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Gavin Hannah

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Everything posted by Gavin Hannah

  1. Lol maybe, but I got the impression that he was personally favoring the August chart.
  2. It's the proverbial "Bawhair" away from passing 2007. From mid September, it has been following more or less the same gradient as the 2008 plot.
  3. Accuwather were favoring a blocked Greenland/Atlantic this winter according the video I posted several pages back., they didn't go into details though.
  4. Nice. Could we beat 2005's October one day increase of 304k this year? That would be impressive.
  5. No reason not to. The sun has gone down on the pole now I believe, so it will only be getting colder up there.
  6. Clearly illustrated on the 00Z GFS run this morning, albeit, in deep FI.
  7. Heaviest snow fall across the Cairngorm range ATM. Latest IMS image shows snow more or less even as it melts and falls elsewhere. Some good quality white pixels over Scandi and the Alps now. Ice extent has exploded in 24 hours. Todays. Yesterdays From the NSIDC, this provides a very good view of sea ice.
  8. You cant deny that the GFS is sticking to its guns with HP and blocking. The key is where will land, as seen on the 00Z run (which is rather tasty). If it moves East, then its good by Easterly and hello Euro high. But what a run! Hardly any LP after next weekend for the north.
  9. FI bring the cold to western Russia and Eastern Europe. Good for westward snow progression. Is that a scandi ridge forming at t.348???? Nope, ah well. Overall, from t.140, it's 2 weeks of blockage that even Mario and Luigi couldn't fix. Low pressure during the coming week is regressing south and west, and that little LP to the north has gone east. Even at the very end of the run, there is more HP out in the Atlantic.
  10. Better than the 12Z run so far. Looking very blocked out at t.180.
  11. So long as the HP wasn't transitory and made way for the first LP system to come sweeping across the Atlantic, that would be an awesome run up to Xmas.
  12. An Accuweather winter forecast. Little bit of Europe included regards blocking setups.
  13. Referring to the HP that was modeled to sit over the northern half of the UK. Migrating from North West Atlantic into Europe. It was looking quite promising on the 00Z chart, but as usual, it's now looking unlikely, with Low pressure persisting through next weekend, and even a hint of Euro High thereafter. Writing the 12Z off today. It's gone from a promising weekend next weekend, to meh in 3 runs. But, I guess that's what I get for watching individual runs.
  14. 12Z teasing us with the HP situation. Currently at t.114, HP reaching further north into Greenland than on the 06Z.
  15. Lol, always ready to put it back into perspective haha! Good job there is still 2 weeks of October to go.
  16. i would say there are slightly more blue than red pixels on the latest image. Go team blue!
  17. I agree with you on this. I would happily settle for 2 - 3 weeks of extreme cold and snow over Xmas and New year, but not for the entire winter for the reasons you outlined above. It is a case of head vs heart as usual. A blocked winter with relatively average temps and high pressure is always a welcome one. Even if it is just to keep the westerlies at bay. I've had about all I can take of wind and rain.
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