Gavin Hannah

I can see a special corner being set up for people who are accused of being Doylem, like it is a contagious disease haha! "No Doylems allowed!" Well said BobbyDog, but I think it's def on for a cold spell this weekend, how deep and lasting its is, is another question entirely.

"You're Doylem!", "No I'm not, you are!" Is this thread going to get a part 5?

UKMO still maintaining more of a northerly flow out at t.120. Hoping the rest of the models trend towards the UKMO for some prolonged cold and high level snow come the weekend.

Lets not forget that the Italian justice system is probably the most corrupt and inept in western Europe. I'm pretty sure this would get squashed in the ECHR with a solid backhand. It's pretty shocking.

Those lows always chop and change from run to run. It was only a few days ago that the LP in the Atlantic was progged to throw off a shortwave and scupper the entire prospect of a cold snap.

Once the cold and snow get here, you're all invited to my bar.....

IMS showing the Ice almost sealing off the northern Siberian coast with Ice. Should be sealed up in a few days time. Northern Canada also received a nice dumping of snow. http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/

The destination of the cold shot is still in the balance. It won't be until wed morning before we get a firm grasp of how the northerly behaves and what is likely to happen thereafter. Prognosis is still looking very good for some frostiness and high level snow. But can we hold on to it for a sustained period? This is going to be an interesting few days.

Anytime the -5 Isotherm passess overhead is a chance for low level snowfall. That said, the chances are probably lower during Autumn than in winter. The Weather from thur/fri onwards is as already mentioned, looking very good for the ski resorts, which is, if Im being honest, at this early stage, all I'm concerned with. The output looks good. If it continues into winter, then we may well get a good start to winter this year. I'm still favouring an overall blocked winter over the Atlantic/Greenland.

Did you notice the low ice concentrations on the East coast of the UK??

Will be looking forward to the ECM. On it's earlier run it threw up a northern low at t.192 Will be interesting to see where it came from and if it keeps it in its next run.

Nice to see Scandi starting to fill in. Hopefully, the UK will get it's first white pixel or two next weekend!

It would be good to see the models go with a sustained HP scenario as we get closer to next weekend. Having been away for a few days I've only had a chance to look at todays 06Z and 12Z GFS runs. Could it be that as we start this week, the models pick up on possible scenario where the HP decides to become stationary keeping us under a sustained northerly flow?

With the forecast for next weekend turning cold for the UK, it will give this side of the Arctic a chance to see some sustained ice growth.

The GFS isn't letting go of that overall pattern.

What is def certain is the settled period with warmer temps from this weekend. If I was going on gut hunch, I would suggest the Polar blast would be odds on over anything else 06Z has shown. It's just a gut feeling mide you so I will watching the runs over the next day or so. Personally, I'm looking forward to a dry spell after all the rain we've had.

Havn't seen the whole run but it's not so eager to bring in the polar blast. Will have to see the next few runs before we can say for sure what is the more likely outcome.

Huge ice bride from Siberia to Greenland now. Ice increase was huge. http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/ Snow across the Alps and Scandi has picked up over the last few days.

Extreme or not, you have to hand it to the GFS, it is definitly on a roll regarding a trend. The last few days have seen a very similar pattern emerge of a slight warming this weekend followed by a HP taking up recidence over the N.Atlantic/Greenland.

Ok, so far it seems that the majority of members on Netweather are predicting a Winter of mixed fortunes with a "bit of everything" thrown into the mix. Close behind that, a Scandi blocked winter is joint second favourtie with a Greenland/Atlantic blocked winter, however if you combine the votes into a generic blocked vote, then it edges ahead of the "Bit of Everything" scenario by 4 votes. Some sporadic votes for a Atlantic dominated winter and the Euro high suggest not many members are forecasting these setups this year. While not very scientific, it does show a split decision on what many members are expecting this winter.# As for personal preferences, the blocked winter scenario is clear favourite with Epic Winter running in second. I suspect there are either many cold and snow fans on here, or everyone is sick tired of wind and rain. I'll post again at the end of next week.

Thanks, still wasnt able to positively identify it as lots of those spiders look similair. I would say if it's not of the widow species then it looks damn close to it. I read about how the false widow bites are like wasp stings and though rarely fatal, can put some people in A&E. There is also the possibility that the black widow may one day get a foot hold in the UK. There are plenty of news articles about Black Widows being imported in on goods/vehicles etc. So how many make it over and go undetected?

That 308k record is up for grabs me thinks.

Sure, they are not great, the camera is pants. You can really only get a sense of the size and shape of it.

Hey guys, hoping someone on here is a spider fan. Long story short, need help identifying a spider. After reading about the False Widow Spider in Britain, I think I found a small colony on my west facing skylight. This is the closest image on google I could find to what I found. My own images where on a phone camera and not very clear. It's the same shape, almost identical markings (Perhaps a little darker in color) and had a single dark stripe on the underside of its abdomen. It also had orange/brown banded legs. Was appx. 1. - 1.5 cm (excluding legs) Abdomen was larger compared to rest of body than in this photograph (Suggesting female). I found at least 8 - 10 egg sacks which I've tried to remove as much of. Thanks guys.

Gd point.