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Mapantz

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Everything posted by Mapantz

  1. Models showing it to be pretty wet in the south on Sunday. On Monday, the BBC were saying 'Dry jubilee weekend' I thought at the time that it was a bit outlandish of them to say that.
  2. Dropped another degree since my last post, down to 18C now, completely clouded over.
  3. Certainly not a lot going on here, apart from the temperature dropping a degree in last half an hour. Seems to be a lot of cloud spilling in from the south west, that'll probably hamper things in many areas, probably why the MO aren't too concerned.
  4. I hope i get something here at some point this year. 2005 was the last time i had an actual thunderstorm.
  5. The sun is completely blotted out by cumulus now. 14.5C dewpoint, it does look as though something could trigger here, but i won't hold my breath. Check my station below and follow the webcam link in the nav bar for a look.
  6. apparently it has opened back up again, but there's a lot of congestion.
  7. Totally! A picture is about as close as i'll come to a storm. lol
  8. BBC weather tweet again:- Main areas for potential thunderstorm development this pm look to be parts of Essex/Suffolk, West N Ireland, Grampians/S.Highlands.
  9. Not likely to be much here i'm afraid. You probably stand a better chance on Wednesday
  10. BBC weather response on Twitter:- There is potential for enormous thunderstorms late today around the London area. Up to 30mm rain could bring localised flooding. I hope some of you lucky folks in that area get something later. If you do .. get the pics and video up asap!
  11. I don't know how far it will get to me before it starts diminishing, but sometimes in these situations, i can see the lightning out to sea from here. Off down to the quay now for a few beers. Hope someone gets something in the SW.
  12. Indeed! I highlighted this in the model discussion thread yesterday, but it got pushed to one side because lots of people were blinkered by the high pressure. Reluctant to post in that thread now.
  13. The daytime temps showing on the the current GFS run are underdone imo. I'd have thought they'll be closer to the average. The trouble is, average doesn't seem so good after this weeks weather. A few weeks ago, something near average would have been a nice prospect. lol
  14. Although i don't like going beyond T+100 on the GFS, i'll still point it out as it's a discussion. I don't normally associate settled with a shortwave feature, but it makes it's presence known at T+120. Are we looking at the same run? lol http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/Rmgfs1201.gif
  15. Do you just look for the word 'High' on the 500hPa charts and instantly think that we're in for more of the same? Because my interpretation of the latest GFS run shows lowering thicknesses next week, with showers popping up in the south, and becoming more widespread by mid-week.
  16. The temps are high here too, in fact, after being progged cooler weather, it's turned out to be warmer than the last two days. Dew points have dropped now though, gone from 17.5C to 14.5C in the space of an hour, as the fresher air filtered in. All eyes on the south west come Sunday and in to the beginning of next week. :-)
  17. We could get 45°C in London if we could get the right setup. lol But I just don't see it happening next week. Warmth? You could say that slightly above average temps is warm compared to what we've seen prior to this weeks weather. But i just don't see the models pushing us beyond 30°C
  18. T-850's do indeed increase on the ECM by next weekend, but that time frame for me is beyond reliable even with anti-cyclonic conditions around. And like a few have mentioned, the models turned on a sixpence very quickly. I do however think that the downpour risk increases nicely next week, maybe a few surprises regarding it. :-)
  19. Not a chance. Cooler than this week, that's for sure.
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