented to our eyes and put in our thoughts . at the present time im inclined to think that some sort of high will be around in 2 weeks some where in central europe , but thats not to say that the weather will be a mild mush , mild mush can easily become frozen to the bone . going by some charts , the 26th onwards could become interesting .
Model Output Discussion - 28th November - 4th December
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
even all ,i said i would post a seriouse post ,but my computer is up the creek again . i honestly think that by this time next week we will have a seriouse high around but where it sits and which way it orientates wont become clear until the human produced chart next thurs is produced , and at the same time as some interesting synoptics take place either over us or near us , .we could be better off this winter having a PV about the half way house ,perhaps that could give some of us normal frontal events spread over the winter ,not squeezed into 3/4 weeks . i think at the moment im going with the met . i will try and post that other post again if i find it , cheers legritter