Eskimo

Our weather has certainly become more mundane over the last couple of decades. Hardly any snow (apart from the odd yearly blip) and hardly any noteworthy thundery days.

I don't think one or two day plumes are enough in the UK. We need a proper entrenched warm/hot spell for storms to initiate, at least in this setup. I think the next plume we get, needs to a lengthy one with a stalled low pressure system, drawing up a continental feed for at least 5 days.

I think storm potential for parts of Cornwall and Devon, possibly Dorset and Somerset may be hard to come by this afternoon looking at the lump of cloud to the SW. CS England and the the East will fair better.

I was just going to type the same thing. Storms initiate at the warmest part of the day, so around 3-4pm.

It's exactly the same, I think?

Posted a warning on my weather page. ---> https://www.facebook.com/LSEweather WARNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS [Valid Friday 06:00 - Saturday 03:00] A warm air mass is now pushing its way northwards across the UK at the moment. Low pressure currently sitting out to the south west of Cornwall will introduce thunderstorms and/or longer spells of heavy, thundery rain. The main threat is for excessive rainfall totals, especially in the orange area, where 50-70mm could be exceeded in a short space of time. With this in mind, it is likely some areas could see flooding and/or flash flooding as a result. Any thunderstorms do have the potential to be severe with strong gusty winds, medium-large sized hail and frequent lightning. This is a more widespread and prominent setup than last Friday.

Area of thunderstorms and/or thundery rain spreading up from the south on Friday night.

GFS 06z VERY different. Rain barely moves north and stalls across much of the south and west and then the Midlands.

That CAPE though....

OOOH MATRON!

Remember the clocks go forward

Was with my girlfriend in the car, told her that the road didn't look like a 'rain wet' but rather a 'freezing rain wet' looked far more matt in colour. First time experiencing it though.

Temp 0.1C with a dew point of -0.7C, conductive of snow but the freezing rain worries me as I've got to do a short drive soon.

What's falling out of the sky guys?

Up in Hull at the moment, looking tasty here this evening!

Snow showers through the evening and into tomorrow morning for the Humber and parts of north Lincolnshire. Looks cold enough for low level accumulations away from the immediate coastline. I don't mean to sound biased, but Hull does look like a pretty good location to be today with accum precips around 7-11mm. Can it be all snow?

Outside of uni I live in North Herts, we got 8" of snow that month, most in years. Rather that than it be warm and sunny.

Air temp is 2.9C and dew point is 0.8C, slooooooowly getting there.

Dew point and air temperature around 3C here in Hull.

Love the MetOffice warning for it....or lack of!

What on earth do you do? :O

Dew point -1.4C, air temp is +0.2C, conducive of snow but everything rises later tonight.

That's the precip for tonight.

Means it's getting colder.

Got a link to them please?