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Everything posted by warmintim
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As were we all... No she took a bit of time to get to grips with the whole thing (she's originally Spanish). by sunday morning, with the snow rapidly thawing she was playing the remaining drifts. Complete contrast from the horrified look on Thursday trying go for a comfort stop in the garden with 6 inches of snow... At least she's a big dog, our cats were NOT amused by snow up to their bellies...
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I think it was between 9 and 10 pm - very strange to see the snow blowing like dust, not a hint of melting. Bitterly cold. I hadn't realised how snow covered I was (first picture) until my wife posted it on facebook. I don't think the photos really do the drifting justice - at one point we were up to waist level with the drift all across the lane going up to the barn - the dog was very confused...
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Driven in to the Uni (Bath) this morning along the A36 and I am amazed at how big the drifts still are. On Brassknocker hill there is one point where only 1 car can go at a time as there is a huge drift still there. Amazing spell of weather for me - I loved the long run in - model run tension, including the mini wobble about 5 days out from the arrival of the easterly (as in -'it's all going south to France...'), and the beautiful days of Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday (sunny with the odd shower making it across. Then walking the dog on Wednesday night with the streamer just reaching us and watching very fine powder snow blowing in the wind at -5.9 deg C. Waking on Thursday to see snow already arrived and still snowing, deciding to work from home, before work actually closed at 1pm. Then the main event hitting, slowly at first, but gradually getting heavier during a 2 hour walk, and then just watching as it never stopped until 11 pm. Fantastic day Friday - temps below freezing all day, so no melting at all, no-one moving anywhere (if they had any sense). A little top up in the afternoon (not as much as some, but who's complaining?). A walk on Saturday through some superb snowdrifts on Cradle Hill (no ufo's were seen...). Scenes just like the 80's. And now its mostly gone, and spring on its way (hopefully!)
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Model output discussion - the beast arrives
warmintim replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Really??? Where are you talking? 6 AM sat dewpoints widely below freezing and 2m temp widely below freezing.- 1,198 replies
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Still not certain. Best for us (I'm including Cardiff with Warminster...) looks to the Meto and Icon, with ECM not too bad. Even GFS is a only a few changes away from being all snow for you/me, and potentially from Thurs until Saturday, with colder uppers moving south again. I think we still won't be certain until Tues eve or even Wed to be honest. I don't think (here comes the jinx) that many of us will see NO snow, its more the case of wether its a lot, or some then freezing rain etc.
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"think we should tone down the ramping a notch" - heresy. Leave this forum immediately! I haven't seen this level of ramping in years and it's brilliant. As ever with snow this will be down to short term forecasts and small features, and there must be a chance of a decent event. Points West had the memories of 1978 last night, and I have the barest memories of snow drifts so deep my village was cut off. Could it happen again? As for the stocking up - I made sure of getting heating oil in, but that does depend on electricity too... Many years ago we experienced a weekend long powercut (Shrewton, on the Plain), and it led my parents to have a fireplace and chimney installed as there had been no way of heating the house. No idea yet if this will be a let down in snow terms for us snow starved west country folk, but I'd love a day or too off next week!
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Genuinely one of my favourite ever experiences was running in Dec 2010 just before Christmas. I ran in the woods near Longleat and it was amazing. About 3-4 inches of soft, virgin, snow, no-one around. I ran with shorts, T-shirt, but had a hat and gloves too. I find in snow its best to avoid compressed areas where it is more prone to have gone solid and turned icy, so heading off-road is probably the best bet.
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I'm not as sure - I've loved snow all my life and I remember many, many winters from the end of the 80's on that failed to deliver (mainly thinking south, specifically Wiltshire). It's very tempting to link warmed temperatures to making now more marginal, but the rise is dwarfed by the variation within a day. I also tend to think our memories deceive us.